In the past two or three years,Western politicians、Media and think tanks have set off a global "China Rise Peak Theory",It is found that China's rise has reached its peak,Singing China Development Prospects,Suppressing China's growth expectations。Especially since the second quarter of 2023,Almost all mainstream Western media and think tanks that follow China、Scholars discuss the slowdown of China's economic growth,A agenda settings in different forms to participate in the "China Rise Connect Theory"。Dested,This round of "China Rise Peak Theory" is the new version of the "China Economic collapse theory",and the largest scale、The highest frequency、The longest duration、The maximum range、The most widely sources and other characteristics。But,Just as the previous rounds of "China's economic collapse theory" was broken by the sharp facts of China's sustainable development,The new round of "China's economic collapse theory" will eventually be beaten。
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Starting in the late 1980s,In Western Media、In the speech of think tanks and politicians,The argument about China's collapse is common。Autumn of 2021,American scholar Harl Blan and Michael Barkley published a number of journals such as "Foreign Affairs",Speaking of "China's relative strength has seen the top", "China's rise has ended", "China's decline has begun" and other views,A new round of "China Economic Crash theory" sediment,And in the first half of 2023, it was upgraded to strengthen the situation。Take the Wall Street Journal as Bet365 lotto review an example,The Chinese official website launched the "China Economic Slows" special column,From August 2023 to early 2024,It has published the "China 40 -year Economic Prosperity to Conclusion,What will happen next? "The Chinese Youth Employment Market is like a nightmare,State's appearance is changing "" China's economic dilemma is comparable to Japan 30 years ago? Maybe "China's economy falls into a vicious cycle of vicious", "China's economy worsening: The source behind the deterioration: the public has no confidence in government policy", including more than 160 articles,Many of the "explosive" articles have attracted widespread attention overseas。other,This absurd narrative is further spread to Europe、Japan、Korea、India and other countries or regions,Questioning the scale of China's economic development、Efficiency、The sound of influence, etc. far exceeds the past。
It is worth noting that,The logic of this round of "China's economic collapse theory" is more "clever",Easy to form resonance with some pessimistic arguments in China。Compared to the so -called "political collapse theory" and "social disintegration theory",This round of "collapse theory" focuses on 2023 China's economic data is significantly lower than the expected specific performance,I believe that China's economy is facing structurally、Fundamental defects of essential nature。This round of "China Economic Crash theory" also refers to the decision -making layer and top -level design of China,Then it comes to the ridiculous conclusions such as "reverse" in economic policies and reform and opening up,In an attempt to suppress、Pickled、Affecting my country's economic development and social stability。
China's economic dazzling performance cannot be ignored
In fact,As long as the essence of the new round of "the theory of Chinese economic collapse" with a deep understanding of the "China Rise" as the main narrative logic,It is not difficult to find out the solution to it、Effective way to make it face。
The core argument that this round of "China's economic collapse theory" is the core argument is,China's economic recovery process has been slow in recent years,Give the gap with the United States in terms of total economic volume。Some reflected people are unwilling to spend money、The company does not want to invest、The share value cannot rise、Economic data of foreign capital continuously relocated 外 is constantly speculating,I even interfere with the emotions of investors、Weakened consumer behavior of residents,The key to form a new round of "China's economic collapse theory" self -circulating demonstration。But from a more macro and longer perspective,These arguments are obviously "one leaf barrier,Do not see Taishan ",not only cover up the overall direction of China's economic turn to high -quality development,It has also ignored the basic facts that China leads the world with a huge and strong real economy。
For example,China's foreign trade exports "New Three Sams", which performed well in the global downturn economy。One is photovoltaic。Current,China ’s photovoltaic products have more than 50%of the world market share。Where,Photovoltaic components account for more than 75%,Battery films account for about 80%,Silicon wafers are more than 95%。Second is new energy vehicle。After 15 years of continued to become the world's largest car production and sales country,China has become the world's largest car exporter in bet365 best casino games 2023,Among them, the export of new energy vehicles is 1.203 million,increased by 77.6%year -on -year。Third is a lithium battery。Among the top ten power battery companies in the world,Chinese companies occupy six seats,Market share reaches 62.6%。The "New Three Sams" of foreign trade exports in my country is obvious to the contribution of the global warming.,Highlight the success and stamina of China's high -quality development,But I can rarely see objective analysis in the "Chinese economic collapse theory"。
Another example,Compared with the core data of China and the United States, you will be discovered,China's real economy is far ahead。For example,2023,China ’s power consumption (9.2 trillion kWh) is 2.3 times the United States,Auto sales (30.94 million vehicles) are nearly two times the United States,Coarse steel output (over 1.019 billion tons) is 12.6 times the United States,Shipbuilding (42.32 million yuan per ton) is more than 70 times the United States。China's economy does not move towards the basic facts of "hollow",It means the heavy and stable of future countries' development。
,China is full to avoid insufficient supply like Western countries、The periodic financial crisis that broke out of the risk of liquidity caused by virtual funds,Polish the steady growth of the service industry step by step,Active and securely prevent and resolve systemic financial risks,Promoting economic stability, sustainable growth。The more eye -catching is,China's service industry quickly recovers the situation obvious。From "Village BA" in early 2023 to Harbin burst at the end of the year,From the Spring Festival holiday in 2024, cultural tourism consumption reached a new high to the Spring Bet365 app download Festival movie box office to create a new high in Chinese film history,China's economy "spring warmth","The Theory of Chinese Economic Crash", which is interested in the West in the West with a solid reality,。
Still attach great importance to improving strategies
As the latest expression form of "China's economic collapse theory","China Rise Peak Theory" is not a fresh point of view。This reflects some Western forces through public opinion war and cognitive war. The Chinese economy is declining、Suppressing China expectations、Strategic intention to curb China's rise。Just as the previous rounds of "China's economic collapse theory" is the same as the flag and drum,The continuous recovery of China's economy is rising to a good trend.、The best way to let it not break self -breaking。Where,The fighting and stabilizing foreign investment in public opinion are still particularly important。
From the perspective of public opinion war,Use the "annihilation war" method,Rigid exposition、credible communication、Accurate communication forms public opinion counterattack,Hedie "China Rise Peak theory" offensive,It is an emergency。For example,Promote a series of Chinese economic and financial think tanks with the European and American national think tanks,Promoting Chinese economists "going out",Talk about the Chinese narrative of "speeding up shifts"; organize Chinese and foreign think tank cooperation,Around new energy、High -end manufacturing、High -end manufacturing、Green Low Carbon and other key areas,Launch a series of think tank reports; through new media、Traditional media and other ways of communication,Comprehensively tell the results of the high -quality development bet365 Play online games of China's economy,Realize strong and effective expected management, etc.。Winning public opinion competition for the expected economic development of the country,The key lies in the competition of the effective information,relevant information that consolidates China's economic development confidence、Publicity、The richer the public opinion,The more positive influence will naturally be larger。
From the perspective of stable foreign capital,It should be continuously released and reported a series of all -round open policies and its landing results,Highly affirmed that foreign investment has made an important contribution to China's economic development,Greater attraction and use of foreign capital。Foreign companies and private enterprises、State -owned enterprise as a colleague,Symposium on foreign -funded enterprises,Invite foreign companies invite people in the party media、Party journal、"Two micro -ends" new media platform interviews, or entered the relevant ministries and commissions to hold a consultation meeting, etc.,Actively convey the confidence and strength of the good development of China's economy。More importantly,It is necessary、Details change and profit results,Local policy discounts enjoyed by different types of foreign companies、Foreign capital access negative list reduced investment liberalization facilitation, etc.,Further enhances China's attraction to international capital。
In short,With comprehensive deepening reform、Promote all -round opening,The "cake" of the Chinese economy is continuing to make bigger,The people's sense of gain、Happiness sensation、The sense of security is also continuously improved,More dazzling Bet365 app download economic data and realistic performance,It will definitely collapse again like the "Chinese economic collapse theory" like the previous rounds。
(The author is the Executive Dean of Renmin University of China Chongyang Financial Research Institute、Professor)
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