In recent years,Economic globalization encounters countercurrent,Economic and trade frictions intensify,There are endless voices of the reshoring of the US manufacturing industry and the decoupling of the Sino-US bet with bet365,This also marks the rapid opening of a global bet with bet365 restructuring。How to deal with the huge uncertainty in the reconstruction of the global bet with bet365,It is not only related to the improvement of my country’s industrial competitiveness and the sustainability of economic growth,It also directly affects the future division of labor in the global bet with bet365。
The evolution of global bet with bet365 layout and reconstruction
Industry chain,Essentially, it is the sum of the physical manifestations and collaborative relationships of the production division of labor system in time and space distribution nodes,At the micro level, it represents the enterprise’s product supply chain,At the macro level, it appears as a value chain with divided interests。The formation of the bet with bet365 is the result of the division of production,The fundamental driving force is the efficiency improvement brought about by division of labor。The organizational strategy of this division of labor node and the dominant way of profit distribution are diversified due to industry characteristics and competitiveness,And roughly divided into production-led bet with bet365 and consumption-led bet with bet365。The former is a chain of coordination and division of labor with production enterprises as the core,Typical bet with bet365 such as aircraft manufacturing (Boeing model)。The latter is based on sales enterprises,Focus on business organization structure and distribution channel control,Represented by Wal-Mart’s procurement and distribution industry chain (Wal-Mart model)。No matter what form it is,Industrial chains follow basic market laws to organize and undergo fission。
The development of the bet with bet365 profoundly affects the spatial structure of global economic production activities。Since the global bet with bet365 began to form after the first industrial revolution,Three global bet with bet365 reconstructions have occurred。The first large-scale restructuring of the global bet with bet365 occurred around the time of World War I,The rise of the U.S. manufacturing industry has shifted the focus of global industry to North America。The upstream industry, with the heavy and chemical industry as the main body, has become the leading force in the reconstruction and integration of the bet with bet365,Dominating the reorganization of the global bet with bet365 in the first half of the 20th century。The second relatively large-scale restructuring of the global bet with bet365 occurred between the post-World War II period and the 1970s,With Japan、The rise of manufacturing in newly industrialized countries such as Latin America is the main manifestation。The center of global industry begins to spread to neighboring countries in the Asia-Pacific,Mainly focusing on light industrial consumer goods and electronic products。The third relatively large-scale restructuring of the global bet with bet365 began in the 1980s,The global industrial center of gravity further shifts to China。Especially after China joins the World Trade Organization,Industrial transfer and bet with bet365 further strengthened,Thus forming the current division of labor in the global bet with bet365。
Can be found,Although wars and political contests have contributed to the formation and reconstruction of global industrial chains,But,Pursuing lower costs、Highly efficient division of labor and production collaboration system are the fundamental reasons for the reconstruction of the bet with bet365。Every bet with bet365 reconstruction,It’s all a win-win process。On the one hand,The original industrial centers basically dominate the distribution of the value chain,And free up more resources and space to achieve industrial innovation and bet with bet365 upgrading;On the other hand,Emerging industrial links are beginning to rely on endowment advantages,Realize its industrialization and rapid economic growth。
Increased uncertainty in the restructuring of the global bet with bet365
Compared with previous reconstructions of the global bet with bet365,The background and sources of this global bet with bet365 restructuring are significantly different,The uncertainty of its direction has also increased significantly。
First,This restructuring of the global bet with bet365 is obviously characterized by political competition。Some developed countries ignore the basic fact that the division of labor in the global economic bet with bet365 brings mutual benefit and win-win results to all countries,Forcibly blocking the bet with bet365 based on political interests。In the field of conventional industries,Regardless of comparative advantage,Forcing the manufacturing reshoring policy;In the field of high-end industries,Use its technological advantages to squeeze out China,Pushing the existing global bet with bet365 into chaos。These measures clearly violate basic economic laws,The fundamental reason behind this is that economic efficiency gives way to political interests。
Secondly,This bet with bet365 reconstruction shows the characteristics of anti-"flying goose model" in a sense。Previous global bet with bet365 reconstruction and industrial transformation,Most of the low-efficiency industrial chains are transferred from advanced countries or regions to countries or regions with more cost advantages (also known as the "flying goose model")。In this process,Pioneering countries continue to upgrade their industrial structure and consumption structure,And always occupy the "leading goose" position in the bet with bet365。And currently,The reshoring of manufacturing industry and high-tech establishment in the United States,It not only blocks the sequential transfer and reconstruction of the previous bet with bet365,It also disrupted the pace of further transfer and diffusion of the bet with bet365。
AGAIN,The global economic governance framework that consolidates and empowers the division of labor in the global bet with bet365 is under great challenge。With World Trade Organization、International economic organizations represented by the International Monetary Fund,Originally a beneficial promoter and defender of the global bet with bet365 pattern,Now it is increasingly becoming a place for competition between political forces,Its function in coordinating and governing global industrial division of labor and trade has been greatly restricted。While some regional economic organizations perform regional governance functions,It also further disintegrates the power of globalization,Make the global bet with bet365 division of labor gradually become localized and fragmented。
Finally,The influence of multinational companies that are responsible for the implementation of the division of labor in the global bet with bet365 continues to weaken。Multinational companies are the implementers and power sources of the division of labor in the global bet with bet365,Plays an important role in shaping the global economic landscape and international economic systems and rules。current,The power of multinational companies in global economic governance and bet with bet365 layout has been further weakened,Even the global bet with bet365 layout of some multinational companies has become a victim of international political competition。Multinational companies have to succumb to political pressure from host countries,To rearrange the bet with bet365。
Promote the upgrading and reconstruction of my country’s bet with bet365
China is the world’s most promising market,Has the most complete industrial supporting conditions。Strategically speaking,It is in China’s interest to continue to maintain and deepen the division of labor in the global bet with bet365,With my country’s current economic strength and bet with bet365 status,Also has the ability to promote and maintain the global restructuring of the bet with bet365。
First,Promote the transformation of the bet with bet365 from supply-oriented to demand-oriented。China’s expanding middle-income group and the leading advantages of new business models represented by e-commerce,Is an important foundation for promoting the transformation of the leading force in bet with bet365 integration。The continuously growing middle-income group is an important support for consumption in the Chinese market,Is an important foundation for industrial development。Meanwhile,China’s leading advantage in e-commerce,Helps integrate the bet with bet365 through business model innovation,Thus enhancing the ability to control the bet with bet365。For this,On the one hand, we must continue to improve the income distribution system,Further expand the size of the middle-income group,Continue to promote consumption upgrade。On the other hand,Continue to vigorously develop e-commerce,Continuously promote innovation in e-commerce formats and models,Accelerate the digitalization of the business field,Continuously consolidate my country’s leading advantages in the global digital business field,Thus increasing influence in the reconstruction of the global bet with bet365。
Second,Continuously promote the bet with bet365 to make up for shortcomings through reform and innovation。We must dialectically view the impact of reindustrialization in developed countries and the reshoring of manufacturing on the bet with bet365,On the basis of reasonably distinguishing the core areas and peripheral areas of the industry,Focus on filling the shortcomings of the bet with bet365。Ease trade frictions by relocating peripheral industrial chains and increasing imports,Also gain time and space for the industry chain to make up for its shortcomings。Concentrate resources,Make full use of our country’s institutional and organizational advantages,Deepening reforms,Accelerate the formation of breakthroughs in the "stuck" bet with bet365,Get rid of dependence on developed countries in core industries。
Third,We must fully and accurately understand the domestic and international dual circulation,Focus on the two-wheel drive of the bet with bet365。At the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee on May 14, 2020,The central government proposed to build a new development pattern in which domestic and international dual cycles promote each other,It points out the direction for Chinese enterprises in the reconstruction of the global bet with bet365。Starting the domestic economic cycle is the foundation and guarantee for the two-wheel drive inside and outside the bet with bet365。On the one hand,There must be a complete domestic recycling industry chain,This is an inherent requirement of China’s huge domestic market,It is also an inherent requirement to deal with the risk of disruption of the global bet with bet365;On the other hand,Must be embedded in the global bet with bet365,In order to continuously improve competitiveness and innovation capabilities。
Fourth,Pay more attention to the restructuring of rules in the adjustment of the global bet with bet365。On the one hand,To continue、Pragmatically promote structural reform,Continuously improve the market economic system,As much as possible, "absorb and learn from the experience of international mature market economic systems and the beneficial achievements of human civilization",Accelerate the integration of domestic systems and rules with international standards”。On the other hand,For enterprises that “go global”,Strengthening training and assistance on international laws and rules,Increase awareness of universal international rules,Respect international rules and standards,Strictly abide by the laws and regulations of various countries。Government、Organizations and relevant enterprises must actively participate in the formulation of international governance rules and related industry and technical standards,Continuously strive for space for my country to improve its status in the global bet with bet365 and increase its voice。
(Author’s unit: Yangtze River Delta Integrated Development Research Center of Zhejiang University、Research Center on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics)
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