New models can predict financial market risks
March 26, 2021 09:40 Source: "China Social Sciences", March 26, 2021, Issue 2134 Author:

Comprehensive foreign media reports on March 22,World Science and Technology Research News Information Network published a message,As more and more small and medium investors are interested in cryptocurrency,Unstable of the financial market、Speaking such as rising volatility and the rupture of financial bubbles has attracted attention。Therefore,From Global Mathematics、Physics、More than ten scholars in different fields such Bet365 lotto review as economic and complex systems,Models related to the stability of the stock market together to predict the situation of the financial market。

This model mainly uses geometric figures to represent the dynamic change process of the stock market。With this model,Scholars analyzed and compared the stock market data from the US Standards Poor 500 Index and the Japanese Nikkei 255 Index 1985-2016,confirmed that some curvature in geometric graphics is an important indicator for predicting the instability of the stock market。This study allows financial analysts to quickly distinguish whether the stock market Bet365 lotto review is in a "normal period" or the "bubble period"。

Jürgen Jost, director of Max Planck Institute of Macs Planck Mathematics, Germany, said,Transaction price、The transaction volume is the structural basis of the model,There are four curvatures that can be used as a general indicator for measuring the stability of the stock market。Where,Folman -Richter has a high correlation with traditional financial indicators,You can accurately capture market panic (volatility) and vulnerability (risk)。This research is also confirmed,During the normal trading period of the stock market,The market is very decentralized,bet365 best casino games But the stock market is in the bubble period and endangered collapse,The correlation between different stocks is also higher。Folman -Rich curvature is very sensitive to industry -driven and global market fluctuations,It can identify the interdependence relationship between the internal and between the industry and the industry。

Joster also mentioned,Many studies in the past only monitor the stock market market index and return rate.。This new research intends to "scan" and monitor the health status of the financial system for the entire stock market,This will help decision makers better understand systemic risks Bet365 app download and identify critical points,Prediction of prediction in advance or even avoiding the occurrence of the financial crisis。

(Zhao Qi/Compilation)

Editor in charge: Cui Cen
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