The UK "Brexit" deadlock is expected to change
December 16, 2019 09:22 Source: "China Social Sciences" Journal of Social Sciences, December 16, 2019, Issue 1837, author: This newspaper reporter Zhao Yuan

December 13,British Conservative Party leader Boris Johnson led the Conservative Party to win 364 seats in the seats of the lower courtyard of the parliament,Forming Prime Minister。Johnson said in the speech of the victory,British "Breaking Obstacles",ushered in "New Dawn"。After the dust is settled,How is the prospect of "Brexit" in the UK、How will the future economy develop? Will its international influence be affected?。

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Paul James Cardwell, a professor of law at Stras Claid University in the United Kingdom, said,The Conservative Party won with an absolute advantage,It seems that the Brexit "Brexit" on January 31, 2020 cleared the obstacles。but,This does not mean the end of the "Brexit" process。"Brexit" transition period will last until the end of 2020,The relationship between the UK and the European Union in the future still has great uncertainty。

Thomas Raines, director of European Project Director of the Royal Institute of International Affairs, believes,The result of the British election means that Britain will definitely bet365 live casino games "Brexit",This will cause greater psychological hints to Britain and the European Union。Although some people still want the British "Brexit" process to reverse,But now the British "Brexit" has become a foregone conclusion。

Now,The primary task of the UK is to make the parliament pass the "Brexit" agreement。Given that the Conservative Party accounts for the majority of seats in the parliament,This process is expected to be smooth。Britain needs to complete negotiation with the European Union before the end of the transition period in December 2020,Create a new British -Europe Relations。The negotiation time is tight,and three results may appear。First, Britain and Europe did not reach an agreement within the agreed transition,Johnson according to promise,Lead the British without Agreement; second, the negotiations between Britain and Europe reached certain results by the end of 2020,But just a temporary agreement or determining a new execution period; the third is to extend the transition period。Renses think,These three cases are not ideal for Britain,The first most economic destructive,The second means that the EU will be in a more favorable position to determine the relevant terms,The third one means that Johnson will violate the commitment。

 "Brexit" effect is difficult to eliminate

bet365 best casino games Kevin Albertson, a professor of economics at Manchester City University, believes,As the British began to separate the legislative system from the EU,The transition period will inevitably cause a new round of uncertainty in the next few years。This may inhibit demand,and affect Britain's attraction to investors,further pressure to the British economy that has suffered from low productivity。From the long run,Low demand、A possible trade restrictions、Factors such as the reduction of cheap immigration labor and rising prices,All will have a negative impact on enterprises and consumers。

December 11,The results of the public opinion survey published by the official website of the School of Political Economics of London,British citizens hold a negative attitude towards the British election。The people interviewed think,The atmosphere of this election can be frustrated、Unexpected and division to describe。

Michael Bruter, a professor at the School of Political Economics, London, said,British citizens are worrying about the hostility that those who vote differently from them。This indicates that election politics is affecting the relationship between the people and their daily communication methods。

The Scottish National Party has won 48 seats in the election。The Chief Minister of the Scottish Bet365 lotto review Government Nicola Sturgeon said,Scotland wants the future that is different from other parts of the UK,It's time for the Scottish people to decide their own destiny。She said,The detailed plan will be announced as soon as possible,Promote the second Scottish independent referendum。

Rannes thinks,Scottish independent supporters face a key dilemma,That is, the British "Brexit" although the Brexit has strengthened the independent political will of Scotland,But "Brexit" will make Scotland more difficult in technology and economy。

  Strengthen national trade cooperation with non -European regions

Professor Chris Rowley, a professor at the University of Oxford University, said in an interview with this reporter,The British government should take comprehensive measures to boost the economy。Future,The British government is completing the "Brexit" process、Negotiation with the EU while negotiating a new trade agreement,You need to optimize social services,Management of climate change,Achieve a net zero emissions target and reform the immigration system。The British government should continue to raise the minimum wage standard,To prevent enterprises from continuously reducing labor costs for vicious competition。It is necessary to encourage enterprises to start from a strategic Bet365 lotto review and long -term perspective,Through technological innovation、Methods of quality improvement and product value -added are made reasonable competition。

Lecturer Victoria Honeyman, Lecturer, believes,After the "Brexit" period, Britain may usher in certain economic opportunities。China will become one of the important trading partners in the UK。After "Brexit",The UK may reach a mutually beneficial trade agreement with China,Further deepen the cooperative relationship。

Relly said,The Conservative Party won in the election with an absolute majority of seats,The deadlock of the British Parliament on the "Brexit" problem will be ended。Now,"Brexit" ushered in real progress after 3 years of twists and turns,The European Union's negotiator and politicians will no longer be looking forward to canceling the Britain or only "Brexit" in the nominal。Britain will accelerate the construction of "Globalization UK",Pay more attention to external opportunities,More open,Embarking on a different development path from the European Union。Compared to trade cooperation with the European Union,Britain will deepen trade cooperation with other non -EU countries in the future,Asia, which is increasing in the global trade share,Especially China。

From the perspective,The financial market responded Bet365 app download positively to the results of the election。Barometer as a barometer that reflects the international community's economic confidence,The exchange rate of the pound has risen。This is because economic policy uncertainty related to "Brexit" is fading。According to Johnson's economic commitment before the election,Britain will borrow more funds from the international market,The government will increase expenditure。"Brexit" related uncertainty weakening and expansion fiscal stimulation will provide support for the loose monetary policy of the central bank of the UK,To boost the British economy。Improvement of the economic environment will encourage the British business sector to reverse the downturn of commercial investment in the past two years。but,Commercial investment boom will not appear in the short term,It is difficult to achieve at least before the British and EU reached an agreement on the new agreement。

(This newspaper London, December 14th)

Editor in charge: Cui Cen
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