Population flow improves the problem of global labor shortage
September 27, 2021 08:19 Source: "China Social Sciences" September 27, 2021 Issue 2258 Author: This reporter Wang Xiaozhen

Current,The growth of the world's population is extremely uneven。To solve this imbalance situation,Charles Kenny, Director of the United States Global Development Center Technology and Development Director, posted on the official website of the center on September 20,Call for encouragement of labor flow around the world。

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According to the Population Department of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations,If the impact of immigration is not calculated,2020-2050,The scale of potential labor supply in many countries will be sharply reduced,Among them, high -income countries will reduce 46 million,Medium -to -high -income countries will reduce 85 million。As the aging trend intensifies,Elderly support ratio of high -income countries (the ratio of the number of elderly parts with the number of non -labor -age population to the number of people's age) bet365 live casino games will increase from 31%to 50%,Mid -high -income economy will increase from 17%to 40%。From the historical perspective,High -elderly raising ratio is often highly related to slowing population growth and fiscal crisis。

Kenny said,Although many countries have adopted encouragement fertility、Delayed retirement age、Promoting policies such as automation and offshore outsourcing,But in general,These policies are not enough to solve the problem of labor shortage。Take automation and offshore outsourcing as an example,These two policies will be in the next few decades,It is unlikely to relieve the teacher、Nurse、Construction workers、Labor shortage problems including restaurant employees and other positions。So,It is necessary to promote the flow of labor globally。

Take Japan as an example,The country's 65 -year -old population accounts for 1/4 for the total population,This is one of the important reasons for the slow growth of the Japanese economy。It is expected to be 2050,Japan's 20-64 -year -old population will be reduced by 28%compared to 2020,The elderly support ratio will also increase from bet365 Play online games 52%to 81%。Encourage more women to enter the labor market、Delayed retirement age、Accelerate automation and other measures,helps to alleviate the impact of aging on society,But the experience of Japan shows,These methods are far from enough。The Japanese government has previously maintained an excessive attitude on immigration issues for a long time,In recent years, it has only begun to attach importance to the role of immigrants in alleviating labor shortages。In fact,There is a wealth of labor resources in Asia,It can help aging countries fill the labor gap。For example,It is expected to be 2050,The elderly support ratio of the Philippines will still be only 20%,Its 20-64 -year -old population will increase by about 26 million,It is roughly the same as the labor gap in South Korea in 2050。Data show previously released by the United Nations Development Program,1991,India's labor age population increased by 300 million,But the number of employment only increased by 140 million。If labor resources such as the Philippines and India and other countries can be transferred to high productivity、Countries bet365 live casino games with a small population of labor,It will be the gospel for many parties。

Labor imbalance is a global phenomenon,In the future, high -income and high -income countries will face hundreds of millions of labor gaps,At the same time,From 2050,The world ’s labor age population will increase 986 million compared with 2020,These new potential labor will come from a poor country that is still in the early stage of population transformation。So,The challenges faced by low -income countries and low -income countries are,Find employment opportunities for the growing potential labor force。If the employment needs of richest countries are combined with the employment needs of poor countries,All countries will benefit from it。

 Provide policy support

It is not easy to speed up the labor flow global,Need to give considerable policy support for countries around the world。Kenny said,Restrictions on the movement of personnel movement of the epidemic of new crown pneumonia,further exacerbated the problem of labor shortage in many countries。So,Formulate a more reasonable policy to promote security、Efficient labor flow,The top priority bet365 best casino games of becoming a post -epidemic era。Countries are urgently needed to conduct global coordination,Improve relevant conditions,Create safety for labor flow、Fair channel,Realize mutual benefit。Specific measures include: pioneering skills partnership,Help output countries to cultivate and provide talents who meet the needs of receiving national labor; carry out close cooperation on qualification certification,allowing the working age population to engage in the same work in different countries; reform visa policies,Help some countries to increase temporary immigrants。In order to allow the benefits of global labor flow to benefit all parties,allow temporary and permanent immigrants to be accepted by the country,The government of the exporting country shall ensure that the immigration is fully understood from the working conditions of the receiving country、Legal rights and responsibilities,It is also necessary to re -integrate support for immigrants returning to their mother country; receiving the national government should ensure that housing supply can meet the needs of new immigrants,Methods such bet365 Play online games as "pairing" between new immigrants and local families,Promote immigration integration into the new social environment。

Kenny emphasized,Increasing labor flow is not a permanent or unique solution to solve the problem of aging global aging。On the demand side,Some countries may choose to sacrifice the quality of life,instead of receiving more immigration labor; on the supply side,There are also many working age population that may not want to move to other countries。but but,Labor flow can provide more time to adapt to the changes in the population in richest countries,At the same time, it can ensure that there are relatively many resources in poor countries to support their population growth。In short,To solve the problem of global labor imbalances will become the key to improving the quality of life of people in the world。

Editor in charge: Changchang
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