Focus on the development trend of 2024 BRICS
February 20, 2024, 10:29 Source: "China Social Sciences", February 20, 2024, 2835, Issue 2835: [United States] Mihala Papa (Mihala Papa)/Wen Yang Xue// Translation

  

 

   From January 1, 2024,Russia began to serve as the rotating chairman of the BRICS country。From the perspective of organizational development,BRICS bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism is at a critical moment,Member states need to further promote the construction of the system。The idea of ​​the cooperation mechanism of the BRICS country is to establish a strategic partnership,Promote the development of the world's polarization,Promote the reform of the global governance system。August 2023,The fifteenth meeting of the BRICS leaders held in Johannesburg, South Africa announced that inviting new members to join,This is an important milestone incident。Passed by a member,Egypt、UAE、Iran、Ethiopia、Saudi Arabia becomes a formal member of the BRICS country,The cooperation mechanism of the BRICS countries entered a new stage of development。Some analysts think,BRICS countries are shaping a new world of world -alternative world order,Some people point out,BRICS countries are re -establishing real multilateralism。This expansion caused a key issue for discussion: the challenge brought by the number of member states,Can the reconstructed BRICS cooperation mechanism effectively fulfill its mission?

Outlook 2024 BRICS Development Trends,It is inseparable from some key trends that need to be focused on the needs of BRICS cooperation,Including the strategic trajectory of the BRICS country、The relationship between it and the West、The development of China's influence in the organization and the potential of further expansion of the BRICS countries in the future。

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Generally speaking,The reasons for choosing a bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism in different countries are different。Especially in the case of changes in the geographical political situation and many global challenges, it is uncertain for the future,BRICS countries as a certain informal cooperation mechanism,It is attractive to countries with different policy preferences。The advantages of such cooperation mechanisms are reflected in the high efficiency of the organization、Outstanding flexibility and low exit costs。Specifically,The expansion of the BRICS countries enables new members to interact directly with the BRICS countries,and jointly discuss the formulation of a new initiative to promote the reform of the global governance system。but but,Double the number of members also brings the risk of flexibility that may decrease to the organization,You need to establish a more complete management process。

In terms of operation,New members of the BRICS countries expressed their identity on the mission of the organization,and actively integrate into its proposed initiative。Russia in 2024 served as the rotating chairman of the BRICS country,The focus is on promoting the implementation of the "BRICS Economic Partnership Strategy 2025" and "BRICS Innovation Cooperation Action Plan (2021-2024)",Focus on ensuring energy and food safety,Enhance the role of the BRICS countries in the international monetary system,Expand the cooperation between banks' banks and expand the scope of using national currency in bilateral trade。Other priority items also include in science、High Technology、Medical and Care、Environmental protection、Culture、Sports、Youth exchanges and civil exchanges promote cooperation。

From a strategic perspective,BRICS countries need to deal with major issues on its future development direction。The continuous maturity and geopolitical situation of the organization make the bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism of the BRICS countries standing at an intersection that may develop in multiple directions,Internal tension appears on its strategic trajectory: deepen cooperation or further expansion? It is to promote the economic and security agenda at the same time,Or is it a common currency of the BRICS country?

First,The mechanism of the BRICS countries needs to clarify the relationship between its formal development organization with BRICS New Development Bank (NDB) (hereinafter referred to as "New Development Bank")。In order to speed up the implementation of its new economic initiative,New Development Bank may become an anchoring agency for the cooperation between the BRICS countries,This involves the problem of clarifying the members composed of members between the Vancouver and the New Development Bank。At present,The two have different members composition: Among the five new BRICS members,Only Egypt and the UAE are members of the New Development Bank; Bangladesh is a member of the new Development Bank,Uruguay is the potential member of the new Development Bank,Both are not members of the BRICS country。Strengthening the connection between the BRICS countries and the new development bank can increase the attraction of the bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism of the BRICS countries,The development of the cooperation mechanism of the BRICS countries fundamentally depends on whether it can provide not only the global public products that are not only conducive to member states but also conducive to "global southern"。

Second,On international security issues,The response method of the organization will inevitably attract more attention。The continuous fermentation of the Ukraine crisis produces a wide range of negative effects,A series of energy crisis caused by the security crisis、Food crisis and debt crisis。Pakistani conflict may lead to further upgrading the security situation in the region。Due to the expansion of Bet365 lotto review the BRICS member states including the Red Sea coastal country,BRICS mechanism has the opportunity to play a greater role in regional peaceful construction。Although a strong security bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism has always been a challenging agenda,But the world must not help but pay attention to whether the BRICS countries can develop practical solutions to maintain human security。

  The relationship between the BRICS country and the West

Another dynamic trend that needs to be followed is the relationship between the BRICS countries and the West。BRICS countries advocate more decentralized global power patterns,The willingness to promote the reform of the global governance system。BRICS countries currently need to show more innovative ideas that they are committed to promoting global development,and find a way to effectively respond to geopolitical tensions。

other,Due to geopolitical tensions,A more sustainable method is to reduce cooperative、Re -utilize and recycle the existing international organization system。From this sense,BRICS countries as a tolerance and open strategic partnership,It can play the role of the sustainable development of the entire international organization system rather than the direction of power competition。Actually,Division of "West and Non -Western Groups" does not meet the interests of many members of the BRICS countries and the interests of applicants,They hope to use the BRICS framework to strengthen negotiation and cooperation with the world's major powers。

China's role in the BRICS country

Similarly,We should also pay close attention to the role of China in the BRICS country。In view of China's huge economic scale and the posture of actively participating in global affairs,Some analysts think,China -leading Vancouver bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism。But,The action of the organization requires a member country to reach a consensus,And the chairman's country is in turn,No BRICS country can impose Bet365 lotto review priority matters。For example,Since the establishment of the BRICS country,China has been committed to shaping the BRICS countries as a platform for developing trade cooperation and establishing a free trade zone。other,Since 2017,China has been seeking expansion of the BRICS country,The form of "BRICS+" is proposed as a new platform for global South -South cooperation,Then increase the opportunity of the BRICS mechanism in international development and cooperation。

Speed ​​on the present,BRICS expansion in 2024 conforms to China's priority agenda,Emphasizing trade and positioning the BRICS countries as a larger platform for a wider range of countries。Next,We may see,China's participation in the BRICS countries has further increased,China may propose a new initiative aimed at strengthening the correlation between BRICS countries and other global initiatives in China。New BRICS member states are important trading partners of the core BRICS countries,It is also willing to try more diverse currency use in international transactions, including energy trade。This is not only possible to reshape global financial practice,It may also provide alternative financial solutions for countries that are sanctions on Western economic sanctions。

  Possibilities for future expansion

BRICS faces a complex topic,Not only should we manage the existing members,It is also necessary to take into account those countries that intend to join the organization。The agenda formulation of the original member may be affected by this,Each member state needs to wait for many years to serve as a rotating chairman and set priority items。In the tissue after expansion,The difficulty of reaching consensus will increase,At the same time, it will also make the work of attracting new members more complicated。

BRICS expansion causes an uncertainty increase in the benefits that the organization can provide。bet365 Play online games Now,Global eyes are concerned about whether the BRICS countries are openly open、More transparent direction continues to develop,This is exactly what the leaders of Bet365 lotto review the BRICS member states have emphasized at the beginning of their establishment。The release of the official expansion standard to a certain extent relieves this worry,But still need to be further clearing the standard。

 Keep a strong development momentum

Overall,Although the BRICS bet365 live casino games cooperation mechanism is facing some institutional level challenges,But it still maintains a strong and powerful development momentum。other,According to the data of the official website of the BRICS New Development Bank,As of December 31, 2022,New Development Bank has a total of about 32.8 billion U.S. dollars in total financing,The transition of the settlement of trade between the country to local currency is accelerating。

The system of the BRICS country depends on its strategic direction and the ability to deal with problems。As the Brick State Leader Summit in 2024 will be held in October,BRICS countries have enough time to organize integration after the joining of new members,and coordinate policy on the priority agenda。Russia uses "strengthening multilateralism,Promoting Fair Global Development and Security "as the slogan as the chairman of the 2024 Vancouver。In view of the inevitable Ukrainian crisis will affect the new development bank and "Global South",This may make the BRICS country strengthening multilateralism、Promoting the development of challenges。

At the same time,Russia is the initial advocate of the BRICS mechanism,It is also a country that fully seizes the opportunity provided by the chairman。It played an important role in the evolution of the organization's system during the term of the rotation chairman's term。Russia has announced plans to host about 200 events during the term of office。In view of Russia'bet365 Play online games s high attention to the mechanism of the BRICS countries,It is expected to promote the development of the BRICS mechanism,People may see new progress in the next year。

  (The author is a senior researcher at the Flence Law and Diplomacy School of Tavz University in the United States)

Editor in charge: Cui Bohan
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