August 9，British Prime Minister Johnson said，Britain will be Brexit on October 31。Johnson asked civil servants to prepare for this，Perseverance as "Priority"。How will the "Brexit without Agreement" affect the future development of Britain? The reporter interviewed the relevant experts and scholars。

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Peter Frankopan, a professor at the University of Oxford at Oxford University in the United Kingdom, said in an interview with this reporter，"No Agreement Brexit" will hit the British economy。Theoretically speaking，The possibility of the British "no Agreement Brexit" seems to be significantly increased with the new government's platform and its tough route in public。In practice，"No Agreement Brexit" may face two aspects of pressure。First，"Brexit" will cause Bet365 lotto review losses in many fields to Britain and the European Union，Although both parties have motivation to reach an agreement，But it is not easy to reach an agreement for any party。Next，Since the British ruling party only maintains the majority of seats with one advantage，The British government's room in the parliament is limited。Therefore，Before the Brexit "Brexit，It is very likely that another election。

Facing the dilemma of the British "Brexit"，Frankpan proposed，Challenge and difficulties also provide important opportunities。Falling the pound，It may promote export，But the price will also rise，So the government needs to balance。The Central Bank of the United Kingdom has prepared for this。But historical experience shows，It is difficult to stop the trend。but but，From Franco Pan，Currency fluctuations are short -term situation，Correct judgment of long -term trends is more important。What is the future prospect of the British economy? As all countries are aware，When the global bet365 Play online games supply chain is facing tremendous pressure，The prospects of various departments and industries are different。At the same time，Global is also experiencing major technological changes and climate change。These are all predictable future challenges。But as a historian，Frankpan reminds us，This is not the first time people experience these pressures。In fact，Through the study of these same factors in the past，You can find answers from history。

　　Increase economic risks

In July 2019, the Financial Stability Report of the Central Bank of the United Kingdom is proposed，Push over time，"No Agreement Brexit" possibility increases。Recent comments published by the policy maker of the Central Bank of the United Kingdom indicated，In the case of "no agreement Brexit"，Interest rate is likely to be close to zero。Costas Milas, a professor of financial professor in Liverpool University of Liverpool, believes，The Central Bank of the United Kingdom is necessary to evaluate bet365 best casino games the impact of bank interest rates to zero on the economy。such as，Can the banking industry respond to the potential significant decline in bank deposits，Because customers will seek other returns outside the declined British economy。

Olga Pindyuk (Olga Pindyuk), an economist at the Institute of International Economics, Austria, said，The most important service export market in the UK is the United States，But the export of services is sharply shifted to the United States and other non -European markets，Difficulty，Because geographical factors are important for service trade。such as，The needs of service trade on face -to -face communication、Many factors such as inconvenience caused by contacts in different time areas，All will cause service exports to be limited by geographical factors。The influence of the Brexit "Brexit" on service trade will depend on the final way of "Brexit"。But，Under all feasible options，The UK seems to be more and more likely to face the increase in regulatory costs。

　　Simbolic differences or splitting

According to British Reuters August 5th，Michael Ashcroft (Michael Ashcroft) a public opinion survey of 1019 Scotland people shows，When asked about the attitude towards Scotland's independent referendum，46%of the respondents expressed their favor，43%means opposition。After excluding abstrams and indicating uncertain interviewees，52%support independence，48%of those who oppose independence。In the referendum in 2014，Scottish citizens voted for independence with a ratio of 55%to 45%，But the political crisis in the United Kingdom in the past three years and the differences in the British "Brexit" have disappointed the Scottish people。Although in the 2016 British referendum，British vote "Brexit"，Among them, England and Wales vote vote through "Brexit"，and Scotland and Northern Ireland vote for "Leave Europe"。other，Irish nationalists advocate Ireland unity，To respond to "No Agreement Brexit"。

Richard Grieveson, deputy Bet365 app download director of the Institute of International Economics, Austria, believes，The UK has experienced more than three years of political turmoil，This is much more serious than the situation in recent decades。other，What we currently see is probably just the beginning of a more fundamental political crisis，This crisis may last ten years，and cause deeper changes in the UK。Around the British "Brexit"，The degree of anger between the two sides is high，Whether Britain will eventually leave the European Union，This situation may continue。

(This newspaper London, August 10th)