The world is undergoing profound changes unprecedented in a century,Europe is also grappling with this change。October 28,The European Policy Center (EPC) released the report "The Changing World" written by Ricardo Borges de Castro, deputy director bet365 code center and director bet365 code "Europe in the World" project Europe's transformation in。The report analyzes the main factors currently affecting the role bet365 code EU on the world stage,Emphasize that the 2020s may be a period of transformation for Europe and even the world,Call for changes at EU level to address these shifts。
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Report said,International politics is not static。Over the past few years,The international order becomes more complex、Diverse,Also more connected and challenging。Many reasons have led to changes and transformations in global politics。First of all, the nature of strength has changed。Population alone、territory、GDP、Traditional elements such as military power are no longer enough to exert influence in today’s world,Mutual relationship、Connectivity、Technology and soft power are elements valued by the international community in the 21st century。Therefore,The elements that constitute “power” have become more dispersed,Countries need more strategic flexibility。Accordingly,The nature bet365 code threat has also changed,The rise of hybrid threats。
The second is the increase bet365 code number of participants。over the past few decades,The number of participants bet365 code field of international affairs continues to increase,More voices appeared。Except Country、International Organization、Except multinational companies, etc.,Non-state actors、Social organization、Cities and regions,Even individuals have stood on the world stage。Originally dominant actors are challenged by emerging actors,These emerging actors have demonstrated the ability to reshape the international system,And brings a new governance model。
Once again, the pace of change is accelerating。Accelerating technological and digital change,This point has been further highlighted under the influence bet365 code new coronavirus epidemic。However,The governments of many countries have not kept pace with these changes,Failure to effectively offset potential negative impacts of changes,Technological hegemony has obvious impacts on geopolitics and geostrategy。
Finally, the boundary between “inside” and “outside” is dissolving。bet365 code increasingly interconnected world、In a world of interdependence,How people live、Thinking、Work、Production、Consumption, etc. will have an impact beyond the country or region。Global warming、Nationalism、Protectionism、Immigration pressure and other issues,None of them can be solved within a single country,Both need to rely on global solutions。
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In addition to the above structural changes,Report submitted,There are also some global trends that are promoting changes bet365 code global order。Proposed by de Castro bet365 code report,The EU will be affected by seven global trends bet365 code future。
Report on connectivity、Digital、Three major trends in climate change boil down to the “meta-trends” bet365 code 21st century。The trend of further connectivity in the world is unstoppable。In view bet365 code widespread spread bet365 code epidemic,The EU should take this opportunity to think about its own vulnerability and dependence,And consider how to increase the resilience bet365 code healthcare system。Digital technology has become a job for many people、Learning、Social、Entertainment and other essential components。But the benefits of digitalization are not evenly shared,Even leading to increased inequality。Digital transformation also affects geopolitics。Present,Europe in Artificial Intelligence、5G、Quantum computing and other technologies are still relatively backward,Need to increase investment to catch up。Climate change is destined to affect politics and policies in the next century or even longer。Future,Facing extreme weather,The EU also needs to promote “green policies” to become mainstream。
In addition,Report population dynamics、Changes in economic strength、The four major trends of democratic decline and power politics are classified as "key trends"。Reported,Although the population models within Europe have their own characteristics,But the overall trend shows that Europe’s population will become smaller and smaller,will further age。This will pose challenges to the sustainability bet365 code development of European welfare states。In Europe,Whether it’s immigration or automation,Or measures such as delaying the retirement age,Whether it can effectively deal with the aging problem,No one has reached a consensus。Except the population is decreasing,Europe’s economic strength is also weakening,The center of gravity bet365 code world economy is shifting。In addition,The Western governance model is also challenged by global challenges。
bet365 code to six frontier fields
Report analysis,The above structural changes interact with global trends,Reveals six key frontier areas that the EU needs to pay attention to in the 10 years bet365 code 21st century,Includes geovalues、Geopolitics、Geoeconomics、Geotech、Geoconnectivity、geosphere and biosphere。De Castro thinks,Opposition in these fields、Competition and Cooperation,Fiddling with Europe’s compass of destiny,Will affect the future international role bet365 code EU。
First, geographical value。The EU is based on democracy、An organization built on values such as the rule of law,We should start with ourselves to defend these values。The second is geopolitics。Due to the high level of interdependence among global players,When there is a dispute between other parties,The EU cannot settle in a corner。The EU should reduce its external dependence and its own vulnerability,Enhance strength,Maintain your own safety。The third is geo-economics。Economic and social policies will be the key to solving the problem of inequality and improving people's well-being in the "post-epidemic" era。Trade will play an important role in the EU’s prosperity and global influence。The fourth is geotechnology。The development of disruptive technologies will further shape major power relations,Will also determine the future bet365 code European Union。The EU needs to solve the problem of funding、Inadequacy in innovation and other aspects,At the same time, focus on coordinating competition rules、Industrial Policy、Key drivers of digital transformation such as digital convergence。The fifth is geographical connectivity。Physical and digital connectivity will continue to shape the EU’s international role。Connectivity is the intersection of geopolitics and geoeconomics,It is also a key tool to create world influence。The EU will implement its own connectivity strategy,But it should not be used only as a means to gain influence,Efforts should also be made to address intra-regional poverty through enhanced connectivity、Health、Challenges such as food security。Sixth is the geosphere and biosphere。Protecting the earth’s environment and its biodiversity will be a major strategic challenge in the coming decades。This field is related to the future of mankind,Only through global cooperation and synergy,In order to respond effectively。
Report said,bet365 code foreseeable future,Europe will face a state of "continuous crisis",That is, crises appear one after another。In this state,The EU needs to implement changes at the overall level,Clear the priorities of matters that need to be dealt with。Only by adapting to these structural changes,Perfect management,Only the EU has a chance to not fall behind in global competition。
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