September 2，The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization released the Global August Food Price Index，This index is 138 points，decreased by 1.9%month -on -month，7.9%year -on -year。After a record high since 2022，This index has fallen for 5 consecutive months。Although most of the food prices have been lowered in August，But the decline in food prices is not immediate for consumers。CEO TJADA D ’Oyen McKenna, CEO of the International Aesthetic Organization, said，Although many food prices have been falling in recent weeks，Some of these food prices have even returned to the level of 2021，But the market will continue to fluctuate。Even if global food prices fell，The local market may not adjust the food price in one year。

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"Frozen three feet is not a day's cold"，Food safety problems faced by the current world，In addition to being affected by the interruption of the global supply chain，There are more long -term、Deep reasons。

The "World Grain Safety and Nutrition Status" report released by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization shows，Since 2014，Due to conflict due to conflicts、Effect of extreme climate and economic recession，The incidence of unsafe global food unsafe has actually been slowly rising。and 2020，Due to the new crown pneumonia's epidemic situation, the global economy is downturn，The increase in the incidence of unsafe grain is equivalent to the sum of the first five years。

Professor Christopher bet365 best casino games Barrett, a professor of applied economics and management at Cornell University in the United States, also believes that，The arrival of this food crisis in 2022，In fact, there are already traces to follow。Barrett pointed out，For a long time，Leaders of politics and business circles have never paid attention to insufficient coverage of security networks、Key problems such as lagging agricultural and policy innovation，This leads to the agricultural -food system and billions of people who live in the past to become vulnerable to the disaster。So，in conflict、Climate、Under the impact of events and other events，2022 The world's grain prices soared，once exceeded the peak of the worst global grain crisis from 2008 to 2012。The sharp rise in food prices will bring serious health risks，Including malnutrition or even famine，Especially in developing countries。Data of the World Food Program Agency，At present, about 323 million people are or are about to suffer serious food crisis，This number refreshed the record。In Afghanistan、Angola、Ethiopia、Zimbabwe and other dozens of extremely poor countries，Hundreds of millions of people have fallen into a serious food crisis。

　　speculative activities increase the global food crisis

The grain crisis does not mean the absolute lack of food。Barrett said，The current world is actually not short of food。The average daily food acquisition per person in the world is about 3000 calories，Contains 85 grams of protein and 90 grams of fat，This far exceeds the amount of metabolism needed for human beings to maintain bet365 live casino games a healthy life。The reason why it produces hunger and malnutrition，Not the lack of food supply，Instead of poverty and uneven distribution，Including severe food loss and waste。So，The impact of the rise of food on the poor，Because the expenses of food purchase account for a higher proportion of their income。Barrett said，Even in the face of nature and artificial disaster，There are sufficient food in the world to meet everyone’s healthy dietary needs。But the crux of the problem lies in，There is a lack of a reaction mechanism in human society to protect areas and people that are easily overlooked in geopolitics。

speculative activities also aggravated the problem of the grain crisis。European Non -Flye Survey Organization Light Source Report released by the multinational journalist team survey report，In the past two years，Investment funds have increased the stock holding of agricultural products。Make the powder wheat market in Paris，The share of investment funds in wheat futures has increased by 3 times since 2018。The team's survey results show，What is even more worrying today is that the hedge fund is dominating the transaction of commodities。As the price of wheat futures rose to a historical high in March，Agricultural ETF ushered in a lot of funds injection。The so -called agricultural ETF，refers to the fund product that tracks the index of the agricultural target and is listed and traded on the stock exchange。Agricultural ETF is so popular，so that the US ETF provider Teucrium Trading)，Hushed up the stock issuance of the wheat fund Teucrium Wheat ETF。Not only agricultural bet365 Play online games fund，Other financial products related to agricultural products have also rebounded this year。With wheat、The rising price of sugar and grain prices，More and more investors have joined the trading activities that seek huge profits，Including locking supply contracts、Poly accumulation and excessive speculation。The light source report team said，Food is necessary for survival，It should be used as a basic public product rather than an asset for transaction。But，Reality is far from ideal and plump，In the current environment，Security becomes the top priority of capital consideration。So，As an essential agricultural product for survival, for investors，It becomes extremely attractive。Excessive speculation activities are not only for food、The production or distribution of grains or beans has no contribution，It also promoted the rise of grain prices，Therefore, the global food crisis is further aggravated。

　　Grain supply also faces challenges

Although many scholars believe that the grain problems in 2022 are mainly in the field of trading instead of supply -oriented，But many research reports show，In the next year，Global food supply itself may face challenges。

According to the online media "Inner Thought" report，Although the incentives of the grain crisis in 2022 mainly come from the logistics interruption caused by the turbulence of the global situation，and 2023，Grain supply itself may face crisis。In a report in August 2022，McKinsey Consulting Company Forecast，Due to the decline in planting area，Farmers' cash flow decrease，The harvested crops encountered a logistics bottleneck，The harvest bet365 live casino games of this year's important grain producing areas will fall sharply; coupled with Russia、The crops in Brazil and other countries are not investment enough，The food supply of the next planting season may continue to tighten。

The rise in the price of fertilizers is also an unfavorable factor affecting global food supply。Bloomberg quotes the price index of North American fertilizer in the green market，The prices of the main raw materials of nitrogen fertilizer increased more than doubled than a year ago，The direct consequence of the brought by is that fewer and fewer fertilizers can use global farmers。McKinsey Consulting Company said in the report，Due to the increase in the shortage of fertilizers and the price of chemical fertilizers，Brazil and other countries that seriously rely on chemical fertilizer imports may be hit，This will further reduce the number of food in the world market。The International Aesthetic Organization also noticed this trend。McKenner Represents，Farmers cooperating with Meici in Guatemara can no longer invest in the next production cycle，Either they can't afford fertilizer and other petroleum products，Either you can't find things for agricultural production in the market。

A series of extreme weather events in the world in 2022 make the food supply worsening。McKinsey Consulting is expected to be more serious than the crisis from 2007 to 2008 and 2010-2011。

　　Improve the food security network

Although the future food security situation is still severe，But these challenges and crises are not unable to resolve。Barrett Suggestion，Countries shall establish a financial rescue mechanism for the Bet365 app download disaster in the form of contracts，Improve the security network as soon as possible，Make the marginalized crowd from the threat of hunger。

Brett also pointed out，The rules of the World Trade Organization (WTO) are negotiated at the era of price decline，Therefore, WTO can effectively limit the protectionism of the governments of various governments for imports that lead to falling prices。But，When the price rises，Protectionist attention is export，Not imported，Therefore, the WTO lacks corresponding protocols to limit the government to protect the export。Obviously，WTO's trade agreement can no longer meet the current demand。Since the global food crisis in 2008，Some major food producers to allow domestic consumers to avoid the influence of global market price fluctuations，An unsightly export ban，further stimulated the soaring cost of food trade。For this，Barrett proposed，Policy makers should comprehensively evaluate whether to formulate a new trade agreement，in order to face the domestic political forces inciting the implementation of export ban，Can effectively restrain the government's unnecessary behavior，to control food prices。

Barret also calls on policy makers to attach importance to promoting the innovation of agricultural food system。He said，The return on investment in public agricultural research and development is very high。But，In the past 20 years，Public investment in agricultural research in the United States has dropped by 1/3，Part of the reason is that government and policy makers tend to pursue short -term Bet365 app download results。In this case，Recycling waste into fertilizer and feed、Environmental Control Agriculture、Long -term innovation research such as protein replacement needs more attention and investment。