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Outlook of economic growth under the goal of socialist modernization -based on potential economic growth rates
Author: Zhang Xiaojing Wang Yong

  bet365 Play online games Realize socialist modernization vision goals,The importance of economic growth is further prominent。In the growth accounting bet365 Play online games framework of the additional human capital,Examine the aging of the population、The impact of the "Three New Factors" of the New Crown Epidemium and China -US Technology's Described "Three New Factors" on China's potential economic growth rate,and evaluate the "reform dividends" of the supply -side structural reform policy,The results show: under the benchmark bet365 live casino games situation,The average annual growth rate of the "14th Five -Year Plan" period of China is more than 5%,GDP per capita in 2035 is $ 24,300,reached the level of US $ 24,200 per capita GDP per capita in developed countries; after considering the "three new factors",The potential growth rate of the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" period decreased by 1 percentage point bet365 Play online games annually compared to the benchmark scenario,China's per capita GDP in 2035 is 22,800 US dollars,A decrease of $ 1.15 million over the benchmark scenario,Level lower than middle -developed countries; add supply -side structural reforms,The potential economic growth rate of the next 30 years will increase by about 1 percentage point per year,Effective bet365 Play online games hedge the adverse effects of "three new factors",China has steadily realized socialist modernization vision goals。

  

Keywords:Socialist modernization    potential economic growth rate    Population aging    New crown epidemic    Technical decoupling

  

Author Zhang Xiaojing,Researcher at the Institute of Finance of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; bet365 best casino games Wang Yong,Associate Researcher of the Institute of Finance of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences。(Beijing 100710)

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