Harold James, a professor of history at the School of Public and International Affairs of Princeton University, Harold James ( in the US magazine ( ( this month (FOREIGN AFFAIRS) Published an article "The Future of Supply Chain Crisis and Globalization"。The article mentioned，Affected by the new crown pneumonia epidemic and various geopolitical frictions，Supply chain break problem further fermentation，Mood in nervousness and fear in various places，Globalization process is seriously blocked。Some analysts interact the interconnection between the era of globalization as a major weakness，I believe that the world will be divided into different competition groups。James does not agree with this view，He thinks，The continuous supply chain crisis seriously threatens social development，It should be established worldwide more elastic、More diverse supply networks，and seek more cooperation and Unicom。Around the current supply chain crisis，Our reporter interviewed relevant scholars。

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Early stage of the new crown pneumonia epidemic，Mask、disinfection supplies、Affective supplies such as ventilator and other protective supplies in short supply。For policy makers，Determine the price Bet365 lotto review of such objects in accordance with the rules of supply and demand.，It will cause people who need protective materials to be the most needed to afford it because of high prices。After that，Supply shortage problem gradually spread to other fields。Due to the increase in demand for communication equipment and data processing equipment，Electronic components, especially chips, become scarce，From car、The production and supply of a variety of products such as washing machines to beauty instruments is limited。This phenomenon is called "the end of the chip"。

After the country enters the epidemic prevention and control normalization，Labor, especially the shortage of truck drivers、The phenomenon of shortage of sea transport containers and the shortage of individual products is increasingly prominent，Reasons for the reason，intricate and complex。In the UK，The decrease in the number of drivers leads to an increase in the difficulty of freight circulation，Food processing packaging and animal slaughtering industries cannot be transported in time。The British have Christmas to enjoy the tradition of turkey，Christmas in 2021，Due to the lack of carbon dioxide，The slaughterhouse cannot run normally，Many British tables do not have turkey。

The scarcity of supplies leads to rising prices，Especially food、The price increase of the price of fuel and other necessities far exceeds the average increase，This is affected by the epidemic、Poor people bet365 Play online games are almost worse for the snow。The Logistics Lecturer of the Logistics University of Ireland, Nicholaos Valantasis Kanellos, told this reporter，At present, many countries have an energy crisis and inflation，The rapid increase in the cost of living in residents and the decline in consumer purchasing power。These will further exacerbate the imbalance of supply and demand，Form a vicious cycle。

　　Taking neighbors as a gully and against globalization

James said，Facing the problem of supply shortage，People start to accumulate materials as much as possible or buy alternatives。For example，Many British people to prevent cannot buy Christmas turkey，Poop a lot of ham、Chicken、Duck meat and other foods，But in the end it is not eaten，Caused a lot of food waste。But，Not only individuals who adopt the accumulation strategy，There are also individual governments。If some countries excessively hoard the new crown vaccine，As a result, a large number of vaccines used to save life are severely wasted due to expired or improper storage。This kind of anti -globalization act will only cause the neighbor as the neighbor effect，The accumulator will not gain any gain，But forcing others to relegate consumption and selection。

Producers also face the supply crisis。The production process of the assembly line requires timely delivery of each component，If you cannot ensure this，You need to prepare a lot of inventory and larger warehouse。This greatly increases production cost，As a result, the price bet365 best casino games of the product has soared all the way。This type of chain reaction makes the shortage of shortage more severe，The global supply network is also tightened、disintegration，It even triggered the competition and acquisition of scarce products in different countries。With the intensification of competition，Trade protectionism and localist thoughts are dead -re -burning，Global development faces many challenges。

From James,，Using neighbors will only exacerbate the problem of supply shortage，The Trump administration's tariff policy is an excellent evidence。Similarly，The slow and hesitation of the Bayeng government in canceling the error tariff policy，It also makes the global economy more vulnerable，Forced other countries to take radical measures to protect their own material supply。

　　Supply crisis in history

James summarizes in the article，The issue of supply chain has always been accompanied by the development of world history。For example，The outbreak of the First World War is because of frequent blockade of trade in various countries、Cut off energy supply，intention to make your opponent yield。

James discovered，Discussion on how to adapt to scarcity in history，It quickly became a debate on how to achieve the optimal allocation of resources。The oil supply crisis in the 1970s also caused the public to question the government's ability，Today's shortage is caused by the same effect。

James told this reporter，Historical experience show，Supply crisis is a great test of government Bet365 lotto review capabilities。For supply issues，The most common response to the government is to try to control prices or subsidize scarce products。But，Human lowering price will stimulate consumption，As a result, the shortage of shortage is getting worse，The quantitative distribution policy promoted will also cause new functional disorders (for example, the public starts to hoard a large number of materials)。but but，From the perspective of long -term perspective，Crisis will also bring vitality，The harm caused by globalization will promote people to reflect and evaluate policies。Two supply crisis in the 1940s and the 1970s has spawned the solution of globalization，Make the world a closer connection，This has ushered in the rapid growth of the global trade scale。

　Looking for the vitality in the crisis

From the eyes of many scholars，It is by no means that the current supply chain crisis is not happened overnight。Sarah Schiffling, a senior lecturer at the University of Liverpool John Moore, said in an interview with this reporter，The government can support the development of the supply chain from multiple levels，At present, the most important thing is to increase investment in the transportation system、Ensure that the staff of the transportation industry is welfare、Strengthen vocational training。Based on this，Policy makers must also be good at capturing changes in the demand structure。For example，The development of e -commerce will drive the rapid growth Bet365 lotto review of the distribution business in the neighboring market，The demand for "last mile delivery" will also increase。

Schflin thinks，The supply chain crisis is also a learning opportunity for individuals and enterprises。From the perspective of ordinary people，The supply chain may be an abstract concept that has little to do with yourself。But，Once the supply chain cannot run normally，People’s life will be greatly affected。Consumers should take this opportunity to reflect on their consumer behavior，Pay attention to where the purchased products come from、What kind of production and transportation links through。Past，Supply chain toughness may not always be the focus of the company's attention，And now the company is aware of the importance of the toughness of the supply chain。More and more companies began to learn more about their supply chain organization structure，To evaluate potential risks and formulate solutions。For example，Find as much as possible to find more sources of supply，Avoid too dependence on individual enterprises or countries; re -evaluate the supply chain length，Reduce damage to the global environment。

James Suggestion，Governments of various countries should strengthen interconnection with other countries and regions，Only this，can eliminate the free flow disorder accumulated in the past two years，Realize a strong global economic recovery。