Economic growth is the basic motivation for employment growth，The prerequisite for employment stability has always been economic continuous growth。China's rapid economic growth in the past few decades，Especially the rapid development of labor -intensive manufacturing，Drive a large number of rural remaining labor force to obtain non -agricultural employment opportunities，Employment scale is unprecedented。With my country's population growth trend、Changes in labor supply and demand relationships，Labor quality and skill level continues to improve，Structural transformation and industrial upgrade to speed up the demand for skills，Promoting employment faces more new tasks and new challenges。Although structural employment issues in the period of rapid economic transformation, the problem of structural employment appears，But under the premise of stabilizing the economic stability，There are clear prospects for both the total employment and the quality of employment。The first quarter of 2024，my country's GDP (GDP) increased by 5.3%year -on -year，increased by 1.6%from the fourth quarter of 2023，The national economy continues to rise to a good trend; the average unemployment rate of urban surveys in the country is 5.2%，decreased by 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period of 2023。

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Current，The national economy has shown a significant bet365 live casino games recovery trend，Stable economic basic disk provides a strong support for employment creation。It is estimated，January to February 2024，The natural unemployment rates of the sum of the sum of the sum of the unemployment of frictional unemployment and structural unemployment are 5.24%and 5.27%, respectively，The periodic unemployment rate corresponding to economic fluctuations is almost zero。From the perspective of the trend，The period of cyclical unemployment rate rises significantly in a period when the new crown epidemic impact in 2020 and 2022。​​Considering that the migrant worker group is highly concentrated in the market -oriented department，Sensitive response to changes in the economic environment，According to the employment of this group, you can further judge the trend of China's short -term economic cycle。The first quarter of 2024，The unemployment rate of migrant workers out of migrant workers is 5.0%，Below the average of the unemployment rate (5.2%)，The total number of migrant workers is 185.88 million，increased by 2.2%year -on -year，Reflect that my country's economic operation is in a continuous periodic recovery situation，Become a favorable factor for continuous employment creation。In a specific development stage，Non -agricultural employment elasticity is usually stable，This means that as long as the economy keeps grow, it can achieve stable creation of employment。So，Compared to the employment creation pressure brought about by a large number of surplus labor in rural areas in the past dual economic period，At present, Bet365 lotto review as long as the potential economic growth rate is maintained, it can achieve overall stability of employment。

　Manufacturing provides basic guarantee for stable employment

Manufacturing is an important support for the real economy，It is an important guarantee for economic development to achieve employment creation。Since the reform and opening up，The rapidly developing labor -intensive manufacturing industry has become the most important department for employment creation in my country。Seventh Population Census Data Show，The total employment of my country's manufacturing industry exceeds 120 million people，The proportion of non -agricultural employment is 22.7%。The first quarter of 2024，The added value of my country's manufacturing industry increased by 6.7%，Employment scale continues to stabilize。Judging from the change of the manufacturing procurement manager index (PMI)，Since 2023, the epidemic prevention and control is transferred，Comprehensive recovery of my country's economic operation，Manufacturing PMI experienced a round of rapid rebound and fluctuations，After that, it becomes stable，It has rebounded to 50.8%in March 2024，1.7 percentage points increased from February，It shows that my country's manufacturing industry has a prosperity backbone。further，From the perspective of the economic cycle，Resident Consumer Price Index (CPI) more represents the demand and service capabilities of consumers as demanders，PMI more reflects the production as the supplier for production、Plan and actual implementation of sales and procurement。bet365 Play online games So，CPI is the leading indicator of the leading manufacturing PMI in the first quarter。The first quarter of 2024，my country's core CPI after deducting energy and food prices is 0.7%，It indicates that the manufacturing PMI is expected to continue to rise in the next few months。At the same time，The added value of my country's high -tech manufacturing industry increased by 7.5%，higher than all the industrial average levels of all regulations 1.4 percentage points。Combined with the author's field research display，Biomedical and medical equipment in the coastal areas of the eastern part of my country、New Materials、New Energy、Advanced manufacturing enterprises such as computer equipment and other advanced manufacturing enterprises have obviously improved，Traditional manufacturing and emerging industries will achieve a comprehensive driving for employment in the future。

　The service industry flexibly employment enhances employment tolerance

Current，The proportion of employment in the third industry in my country is close to 50%，It is the department with the most employment。Compared to manufacturing，Non -manufacturing industry -based non -manufacturing prosperity recovery trend is better，There are signs of stable recovery since November 2023，53.0%in March 2024，Always maintained above the critical level of the expansion range。Among the three major industries，The employment creation effect of the service industry is stronger，In the first quarter of 2024, the proportion of GDP reached 59%，The service industry has accelerated the ability to restore employment and continuously bet365 Play online games enhances。other，Employment in the service industry is flexible and diverse，Can effectively resolve short -term friction unemployment and structural unemployment，Reduce the natural unemployment rate。It is worth noting that it is，The service industry is easier to rely on the platform's fast and efficient Internet technology，Quickly connect market demand and supply，Release product and service requirements，Create new employment opportunities，Improve the level of social welfare，Become the most flexible and tough composition in my country's labor market。Flexible employment form provides employment buffer belt for groups for temporary employment difficulties，Provide workers with more employment choices，Especially for migrant workers、University graduates such as college graduates and other newly entered labor market workers may have a stronger ability to solve the ability to frictional unemployment in work search。other，For workers who need to be transformed in the process of economic structure adjustment，You can get employment opportunities through flexible employment。Visible，The role of the "reservoir" of the flexible employment of service industry reflects the "buffer" of unemployment and "tolerance" for employment。

　Exterior economic recovery improves employment situation

As one of the "three -driving carriages" that drives economic growth，Export is driving domestic consumption、Expand employment、Play an important role in promoting economic growth。The first quarter of 2024，The total export value of my country is 5.74 trillion yuan，increased by 4.9%year -on -year，Bet365 lotto review Employment creation of the outgoing economy is expected to be further improved。The increase in production scale driven by exports will directly expand the employment scale of the export industry，and indirectly increase the employment scale of related industries through the action。The first quarter of 2024，The contribution rate of net exports of goods and services in my country reached 14.5%，Pull GDP increased by 0.8 percentage point。At the same time，Exit still promotes technological progress、Structure optimization adjustment further promotes high -quality employment。The improvement of the quality of export products and the optimization of export product structure，The proportion of employment scale of technical workers will be increased，Matching the need for promotion of skill labor supply and economic structural transformation，Further optimize the employment structure and bring improvement of employment quality。Last，The expansion of the employment scale brought by exports can further promote domestic consumption。The steady expansion of the import of commodities and people's livelihood consumer goods，Reflect that the overall economy in my country is developing in a better situation，By enhance the basic role of consumption on economic development，Highly interaction of economic development and employment growth。

　　(This article is the major project of the National Social Science Fund "The Connotation and Realization Path of High -quality Development" (23&ZD182) Pharmaceutical results)

(The author is a researcher at the Institute of Population and Labor Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)