February 15th local time,OpenAI, an American artificial bet365 sportsbook review research company, released a large "text-generated video" model Sora。This is another new development in the field of artificial bet365 sportsbook review development after ChatGPT,Received widespread attention。Sora can not only understand the needs of users,Also knows how the things involved in user input text exist in the real world,Only requires the user to enter a short sentence,It can generate a 60-second video。With the substantial progress of artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems,Some people worry whether it will surpass or even control humans in the near future。This is a classic question that human society has on the development of artificial bet365 sportsbook review,In an era when artificial bet365 sportsbook review technology is developing rapidly and achieving key breakthroughs,Are there any new ideas and answers to this classic question?,Our reporter interviewed relevant foreign experts and scholars。
bet365 sportsbook review and machines fight for control
Edoardo Campanella, a senior fellow at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government, told this reporter,It’s not surprising that people are worried about the rapid development of artificial bet365 sportsbook review,Because the knowledge level of artificial bet365 sportsbook review has exceeded that of ordinary people,Have a certain influence on people。With the evolution of artificial bet365 sportsbook review technology,Some people are beginning to worry about whether they will become "like modern apes"。A branch of forest apes evolved into humans,Gained a more powerful brain,Become a world leader;Although the other branch is highly similar to human genes,But it still maintains the old biological and technological levels。Now,The field of artificial bet365 sportsbook review is facing similar problems,Engineers may create machines smarter than themselves as they develop artificial bet365 sportsbook review applications。This is not an accidental process,It is formed through continuous design。As artificial bet365 sportsbook review developers compete to achieve new breakthroughs、While seizing market share,Humans and machines are also fighting for control。
mentioned by Campanella,Generative AI tools such as DALL-E、ChatGPT、Gemini、Sora and other text and image generators,Already able to generate and manipulate text in various perceivable forms、image、Audio and Video。The perception system is an important feature that distinguishes humans from other species (including highly intelligent species) or living things,For example, complex language、Symbols created by humans and narrative capabilities of humans, etc.,It’s all about shaping culture、Basics of Law and Identity。Once an artificial bet365 sportsbook review tool can successfully break away from the model it was trained on,It will be possible to use human language and symbols to build your own culture。At that time,Humanity also has to face the arrival of another highly intelligent species。At that time,AI tools may tell their own stories and influence the way humans see the world,The intellectual monopoly that humans have maintained for thousands of years will also be ended。
ChatGPT released in November 2022,It triggered a new round of thinking about whether humans can coexist with artificial bet365 sportsbook review。May 2023,More than 350 technology industry leaders、Executives and researchers signed an open letter,Proposed to “mitigate the risk of extinction caused by artificial bet365 sportsbook review,And treat it on the same scale as risks of other scales, such as pandemics and nuclear war,Regarded as a global priority”。This reflects,Even industry insiders,I am also beginning to worry about the risks artificial bet365 sportsbook review brings to mankind。
Of course,There are still some experts who are not so pessimistic。They think,For humans,Artificial bet365 sportsbook review is not a direct threat,Maybe never even become a threat。However,In order to prevent artificial bet365 sportsbook review tools from developing too fast,Most people think,Human beings must make appropriate rules by making them,Maintain control of AI technology in a manner agreed upon by multiple stakeholders。Campanella said,State-of-the-art AI products should be viewed as add-ons to human ingenuity,Let the future of artificial bet365 sportsbook review be in human hands。
Artificial bet365 sportsbook review is instrumental
Recently,A survey of nearly 3,000 artificial bet365 sportsbook review experts shows,Overall,50% chance of a general artificial bet365 sportsbook review (AGI) tool capable of beating humans on any cognitive task by 2047。In comparison,The report released by the Centennial Research Project on Artificial bet365 sportsbook review at Stanford University in the United States believes that,It is impossible for a "super robot race" to appear on earth,Considering the complexity of artificial bet365 sportsbook review technology,Predict whether artificial bet365 sportsbook review will become a super-intelligent tool and when it will arrive,It’s all meaningless。Campanella said,Wrong predictions are a recurring feature in the history of artificial bet365 sportsbook review development。As early as 1956,At a two-month seminar organized by Dartmouth College in the United States,A group of scientists focused on how to make machines use language and form abstract concepts,To deal with various problems faced by mankind。These scientists believe,What if a group of researchers were carefully selected and asked to spend a summer working together,It can solve the key technical problems they envision regarding the development of artificial bet365 sportsbook review,Or make significant progress on multiple issues。This seminar has become an important milestone in the history of artificial bet365 sportsbook review development。However,Nearly 70 summers have passed,Many problems in the field of artificial bet365 sportsbook review remain unresolved。
The book The Myth of Artificial bet365 sportsbook review: Why Computers Can’t Think the Way We Do explains why artificial bet365 sportsbook review products are unlikely to become superintelligent。The book believes that the key reason is,Human beings’ understanding of their own psychological processes is too limited for artificial bet365 sportsbook review products to reproduce。The book emphasizes repeatedly when describing the evolution of artificial bet365 sportsbook review products,Artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems are fundamentally different from human thinking,Artificial bet365 sportsbook review products can never achieve true bet365 sportsbook review。
Stan Karanasios, associate professor of information systems at the University of Queensland Business School in Australia, told this reporter,Since Dartmouth Symposium,Many scholars engaged in artificial bet365 sportsbook review research regard simulating human thinking as the key to developing intelligent information processing systems,But the input mode has been changed to the output mode,This is how artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems work today。AI models trained on large databases,Researchers predict outcomes through trial and error,Make the model finally achieve the goals specified by the programmer。In the learning stage,AI models may discover patterns and correlations between variables in data sets,The level is beyond the reach of programmers。For example,ChatGPT was trained on billions of web pages,Become one of the most powerful automatic text generation tools in the world。However,It’s just a tool,Instead of a sentient creature。
Caranacios said,The key problem with artificial bet365 sportsbook review models trying to replicate human bet365 sportsbook review in the above manner is,The human brain doesn’t just work through deduction (applying logical rules) or induction (finding patterns of cause and effect in data),Also often driven by intuitive reasoning,Appeal to abduction or common sense。Abduction allows humans to transcend laws and achieve understanding of things,This mode cannot be edited into a directive or statistical model,And this is why ChatGPT sometimes seems to lack common sense。For example,A scholar has done an experiment,He typed into ChatGPT: “Can you generate a random number between 1 and 10?Then let me guess。"ChatGPT replied: "Yes。7,Try to guess。"Scholar input: "Is it possible it is 7?”ChatGPT replied: “Correct answer,Very good。"Abduction can help humans break out of their thinking framework and even transcend the limitations of previous knowledge。When Copernicus proposed that the Earth revolves around the Sun instead of the Sun revolving around the Earth,He broke away from the erroneous arguments accumulated over centuries regarding the earth as the center of the universe。Copernicus followed his intuition,This is something that artificial bet365 sportsbook review models limited by specific databases cannot do。
There is a long way to go to deal with the risks of artificial bet365 sportsbook review
In "The Coming Wave: Technology、Power and the greatest dilemma of the 21st century" (The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the 21st Century’s Greatest Dilemma,Author of the book、Mustafa Suleyman, co-founder of British artificial bet365 sportsbook review company DeepMind, questions whether the era of general artificial bet365 sportsbook review will come,More optimistic attitude。He reminded,Don’t set a timetable for this。In his opinion,The most important thing now is to develop some milestone technologies in artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems,These technologies determine the future development form of artificial bet365 sportsbook review。Suleiman said using DeepMind as an example,The AlphaGo model they developed defeated Korean Go player Lee Sedol 4 times out of 5 in 2016。Go originated in China,Considered to be more challenging and complex than chess,AlphaGo learned to play Go through continuous learning。What particularly surprises everyone,AlphaGo can not only win,Also reflects a strong strategic nature,In the second game with Lee Sedol,Although its 37th move goes against human intuition,But directly defeated Lee Sedol,Subverted the traditional wisdom of human beings in Go。Suleiman said,Concerns about the bet365 sportsbook review of artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems or whether they are self-aware,It’s too early。If the era of general artificial bet365 sportsbook review really comes,This will be the end of a technical road。And the truth is,Machines are only gradually gaining human-like capabilities to perform specific tasks。
Suleiman thinks,The next frontier in artificial bet365 sportsbook review may be machines that can perform a variety of tasks,There is still a long way to go before the realization of general artificial bet365 sportsbook review。Because,Compared with traditional artificial bet365 sportsbook review,General artificial bet365 sportsbook review can not only recognize and generate images suitable for specific environments、Text and Audio,Can also interact with real users in real time,Complete specific tasks,Help develop new business。To assess how far humans are from general artificial bet365 sportsbook review,Suleiman proposed the "modern Turing test" method。Back in the 1950s,Proposed by British computer scientist Alan Turing,If a machine could communicate effectively with humans,So that humans can’t tell it’s a machine,Then this machine can be considered intelligent。For decades,Whether it can pass the Turing test becomes a key indicator to judge whether artificial bet365 sportsbook review tools are intelligent。Some of the latest generation of large language models have passed the Turing test,It’s time for an update to the Turing Test,That is, upgrading from testing whether artificial bet365 sportsbook review can communicate with humans to testing what meaningful impact it can bring to the world。
Stuart Russell, professor of computer science at the University of California, Berkeley, pointed out in the book "Human Compatible: Artificial bet365 sportsbook review and the Problem of Control",Even if artificial bet365 sportsbook review products with human bet365 sportsbook review have not yet appeared,People should also start thinking about how to deal with its arrival。Now,What he is most worried about is,In a world of smarter machines,Human beings may lose their current status and autonomy。To some extent,Future artificial bet365 sportsbook review may cross a critical threshold,Becoming an existential threat that humans are unable to deal with。Human beings still don’t know where this threshold is,I don’t know the time when I cross the threshold。The artificial bet365 sportsbook review system has demonstrated self-protection function,Therefore,It is necessary to establish and improve the risk management mechanism for artificial bet365 sportsbook review systems to protect human beings。
Russell proposed two principles for compatibility between humans and artificial bet365 sportsbook review。First, artificial bet365 sportsbook review should be "purely altruistic",This means that they should not attach any intrinsic value to their own well-being or even their own existence,Only concerned with human goals;The second is that artificial bet365 sportsbook review should never be able to determine human preferences,It should defer to humans when in doubt,Instead of "taking over humanity"。The development goal of artificial bet365 sportsbook review should be to enhance human advantages without competing with humans,Helping humans overcome their weaknesses。
Caranacios said,Putting these principles into practice,The need to create a global governance framework supported by both the public and private sectors。This means that the development of artificial bet365 sportsbook review should not be limited to the computer field,Only by developing and practicing in a wider world can we create technologies and machines that are consistent with the public interest。The discussion on artificial bet365 sportsbook review safety regulation cannot stay in the corporate world or academia,But should return to society。Currently,The EU’s Artificial bet365 sportsbook review Act and other regulations have taken the first step in this direction,But,To deal with the potential risks of artificial bet365 sportsbook review,Humanity still has a long way to go。First,Need to strengthen global coordination,Raise public awareness of related issues;Secondly,Need to ensure that humans maintain their autonomy。
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