Theoretical research of security predicament is the macro theory of connecting international relations、Middle level theory、Important Bridge of Micro theory，Avoid war、Creating peace is the logical starting point of the theoretical research of security predicament。

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About the origin of safety dilemma，Try to explore from multiple angles。About how to relieve the security dilemma，It constitutes one of the focus of the theoretical paradigm controversy。Realism emphasizes architectural factors，It is believed that the extremely specific quantity is conducive to relieving the security dilemma at the system level，Such as a single pole stability theory、The theory of stability of the two poles、Multi -pole theory。Liberalism Pavilion System Process Factors，Put forward mutual dependence of peaceful theory、System cooperation theory、Democratic Peace Theory、System cooperation theory。Constructionist and Copenhagen School emphasize the effects of "speech behavior" and "inter -subjectivity" on safety and de -safety。

From the prospects of safety dilemma，Defense realism believes that safety is not scarce，Moderate power restraint helps to maximize security，The state generally seeks to maintain the status quo rather than amendments; offensive realism emphasizes security is scarce，Maximizing power brings to maximization of security，It is believed that the country preferences more amendmentism before becoming a system hegemon。bet365 Play online games Liberalism believes that multi -round games generated by international systems including military control and other fields，It will make the country more inclined to cooperate。Scientific behaviorism and British schools are both the prospects of security complex based on regionalist perspectives。Constructist highlights the ideal picture of Kant culture。

　　Research on the study of safety difficulties and re -definition

After the Cold War is over，With traditional security and non -traditional safety issues,，Excessive safety goals and unknown priority，It may make the decision maker make an error selection in order to seek absolute security，Strategic resource overdraft and security environment worsen。In this background，The state should seek relatively safe instead of being safe、Theoretical core of protecting safety research、Avoid generalization of generalization and unclean expansion of security issues。In order to avoid the negative effects of war or crisis in order to avoid the cognitive inertia of generalization，We respond to the regulation of the issue of the safety dilemma and the re -definition of time and space dimension。

First，Dimensions of the topic area。Great strategic topic of accurately grasping safety dilemma，That is, between the rising country and the hegemonic country、Whether the rising country can overcome the problems such as the "Rise State Syndrome" and "Shoucheng Kingdom syndrome"。While grasping the major strategic issues of safety predicament，You also need to pay attention to the interaction between it and the sub -issue。Specifically, there are several aspects。

First is a military backup -security predicament，Military reserve competitions related to geopolitics Bet365 lotto review or weapon technology revolution and military reserve control issues。Second is trade -security predicament，Trade mutual dependence on the impact of mutual dependence on security dilemma has complexity，Can't simply think it must help peace or war，It should be combined with the prospect theory，Weighing absolute income and relative benefits、Short -term risk and long -term risk。Third is the alliance -security predicament，Including a security risk of an international system that does not form an alliance,，and the risk of "implicated" and "abandoned" when choosing an alliance。Fourth is the security difficulties at the level of offensive and defensive strategy，If the defensive strategy of the geopolitical politics of the opponent is misjudged as an offensive strategy。Five is the contradiction between internal and external security difficulties，That is, the effectiveness of the combat effectiveness and political control of the force system may occur.。Six is ​​the technical level of safety dilemma，Human beings in the development process，How to obtain the advantage of technology pioneer，How to deal with the challenges of preventive war or premier war.。Nuclear weapons、Anti -satellite weapon、Artificial intelligence weapons and other technical variables of technical variables on strategy，It may lead to dynamic changes in offensive and defensive balance between the country。

Second，Space dimension。Analysis of safety dilemma should not be trapped into the equalization of space，The geographical distribution of weighing the center of the power center、Differences of different geographical space attributes、The country seeks the geographical demand of the security boundary greater than the boundary security Bet365 lotto review of the border。At the same time，The particularity of regional countries can also organize organic combination with the relative universal nature of security predicament，If you inspect the Middle East、East Asia、What are the differences in the safety dilemma in Europe。

other，What cannot be ignored is，Safety Dilemma is evolving in geographical space，Frequently showing strategic inertial features。For example，Strategic inertia may allow more enjoyable safety surplus、Ocean -sidelines that are less affected by security dilemma are in a strategic overdraft risk and strategic excessive expansion。Although the country in the land and sea composite country is usually easy to fall into the center of the system and face the two -line combat risk，This makes it possibly in order to find a buffer zone that may fall into a fierce security dilemma with other countries，But may also choose strategic restraint because of the high geopolitical risks。On the contrary，Although marine countries located in the wing of the system are not easy to fall into two -line operations，Geographical advantages with offshore balanced hands，But it may also be trapped in reverse excessive expansion due to insufficient pressure pressure on the system，Geographically a state identity of the wing -sideline country into a strategic system center country。

third，Time dimension。Safe dilemma can be at the time、timing、Time、Moment and other aspects to expand in -depth。The same risk or strategic goal，Choose longer time and short time to fulfill，The requirements for the ability to resist risks of a country are different，The rise of a big country If the slowing rate may reduce the seriousness of the security difficulties。Bet365 app download Key historical nodes or time of important events，It will also become an important criterion for the national assessment of the challenge of security dilemma。

So，Researchers need to strengthen the process tracking of the safety dilemma mapped in historical cases，Draw the cause and effect mechanism from history。At the same time，Studies on the predicament of safety can also be referred to the method of historical sociology，Comprehensive linear historical view、Circle History View、The perspective of evolutionary history and other perspectives conduct comprehensive research。

Fourth，Concept dimension。The strategic motivation that the state follows is usually mixed rather than a single，This means that the theoretical proposition that pursue absolute security or relatively safe is not necessarily this is the other，One country may pursue these two security interests at the same time。It is considered that safety needs malicious lack to exist，But the country’s malice may not be targeted at all countries，or a country may adopt two strategic logic: offensive and defensive in the same period。

To a certain extent，The fear caused by uncertainty has played an intermediary role that connects an anarchy and a security dilemma。Some studies believe that the uncertainty of intention is an important source of safety predicament，This ignoring different types of strategic relationships will also have an important intervention on the impact of uncertainty。For example，When the two countries are non -enemies and friends，Moderate uncertainty or blurring strategy can avoid the upgrade of conflicts between the two sides; when the two countries have friends who are enemies or the competition relationship,bet365 live casino games ，Higher certainty will increase the increase in security difficulties。other，There are also some conceptual security dilemma issues to be dug deep。

　　The theoretical innovation of security dilemma under the perspective of China

Beyond Western -led knowledge system and discourse system，Based on the actual situation of China，Innovate the theory of safety dilemma，Not only meets the requirements of the times，It is also in line with the needs of China's self -construction knowledge system。

In the theoretical study of safety predicament，Researchers not only need to regulate the field of safety dilemma and re -define the time and space dimension，And can be on strategic issues、Space、Time、System effect analysis of interaction and other dimensions of concepts。The fact that the security situation faced by the hegemonic country and the rising country is completely different，Researchers can increase the attention of the differences between the safety difficulties faced by the rising country and the country of hegemony。Theory and history combined with safety dilemma，It can explore how the rising country follows the goals — the principle of ability matching and strategic prudential。

Current，In the field of safety predicament research，Achievements are mostly concentrated in policy applications or practical case studies，Theoretical innovation and historical cases are to be further expanded。Research safety dilemma should not only start from the macro level，It should focus on the middle and micro theory。At the same time，It should also be with geopolitics、Great Strategy and other fields to make more theoretical dialogues，Combined with the traditional Chinese strategic culture tradition，Compare the similarities bet365 live casino games and similarities between Chinese and Western in response to safety dilemma。

　　(Author Unit: School of International Affairs and Public Management of Ocean University of China)