January 17,International Labor Organization (ILO) released the report "World Employment and Social Outlook: 2022 Trends" report,Comprehensive assessment of the recovery of the global labor market under the influence of the epidemic situation。Report Forecast 2022、2023 The prospect of the global labor market recovery is still not optimistic,At the same time, I put forward relevant policy recommendations for promoting the people -oriented recovery。
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Report display,Overall,The key labor markets in various regions of the world have not returned to the level before the epidemic,and it is still difficult to achieve a comprehensive recovery in 2023。Due to the persistence of the epidemic,Labor markets in various regions are facing downward risks。Report said,Destruction of the epidemic、The emergence of structural defects and new risks,Reduce the possibility of new decent work。Potential structural defects and inequality may enlarge and extend the adverse effects of crisis。The informal economy of some developing countries has weakened the effectiveness of policy tools,Because such enterprises have Bet365 lotto review a lower ability of government subsidies during the obtaining regular credit and epidemic,This makes it difficult for relief measures to benefit all those in need,So that internal inequality is intensified。Developed countries that depend on labor -intensive commodities are particularly difficult to adapt to economic changes under the epidemic。Economy relying on the tourism industry is also being affected by border closure and revenue sharply。Report estimation,Labor demand to return to the level before the epidemic still takes time,This will lead to the slow growth of employment and labor time。2021 Due to the slow and uneven working hours due to working hours,Workers' labor income is basically at a lower level,Because most workers do not have enough alternative income ways,Therefore, the family savings of workers are constantly decreasing。The reduction of income further suppress consumer demand,Eventually form a vicious cycle。
Forecast display of international labor organizations,The ratio of the global employment population in 2022 is expected to be 55.9%,1.4%lower than 2019。The global unemployment rate is expected to be at least 2023 to fall below 2019。The global unemployed population in 2022 is expected to be 207 million。Because many people may never return after leaving the labor market,Therefore, Bet365 app download the level of unemployment cannot reflect all the impact of crisis on the employment market。
According to the report,The problem of inequality in the recovery is significant。Relatively speaking,The recovery prospects in Europe and Pacific are better,Latin America and Caribbean、The prospect of recovery in Southeast Asia is the least optimistic。High -income country's labor market recovery rate is the fastest,Since the epidemic happens,The biggest impact of the low -income countries,The speed of recovery in the labor market is slower。Inside the country,The level of recovery of the labor market is not balanced。In the next few years,The impact of the epidemic on women's employment is expected to be reduced,But the gender gap is still large。This gap is more obvious in the medium -to -high -income countries。2022,The proportion of women's employment population in the medium and high -income countries is expected to be 1.8%lower than 2019,and 16%lower than the male employment rate in the same year。other,Due to schools in many countries、College and skill training institutions have been closed for a long time,Learning results are weakened,This will give young people employment、Continuing education and training bring long -term impact,This is especially the case for young people who are difficult to get bet365 live casino games online learning opportunities。Self -employment and family work with poor working conditions have been declining before the epidemic occurred,But in 2020, such a work converted into a growth trend,and continue to maintain growth in 2021。
Active action to cope with uncertainty
Report emphasizing,The epidemic has triggered economic structural changes,and continue to affect the labor market。The interweaving of various macroeconomic trends has increased the uncertainty of many problems。For example,Working hours、Employment level、How long will the decline in labor participation rate last? Is the epidemic accelerating the transformation of labor -saving?。Change of employment relationships,For example, relying on informal self -employed occupations、Remote work increase、Turn to temporary work, etc.,It may also have a destructive effect on working conditions。Face these pressures,Policies that need to be coordinated to accelerate the recovery of the labor market,Solving the problem of inequality,prompting the global economy to return to a sustainable growth orbit。The prerequisite for enhancing this recovery is to obtain the vaccine、Debt reorganization、Promoting multilateral operations and global collaboration。Report Suggestion,To realize the people -oriented recovery, Bet365 app download it is necessary to start from four aspects: to promote the tolerance economic growth and development、Protect all workers、Strengthen social security、Social dialogue。
During the recovery,macroeconomic policy should not only seek level before the epidemic occurred,Because this cannot increase decent work,It is also impossible to enhance the state's resistance to the potential crisis in the future。Fiscal policy must not only protect the work、Income and employment as the goal,It should also be committed to solving structural challenges and roots that lead to lack of decent work worldwide。According to different restrictions and priority matters according to different countries,It can develop a series of fiscal policies designed to create productive employment,and supplemented by related industrial policies、Skills improvement plan and labor market policy support,Simultaneous increase in social security investment。Deepen the interaction with the "big trend" of the "epidemic and technological development",Equality between economies and internal inequality may be further expanded,Adopting active macro policies becomes more and more important。
Strengthen the protection of all workers,Need to protect the basic rights in workers' work,Make sure its health in the workplace、Security,Implementing Bet365 app download reform plan Promoting gender equality。The spread of the epidemic exposes the disadvantaged situation of many workers' groups,Including front -line basic workers、Informal workers、Individual operator、Immigration workers、Low -skilled workers, etc.,They often get more in the risks caused by crisis,And many of them are not in the range of social security coverage。Therefore,Social social security gap,Provide a wide range of obtaining comprehensive、Opportunities for full and continuous social security,Must be a priority item。
other,Social dialogue played a key role in responding to the epidemic,Many policies and measures to reduce unemployment are reached by multi -party discussions。Social dialogue during the recovery,Find a win -win situation for enterprises and workers,Solutions with a positive macroeconomic impact and overflowing effect are still important。To strengthen the participation ability of the public administrative department and related organizations,Promoting the role of social dialogue。
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