Since my country’s general colleges and universities expanded enrollment in 1999，The number of students enrolled increased from 159 that year.680,000 increased to 6.57 million in 2010，The average annual growth rate is nearly 26%。However，The number of applicants increased to 1060 in 2008.After 670,000，First decline in 2009，Continue to decline in 2010。The increase and decrease in the number of enrollment and applicants has increased the bet365 code ordinary colleges and universities，As a result, the bet365 code general colleges and universities nationwide in 2010 was close to 70%。Follow this development trend，2004—The original data of China’s higher education in 2010 is used as a sample to predict the admission rate，The results are as follows: if the enrollment expansion trend continues，In the absence of strong external intervention，The bet365 code general colleges and universities will exceed 100% in 2023。At this time，There will be a student crisis in higher education。If allowed to develop，will cause some colleges and universities to close or lower their scores in order to source students，Resulting in a waste of higher education resources and a decline in education quality。(Source: "Fudan Education Forum" Issue 3, 2011Chen Honglan/pick)