Chinese -style modernization of quantitative sociology new path
February 21, 2023 10:12 Source: "China Social Sciences", February 21, 2023, Issue 2594, Issue 2594

General Secretary Xi Jinping's important speech in the opening class of the 20th spirit of the party's 20th spirit of the party pointed out: "Chinese -style modernization,Deep rooted in the excellent traditional culture of China,Advanced essence of scientific socialism,Draw a reference to absorb all the achievements of human excellent civilization,Development direction of the progress of human civilization,shows a new picture that is different from the modern model of the West,is a new human civilization form。"" The continuous advancement of Chinese -style modernization,We are using China to explore how to achieve efficient governance of the country、Common wealth of society、The people's free and comprehensive development。In this great historical practice process,A large number of social development results with profound and practical significance have emerged、Social governance experience,It has formed an important historical opportunity for bet365 live casino games sociological research, especially empirical research,It also gives sociologists with the contemporary mission of contributing to China。

The process of Chinese -style modern practice is complementary to the development of Chinese social science discipline,The discipline of sociology should take Chinese -style modernization as the basis and direction of the discipline。On the one hand,Chinese sociology rooted in the local practice of Chinese excellent traditional culture and Chinese -style modernization,Draw inspiration and experience from modernization。China's long and splendid historical context、The world's largest population scale、The road of socialism with clear flags,All have formed a unique and valuable heritage and experience,It is providing us with a unique observation vision、Unprecedented scale data and novel and unique theoretical perspective,Help Chinese Bet365 lotto review sociology on the diversity of human modernization roads。On the other hand,Sociology research must serve Chinese -style modernization,and accept the test of Chinese -style modern development practice。Especially in the front side of the international frontier、Quantitative sociology absorbing cutting -edge technologies and results of other disciplines,Those who should be pregnant with the country,Based on the big change in the world for a century,State Strategy for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,Provide accurate measurement for social indicators,Point accurate mechanism for social phenomena,Provide effective suggestions for social governance,Ability to improve the modernization of the national governance system of sociology。

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Measurement society is the basis for analyzing society。Sociologists cannot just deduct the law of social experience based on personal life experience,More large sample data description phenomena need to be used,Discover problems,Evaluation effect,Grasp the universal social facts,The basic starting point of quantitative sociology is to scientifically measure the key social indicators in the process of modernization。Simply put,At the micro level,Social scholars generally use design、Distribution、Analysis of the method of questionnaire,Understand the living conditions of residents、Social mentality、Development dynamics,If you directly ask the residents' happiness and sense of gain,Cognition of its own class and intergenerational flow,Social relations and social integration status,etc.。At the macro level,Sociologists generally use diverse data forms such as Internet big data,Yixian、City、Provincial administrative districts are classified as basic analysis units,Key indicators to generate social society,If the people's actual problems and needs are excavated based on the electronic government affairs platform,Based on referee documents and data, measure urban crime rate、Clear crime settlement,Bet365 app download Use telecommunications data to depict the population flow path of the provinces and cities,etc.。especially,Social phenomena with a certain sensitivity and concealment,If the number of special groups and social behaviors is distributed with time and space,Quantitative sociology can use Internet traces of data,Combined with machine learning -based social predictions and other methods,minimize the "concealment" of the investigator to the real situation as much as possible,Realize the "sensitive social indicators" more objective and scientific measurement and calibration。

On the basis of realizing measurement,We have the ability to build a Chinese -style modern indicator system。Since the birth of sociology at the end of the 19th century,Western scholars have always rely on their establishment theory、Methods and Knowledge Systems first -developed dominant discipline development。Its social survey indicators are born from the empirical reality of Western industry and post -industrial society,And there is an overlooking non -Western culture、Live mentality,Unconsciously with the imprint of "Methodist Nationalism",Obviously it cannot be fully applied to the history of history、Cultural environment、The governance mode is China that is very different from the West,It does not meet society、The globalization world that is more diverse in culture。In this case,At the same time, it contains mainstream and minority groups,Cover the individual、Multi -level Chinese -style modern indicators system in the region and the country highlights important strategic significance。The advent of the era of big data broke the methodology monopoly of the western academic community to some extent,Only full excavation、calibration data,Ensure the scale of time and space,It also reveals the hidden facts,Only to truly realize the academic "consciousness",Break through the historical end -negative Western discourse。

  First,Analysis of causality in social problems and phenomena in the process of modernization。Quantitative sociological research is not just satisfied with simple descriptive analysis of changes in social phenomena and spatial distribution,Instead, we can further use the statistical measurement model or machine learning,Comparison and exploring which factors will cause changes in social phenomena。To serve the modernization process of Chinese -style,The cause of social problems must be explained,can provide possible paths for improving and optimizing social governance。

Generally under the circumstances,Statistical models such as regression analysis can reflect which independent variables will affect the change of the variable,and the size and direction of the influence; further,Use the control experiment、Tool variables、tendency value match、breakpoint return、Double differences、Synthetic control and other causal inference methods,It can more rigorously prove the clear logic relationship chain between social phenomena,Find to improve life experience for the service society、Able -the -dimensional intervention path to promote social governance。For example,Analyze through quantitative analysis methods to analyze whether the culture is inhibiting the level of marketization and population flow,whether the appearance of Chatgpt really affect employment,How can urban infrastructure construction better improve the sense of gain of residents。New problems emerging in the process of modernization of Chinese -style、Analysis of the mechanism of the new phenomenon,"The Great of the Country" that is closely related to the happy life with the people,Scientificization of helping social governance、Effective。

 2,Modernization process theory, especially the discovery and refinement of Chinese governance theory,。Quantitative sociology call for a direct data、The thinking ability of the theory with the algorithm model,or called the second sociological imagination。This imagination is not only based on the simple perspective of the personal life experience of scholars to the common experience of society,Instead, fully use the Chinese -style modern indicator system,Objectized information that emerged in the process of modernization of Chinese -style modernization,Data reduction through data、Build an analogy、Statistics Inference、The logic of mathematics such as visual treatment is transformed into concept refinement or theoretical summary of the concept of governance theory in China,Construction of the "Chinese Law" with "Governance of China",Complete the "phase change" of data to knowledge to。This imagination helps to form a supplement to the era of Mills sociological imagination.。

Chinese society is a long history、The large -scale complex organization system,The practical experience of Chinese -style modern governance is unique in the history of human development。The unique social phenomenon rooted in China,Such as the development of huge urban agglomerations and urbanization construction、Super large -scale migrant workers flow and social integration、Unique education system and medical reform、A fruitful rural revitalization and grass -roots governance、Refined to poverty alleviation and common prosperity,It is necessary to open up a "Oriental Path" that is different from Western Social Modernization on the basis of massive data and strict number logic.,Provide a Chinese plan for the exploration of the human social system。The summary of this Chinese governance theory means refinement means: self -sufficient data、own concept、Self -consistent theory、Self -produced method、Independent discipline、self -explanatory words、self -made system。It must be deeply rooted in Chinese text、Focus on the rule of China、strongly promoting Chinese -style modernization、System Construction of China's Independent Knowledge System。

 Improving the ability to modernize the modernization of quantitative sociology services 

With the scale acquisition of big data and the popularity of computing social science analysis methods,Quantitative sociology can use more advanced scientific productive forces,A new perspective with a new perspective with a large historical time and a large -space bet365 Play online games geographical span analyzes social phenomena。

  Combination of traditional data and big data.Traditional survey data mainly obtains the behavior and attitude of micro individuals through questionnaires。In the digitalization process of information,search engine index、self -media text、News media reports、Digital book, film, film and television information、GIS geographical information and other forms of big data can fully help quantitative researchers,For perspective contemporary society、Reappearing grand history、Unveiled cultural context、Clarifying social facts、Research fields such as complex phenomena bring new perspectives and major breakthroughs。

 Combination of traditional methods and calculation methods.Traditional quantitative sociological analysis is based on statistical measurement analysis (such as return),Discuss the relevant or causal relationship between variables。The combination of calculation methods and sociology will give birth to different chemical reactions,If you use natural language processing technology to dig a large amount of non -structured text information,Reveal the cultural structure; use machine learning technology to predict the indicators with social hidden or importance,Constructing a model of complex non -linear relationship and multi -variable interaction; based on GIS geographical analysis technology to explore the geographical characteristics and spatial distribution of social phenomena;。

 The combination of theoretical views and empirical observations.The theoretical pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -pseudo -based on the research orientation of the logic is the research orientation,But there is a lack of theoretical production capacity。Want to realize a complete scientific research closed loop,Can't just "rear" scientific test,You must also use data data to directly help the theoretical hypothesis。Quantitative research should call for the second imagination based on data,Can't just "rear" scientific test、"Exogenous Thinking"、"Visual Thinking" presentation of the structure、"Metaphorical Thinking" of the Transplantation Index、"Experimental Thinking" in the simulation society、"Extension Thinking" of model expansion、"Leaping Thinking" of time and space leaping、"Forecast Thinking" of the calibration indicators、Measure the macro "Similar thinking"。Combined with theoretical views and empirical views for quantitative research,can you participate more actively in the theoretical production,Insert the wings of data and algorithms for sociological imagination,It also provides decision -making basis for Chinese -style modern social governance。

  (The author is a professor at Nanjing University Social College) 

Editor in charge: Zhang Jing
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