Finnish scholars suggest: enhance the strategic planning ability of crisis management
July 04, 2022 09:34 Source: "China Social Sciences", July 4, 2022, Issue 2440 Author: This reporter Chu Guofei

June 26-30,The 11th World City Forum organized by the UNDP was held in Catovitz, southern Polish City。The theme of this forum is "Promoting City Transformation,Build a beautiful future "。How to deal with climate change to cities around the world is one of the focus of this forum。

The city created 80%of the world's GDP,It also produced 70%carbon emissions around the world。In recent years,How to cope with the influence of the worsening climate change,Gradually becoming a topic of concern from all walks of society。"Long -term crisis" is a research project related to crisis prevention and supply security,The ability to improve the Finnish government to respond to the urban environment crisis,Especially to improve the decision -making ability of decision makers to respond to multiple disaster risks in the city。This project is funded by the Finnish Academy of Sciences,At this stage, Finnish Helsinki、Three cities of Tanpere and Kotca participated in the project。What is the design concept of this project? What academic value and practical significance?,Reporter interviewed the person in charge of the project、Professor Janne Hukkinen, a professor of environmental policy at the University of Helsinki。

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"Long -term Crisis" project started in 2022,The research team plans to conduct 10 simulation experiments in three cooperative cities from 2022-2023,The purpose is to become more normalized in the future environmental bet365 Play online games crisis、Large -scale、Under the situation of strong destructive power,Enhance the strategic planning ability of Finnish decision makers。

Harbinner pointed out,The world is currently facing unprecedented climate challenges,If countries around the world do not take action immediately,I may have been unable to return to the sky when I want to act after decades。The "Long -term Crisis" project is trying to use scientific ways,Find a feasible solution for the current decision -making dilemma。"We have entered an era of long -term environment crisis,They different from the place,But appear in different forms a year after year。The consequences of these crisis are often gradually appearing,This even tests the decision maker,Because they need to make decisions for the results that appeared after a period of time, they need to make decisions。"He said,For researchers,Strategic decision -making has obvious short -to -medium and long -term divisions。But,Interesting is,Different government departments often have different responsibilities distinction,If the management department is responsible for crisis management,Other departments are responsible for strategic management。

Current,The project team has set up a strategic war room,Preview extreme weather with data simulation,Provide a platform for senior decision makers and experts participating in the cooperative cities,Give them the opportunity to coordinate and cooperate in the strategic war room,Commonly cope with "crisis"。Introduction to Harkinna,For example,Not long ago, they performed a simulation exercise in Helsinki。The research team has developed a "instrument board",Through a paragraph of analog bet365 Play online games video,Comprehensive、dynamically displayed a storm in 2025 and its damage to the city。Video reported from the beginning of "recent" a series of news caused by climate issues,Go to the Finnish Institute of Meteorological Research on the weather report of the "this" storm estimated severe damage,Before the storm comes,Severe drought caused by high temperature weather、A series of problems such as deterioration of fire and air quality,Finally demonstrated the damage suffered by Helsinki after the storm scene and the storm。

Harkinna said,This "preview" data is the "copy" of the real storm that occurred in Copenhagen in 2014。The research team just transfers these data to Helsinki,and simulate the impact of "storm" on Herbiny through three dimensions。

  Environmental crisis management urgently need new decision -making procedures

Harbinner pointed out,Climate issues intensified,Soon may not only stay on the "instrument board",And it will become the daily life that people have to face。In fact,Many climate issues have affected people’s lives,and the frequency is constantly increasing。For example,High temperature weather or extremely cold weather in somewhere constantly refresh historical records,Epidemi which has an impact on public life and socio -economic。"Environmental crisis management requires strategic planning,and strategic planning cannot only stay on the file。"He emphasized。

As far as the experiment of "long -term crisis",Research team discovered after analyzing relevant policies and data,There are conflicts in the decision -making process of urban departments。Take a simple example,A climate response department said that the city will build some facilities to protect citizens,and another department responsible for financial management Bet365 lotto review has strict requirements on municipal investment,The construction investment of each of the above facilities is limited and it is difficult to land。"The reason why this project invites high -level decision makers to participate in,Mainly hope that they have a more comprehensive understanding of the crisis response measures that need to make decisions immediately,Especially those contradictions between various regulations and policies that may face in decision -making,The current situation changes the current situation of lack of coordination between various departments when facing the common crisis,Make a long -term strategic preparation。"Harbinner continues,"I think this is also the most valuable place in this project,Different departments have the opportunity to come together,Communicate with each other,Seeing possible questions,And discuss how to coordinate。"He thinks,Although these experiments are simulated,But in the long run,It can be used to promote urban decision makers to adopt new decision -making procedures,Gathering the persons and experts of various departments and experts,Participate in discussion and decision -making,Make strategic planning,To cope with the long -term environmental crisis caused by future climate problems。

  Significant effects ignite the decision makers to participate in enthusiasm

So far,This project has begun to achieve results,This also further increases the enthusiasm of decision makers,Make the experiment smoothly advance。Harbinner will attribute the initial success of the project to two aspects: openness and timeful。He repeatedly emphasized the openness of the project during the interview,"Our research projects are more providing bet365 Play online games a platform through simulation experiments,The entire process is design and openness。This is also a reason why the project can achieve greater results "。He pointed out,When experiments in different cities,Participants will encounter various unknown problems,Researchers and expert groups will continue to adjust and improve in the experiments。

"Just at the time" is another important reason。Because there are different forms of crisis in many places around the world,This makes decision makers more and more aware of the urgency of the problem,It will pay more attention to long -term investment,Take the plan as much as possible,Effective response crisis、Reduce loss。Harbinner said,Now,Sudden crisis occurs when there is a sudden crisis,It can be said that in response to various crises,Decision makers have accumulated a lot of experience。But,When talking to the executives and senior officials of the Helsinki City Government,Researchers have found some problems in crisis management。"Take the epidemic of new crown pneumonia as an example,This is an emergency public health event,It must be solved immediately。But consider from the level of crisis,It's not just to solve the problem in front of you,Also need to be discussed from a long plan,Consider the long -term and normalization of the crisis。"" In fact,When the government invested a large number of public funds,Make the economy and life recover from the epidemic as soon as possible,People are more concerned about the funds provided only as one -time emergency investment,Still dealing with the existing crisis,Starting to make plans for long -term structural changes。Discussion on energy is the same,It Bet365 app download should focus on the diversification of seeking the channels for fossil fuel supply,Still transfer the focus to the development and application of renewable energy。These are decisions that need to be made immediately,Copy long -term crisis,If you have a little improper, you may have a profound impact on the future。

Development vision to deal with crisis

When talking about challenges,Harbinner pointed out,Current,The biggest challenge for people is the so -called "defense inspiration"。It mainly refers to high -level decision makers tend to protect themselves during the decision -making process,That is, what they usually know what is the right decision,What is long -term、Comprehensive decision,But due to short -term or narrow interests,They are often afraid of making such a decision。In this experiment,The research team also found,The participants even found that their "decision" actually brought worse consequences,But I still say "Okay,This is a pity,But we do well "。

When asked what kind of further plan is in the future,Harkinna said,They applied for several EU funding,So far, I have also received a very good positive evaluation。The project team has also maintained a good contact with European and American researchers who are interested in participating,Including Italian、Portugal、Slovakia and the United States researchers。

other,The project team is also trying to seek more cooperative cities,I hope to carry out more simulation and rehearsal under different conditions and accumulate "practical experience" and data。Harbinner said,"I think it is necessary to do this,The long -term crisis is almost inevitable,We should not worry about running between different crises,Stop only at trying to survive in a crisis。The crisis is gradually developing、Interconnected,Bet365 app download Although they progress slowly,but but related to each other。We need to take a long -term look,Because we can't afford the price of only one crisis at a time "。

Editor in charge: Cui Cen
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