Long -term balanced development of population is an ideal state for the development of the population, economy, society, and the environment that human society wants to achieve。Its essence can be described as，Under the premise of good relationship between population, economy, society, and resources and environment, and its development prospects are good，A development state formed by the long -term narrow fluctuation of the population growth for a long time。Moderate population growth and moderate population scale are the most ideal situation of population and development，Population growth is too fast for a long time、Long -term reduction、Slowly slowly，All departures for balanced development。

Promoting long -term balanced development is the basic point for my country's population development strategic planning orientation。The key is long -term，Plan and plan population and development from a large -scale space -time vision，Strategic vision that needs to be far -sighted，Want to realize the balanced population development in the short term, which is contrary to the law of population development; the core is to promote，To achieve balanced population development is an ideal，Need to work hard for a long time; the goal is equilibrium，A balanced development of population is the development of the population、Population and Economic Society、The ideal realm of the relationship between population and resources and environment，is an ideal country for population and development，Need to firmly adhere to faith。

　　Bet365 lotto review

The ups and downs of population development in the early stage will be copied by inertia on the road of population development in the future，Similarly，The stable development of the early stage will also reflect to the stable changes in the later population，This is the law of population development。Looking at Bet365 app download the population development process of New China in the past 70 years，Population changes have taken out of the big ups and downs of "three peaks, two valleys and one fall,"。Current，The existing population foundation that restricts the long -term balanced population。

First，The population base is huge。Population change is completed，Enter the era of low fertility level，Slowing population growth rate，It marks the pressure of population growth。but，Basic national conditions with a huge population size have not fundamentally changed。According to the "Statistics of the National Economic and Social Development Statistics 2018"， At the end of 2018, my country's total population was 1.395 billion，Still ranked first in the world。According to the United Nations "World Population Outlook: 2017 Revised Edition", the plan prediction，Indian population will catch up in China in 2024，China's total population will reach 1.44 billion in 2028，Fall to 1.36 billion in 2050，Locate the second in the world。The population scale is always huge，This is the base point for knowing the population of our country，It is also a prerequisite for promoting long -term balanced development。

Second，Fast processing process of population aging、Large scale、High level。According to the data of the State Old Age Commission's "General Research Report of the Strategic Research on Population Age"，From now to the middle of this century，Both the number of elderly population and aging level in my country both "double"，Where，The elderly population 60 and above will increase from 249 million to 2053 peaks of 487 million; correspondingly，The level of aging rises from 17.3%to 34.9%，Enter the ranks of heavy aging social countries in the world。Fast and aging population is the basic population of socialist modernization in my country，is the population foundation of the "two fifteen years" national development strategy。

third，Social gender imbalance form urgently needs attention。The sex ratio of more than 30 years is higher Bet365 lotto review in gender ratio，It means that my country's society has a problem of gender imbalance for a long period of time。

Fourth，Family changes rapid。Family miniature at the micro level、Simplified、Simplified、Core、Enthusiastic coexistence，Weaken family development function and ability，The family's dependence on society is getting stronger。

The non -balanced performance of the above population，The population basis formed by the balanced development of my country's population，It constitutes a certain challenge for promoting long -term balanced development of the population。

　The characteristics of population opportunities shift from human resources to comprehensive population advantages

Since the reform and opening up，my country's GDP (GDP) at an average annual high speed of about 40 years at an average annual growth of about 40 years，Created China's Economic Miracle。In the process，Population transformation provides new driving force for economic development，Popularity dividends have made significant contributions to economic development。According to the "Statistics of the National Economic and Social Development Statistics 2018"，At the end of 2018，GDP total value reaches 9.03 trillion yuan，The status of the world's second largest economy is further consolidated; the per capita GDP is 64644 yuan，Creating a new high in history，The total GDP created by our country accounts for about 1/6，But the per capita GDP is still lower than the global average。The most direct reflection of high -speed economic growth is the significant increase in income levels of urban and rural residents，2018 urban and rural residents' disposable income reached 39651 yuan/year and 14617 yuan/year。For the 40 years of reform and opening up，We crossed out of poverty、Fully solve food and clothing、Realize the basic well -off society、It is about to enter a few steps of a well -off society in an all -round way，From standing up and entering the rich development stage。

Follow the law of population transformation，With the current labor population Bet365 app download enters the aging stage，Unveiled and continuous deepening of aging society，The nature and characteristics of population opportunities that are conducive to economic development are shifting from human resources leading to acceleration of population aging、Human capital accumulation is stronger、A decrease in human resources but still a large number of comprehensive population advantages，Determined the future population opportunity is still open，This is a basic judgment。Of course，"Two Fifteen Years" new era development strategic cycle and the stage of promoting the long -term balanced development of the population is also facing various challenges of sustainable economic and social development，We must have a full understanding of this。

　　Facing severe resource and environment challenges

The relationship between population and economy, society, and resources and environment is a decisive factor restricting the development of the population，The focus of the long -term balanced development of the population。Build a well -off society in an all -round way，Then use two fifteen years to achieve basic modernization and modern power.，It means that the quality of people's life is continuously improved，Per capita resource consumption demand continues to increase。Due to the hard constraints of the resources and environment，Per capita resource share reflects the contradiction between the population and the resources and the environment。For example，1/3 for the world's per capita per capita per capita per capita，1/2 per capita average land area is less than 1/2，The per capita forest area is only 1/5，The per capita occupation of 45 mineral resources in the process of industrialization is less than 1/2，Per capita petroleum and natural gas proven can only be mining reserves only 1/15，Natural resource constraints are an important factor restricting the sustainable economic and social development of our country。

For the past half a century，my country's population policy is centered on the "control population" as the center，to alleviate the relationship between economic and social development and resources and environment，The population growth bet365 live casino games rate has been effectively controlled to a certain extent。but，Before the middle of the 21st century，my country's total population will always remain more than 1.3 billion，Long -term balanced development of population will face severe resource and environment challenges。

　The improvement of the comprehensive population quality is the source of the economic and social development

　　Under the existing population scale and population structure that restricts the long -term balanced development of population，Comprehensive improving the comprehensive quality of the population is an important path to promote long -term balanced development，It is an important force that weakens the negative effect brought about by the non -balanced state of population，is the basic core content that promotes the long -term balanced development strategy。

Since the reform and opening up，The task of "improving the quality of the population" proposed by the basic national policy has also achieved significant success。First，The health status is greatly changed。According to "2017 my country Health and Health Development Statistics Bulletin"，The average life expectancy of 2017 reached 76.7 years，Baby mortality、The mortality rate and maternal mortality rate of children under 5 years of age dropped to 6.8 ‰、9.1 ‰ and 19.6/100,000，Average better than the world's high -income countries。2，The level of education has been greatly improved。As of 2015，Cumulative population of higher education has reached 171 million，Living in the world's first place，accounting for 12.4%of the total population; the average number of educational years of the population of 6 years and above reached 9.08 years; the average education period for new labor force was 13.3 years，Equivalent to the first grade of college; ordinary colleges and universities、The number of graduates of undergraduate and graduate students has entered the era of 8 million people。Human capital is the engine of development，It is the active element of the prosperity and progress of the national nation。Science and Technology is productive forces，The contribution to the improvement Bet365 app download of population quality to economic development is to alleviate the demand for the number of labor，Improve labor productivity。

　　Comprehensive consideration of the population element is a strategic choice for long -term balanced development

Promoting long -term balanced development strategic plan，First, to grasp the development of the population、Core issues of the sustainable development of economy, society, resources and environment，Moderate population scale and growth is the only path to the long -term balanced development of the population。Second, the basic national conditions in the face of huge population scale and serious aging population structure，Especially the stress of population on economic and social development and the tension between the population and the resource environment，Strategic ideas and positioning to promote long -term balanced development of the population must be based on the current、Look at the future，Looking at 100 years later，or even two hundred years of population size and moderate structure and structure in a moderate cycle。Recent，To actively cope with the population problems that have occurred in front of you or predicts for the next decades，Perseverance is the basic of economic and social development、Long -term、Comprehensive and forward -looking strategic development concept，The long -term balanced development strategy of planning population。Third, the improvement Bet365 app download of population quality is endless，Persist in educating the country、Science and Technology Xingguo Strategy，High -quality population for long -term balanced development，It is an indispensable basic and strategic resource，It is the source of power for high -quality development。Fourth, the structural imbalance of the population is a phased，It will not be the eternal state of future population development。Population structure imbalance is not simply a population problem，The state's development strategy must be based on the basis of the basic population and economic development population，Using development to face and solve the structural problem of population is an important way to choose。

(Author Unit: School of Economics, Nankai University)