June 8, local time,The latest statistics released by the US Department of Labor said,The employment rate of the United States has dropped sharply in May,Although the unemployment rate has remained at the lowest level in 50 years,But non -agricultural employment posts only increased by 75,000,Before half the expected。Analysts say,The risk of the US economy is getting stronger and greater。
Two days before the report of the Ministry of Labor,Known as the target of the business economic direction of the business community, the US National Commercial Economic Association issued a survey report,It is estimated that the growth rate of US GDP bet365 best casino games will fall to 2.1%by 2020,The risk of economic recession will reach 60%in 2020。
S & P American chief economist Beth Ann Bovino said,The slowdown in economic growth in the United States is faster than expected。Some analysts think,This report further proves that the American business prosperity cycle is ending,The economy is slowing。
Morgan Stanley's latest report,Compared with the situation of trade tensions, compared with the situation again,The US stock market and economic prospects are deteriorating,A sharp decline in economic data。Morgan Stanley chief stock strategist Michael Wilson said,This decline is more severe than many investors imagined,The US economy has entered a "decline observation period"。Current,The US economy has faced serious macro risks,Including Bet365 app download employment、Low inflation and trade friction upgrade,Even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in July, it may not stop the US economy from being weak。It is reported,Morgan Stanley has expected it for its global economic growth as of the end of this year,Modified from the original "continuous recovery" to "stagnation"。
Trump's last time the taxation threat issued by Mexico finally reached an agreement with both parties to come to an end,But some scholars criticize him to "weapon"。There are also officials in the Federal Reserve who are concerned that the tension of the trade situation will threaten the US economy。James Bullard, President of San Louis Federal Reserve Bank, recently said,Due to the global tension and the weakness of inflation in the United States, the risks of economic growth have continued bet365 live casino games to rise,The United States may soon need to cut interest rates,Suddenly slowing economic growth in response to comparison expectations。This is the first Federal Reserve official that indicates that the Federal Reserve may react in the near future。Brad said,In the future, US economic growth will continue to slow,And,The current inflation rate is lower than the target expectations。The signal of the US Treasury yield curve seems to indicate,The current policy interest rate is set high。
Peter Ireland, a professor of economics at Boston College, told this reporter,Although the practice of increasing tariffs may bring fluctuations in the stock market,Increased uncertainty of business behavior,If it continues to develop,It may lead to slower economic growth,But from the current point of view,Those comments bet365 live casino games on economic recession are a bit exaggerated。
From the view of Ireland,Brad's comments cannot represent most people。Whether to cut interest rates for the Fed,He believes that the Fed will continue to be patient,Waiting for the performance of the economy in summer,Then decide whether to adjust the interest rate。Although the US market has been turbulent,But the recent economic data is still stable。Low inflation is still worrying,But the Fed Chairman Powell seems to believe,The factors for inhibiting inflation are mainly non -monetary factor,and it may be temporary。So,People should wait patiently for the performance of the US economy next quarter,then conclusions。
Friendship link: Official website of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences |
Website filing number: Jinggong.com Anmi 11010502030146 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: Beijing ICP No. 11013869
All rights reserved by China Social Sciences Magazine shall not be reprinted and used without permission
General Editor Email: zzszbj@126.com This website contact information: 010-85886809 Address: 11-12, Building 1, Building 1, No. 15, Guanghua Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing: 100026
>