Uncertainty shrouded the British election
December 11, 2019 12:51 Source: "China Social Sciences" December 11, 2019, total 1834 author: This newspaper reporter Zhao Yuan

  

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December 12,The British will hold the election of the next parliament,Break through the "Brexit" deadlock。This is the first election in the winter in the UK since 1923。How will this election affect the British "Brexit" process、How will the British Political Bureau develop in the future,This reporter interviewed relevant experts and scholars。

  "Brexit" deadlock is difficult to break

John Curtice, a professor of political science at Syklaide University in the United Kingdom, said,In this British election,The most concerned of voters will still be the "Brexit" problem。Push over time,The support of the Conservative Party is increasingly concentrated in the voters who vote for "Brexit",Now the Labor Party's votes come more from voters who support "staying in Europe"。In bet365 Play online games this election,"Brexit" is not the only focus,But the attitude towards "Brexit" affects voters' voting results。As the campaign enters the last week,This effect will continue。

Anand Menon, a professor of the Department of European Politics and Foreign Affairs of the University of London, said,The election provides voters with a variety of solutions to solve the "Brexit" deadlock,But the feasibility of these solutions requires consideration。The Conservative Party promises to implement the "Brexit" to the end,Ensure that the UK is out of the European Union。But after "Brexit",Can the UK come out quickly from the influence of "Brexit"? The Conservative Party proposed,"Brexit" transition period will be no later than December 2020,This means that the British and the European Union reaching a trade agreement will face severe time pressure。and,Conservative Party service、Data、Aviation and even security cooperation have not made clear planning。Labor Party promises to negotiate a new "Brexit" agreement with the European Bet365 app download Union,But can it be completed when re -negotiation,and whether the referendum can be held in the negotiation results within 6 months, it is unknown。Compared to the Conservative Party,Labor promise to maintain a closer cooperation relationship with the EU in the future,But the specific details are not clear。For "Brexit", a key issue related to the future economic development of the UK,None of the Campaign Declaration of the Conservative Party and Labor Party did not conduct a detailed analysis of its economic and social impacts。

Costas Milas, a professor of financial professor in Liverpool University of Liverpool, believes,The UK in the UK's future uncertainty is damaging its economic prospects,Only referendum referendum can solve the problem。

  Election ending is unpredictable

December 6,After the last TV debate before the election,,Yougov conducted a quick survey of 1322 audiences。Survey results show,52%of the respondents believe that the Conservative Party leader in the TV debate、British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is better bet365 Play online games performed,48%of the respondents believe that Corbin performs better。Specifically,Johnson is Brexit、Get more recognition in issues such as security and government expenditure,And Korbin has obtained more interviewee recognition on the British national medical service system。According to the British Broadcasting Corporation,Current poll display,The Conservative Party led about 10 percentage points with 42%support,But the final result is still affected by multiple factors,Therefore, it is difficult to predict。

Bronwen Maddox, director of the British Government Institute (Institute for Government), said,No matter what the results of the election,2020 Britain will focus on two major issues,First, how to control the influence of the British "Brexit",Second, how to deal with possible Scottish independent referendum。

Paul Johnson, director of the British Institute of Finance, believes,There are large differences in the election declaration of the Conservative Party and Labor Party。Labor plans to increase taxes bet365 live casino games and government expenditures,and the Conservative Party has almost no relevant plan。The Conservative Party does not promise to increase taxes,This has a certain misleading。Facing the changing population structure and rising medical expenses,The British government cannot improve or maintain public services and benefits without increasing taxes。After the election is over,The actual expenditure of the new government is still uncertain。No matter what the results of the election,Britain will face multiple challenges in the future,If it increases productivity,Reform taxation system,Relieve pension、Medical and social security expenditure pressure,Realize the net zero emissions of greenhouse gas。

Professor Peter Bloom, a professor of management at the University of Essex, told this reporter,Britain should not ignore the impact of external economic environment on the future economic development of the UK。The International Monetary Fund forecasts that 2019 will become the worst year of global economic performance in Bet365 app download 2019,and the global economy in 2020 is difficult to show signs of significant warmth。Future,The British economy will not only affect the results of the election,It will also be affected by the slowdown of global economic growth in 2020。So,In the future plan, Britain also needs to actively prepare for external economic challenges。

  (This newspaper London, December 10th)

Editor in charge: Wang Ning
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