Britain and European relations after Brexit still have uncertainty
December 23, 2019 09:34 Source: "China Social Sciences", December 23, 2019, Issue 1842 Author: This newspaper reporter Zhao Yuan

December 19,Opening of the New Parliament of the UK。Queen Elizabeth II said,Completing "Brexit" and establishing a new relationship with the EU will be the focus of the current government。December 20,The lower house of the British Parliament voted for a bill related to "Brexit",In principle, the transition period of the British "Brexit" is no longer extended。How will Brexit develop new relations with the European Union and other countries after the Brexit? The reporter interviewed relevant experts and scholars on the above issues。

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Robin Niblett, director of the Royal Institute of International Affairs, said,January 31, 2020,Britain will complete "Brexit"。Future,When the UK is negotiating in the new trade agreement,will face more changes、More fragmented、The international economic environment with more protectionism。When opening a new chapter Bet365 app download in the future,Establishing an efficient cooperative relationship with the European Union and its member states is the most important step。At the same time,EU and Britain have benefited from international order based on rules,Facing the same international risk。Recognize the mutual dependence of Britain and Europe,It will help both parties maintain influence in a more challenging international environment。

The International Monetary Fund Organization report proposes,The external economic environment in the UK is facing a crisis。Slowing global economic growth、Increased trade barriers and other factors affect global business confidence and economic activities。Jonathan Perraton, a senior lecturer at the University of Sheffield University, believes,The global economy is still weak,Slowing economic growth,The two major export markets in the UK -the performance of the euro zone and the United States is not ideal,Varcation of German manufacturing steps。The tension of the global economy brings major downlink pressure on the market。"Brexit" uncertainty exacerbated the potential risk of Bet365 lotto review the British economy,Reducing "Brexit" related uncertainty may enhance confidence,But in the context of a weak global economy,The new British government still faces major challenges。

  The influence of the Brexit "Brexit" will continue

British Central Bank Report Forecast,Reducing "Brexit" related uncertainty helps to boost investment,But the main influencing factor is what kind of trade agreement the British eventually reached with the European Union。

Professor Christopher Pissarides, a professor of economics at the School of Economics, London, UK, said in an interview with this reporter,Brexit "Brexit" will affect its labor market。First,Due to increased trade barriers and decline in foreign investment,Labor demand will face downward pressure,This will be for manufacturing、retail and transportation industries caused a huge impact。Next,Britain will reform the immigration policy,Restriction of immigration may lead to more tense labor market,Increase labor costs at the same time。continuously raised trade barriers and more trade management costs,It may erode the profitability of British companies,and reduce the potential market scale。bet365 best casino games In the future, if the UK and the European Union cannot reach a trade agreement,It may also communicate with the ideological exchanges between the two parties、Information communication and increasing obstacles in international cooperation,Affecting British technological innovation ability and global competitiveness。

Report from the National Institute of Economics and Social Sciences of the United Kingdom,Compared to staying in the European Union,"Brexit" this decision has reduced the GDP of the UK by 2.5%,and its related uncertainty is difficult to eliminate in the short term。It is difficult to reach a trade agreement with the European Union during the transition period,without the agreement "Brexit" will cause huge uncertainty in the future of Britain and Europe and the issue of immigration issues。Compared to staying in Europe,"Brexit" in any form of "Brexit" will reduce the British economy scale,This means that British tax revenue will also reduce it with it。

 Promote the development of "Globalization Britain"

Paul Johnson, director of the British Institute bet365 live casino games of Finance, believes,First,The government hopes to solve economic problems。The biggest risk you will face in the future is to fall into a comprehensive economic recession。In the short term, the government can do more limited,But may make additional concentrated investment in the new Conservative Party in central and northern Britain。Next,Housing problems are key issues for any society。The decline in house ownership and high rent brought a heavy blow to the younger generation。Future government needs to design to adapt to low interest rates、Housing policy in the era of high prices and large -scale private lease。Last,The government needs additional investment to cope with climate change。Previous government commitment,A "net zero" emissions of greenhouse gas from 2050。In the next five years,The UK needs to take action。other,Medical、Education and other public services and social care fields also require a lot of investment support。While processing the "Brexit" challenge,How to make progress in these areas,will be a huge test。

Nirblait thinks, The British wants to get the Bet365 app download EU -based economy、Foreign policy turns to a more international economy、Foreign Policy,Not only is it difficult, but it takes time,The cost will also be higher than expected。If you want to achieve this goal in the future,The Johnson government needs to make continuous political investment,To establish a firm future relationship with the EU。Nirblat proposed,After determining the new relationship with the EU Britain,It will turn to develop British and American new relations,and need to find a new balance between the United States and Europe。At the same time,The development of new diplomatic and trade relations with other countries is also very important for Britain。

 (Our newspaper London, December 21st)

Editor in charge: Zhang Yueying
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