bet365 refer a friend code’ “strategic anxiety” hinders the reshaping of the international order
December 03, 2021 07:52 Source: "bet365 refer a friend code Social Sciences Journal" Issue 2301, December 3, 2021 Author: Our reporter Bai Le

China and bet365 refer a friend code are the two largest economies in the world,Every move affects the "nerve" of the world。In the past November,Frequently hot topics in Sino-US relations,Both the two heads of state held a video meeting,We still jointly issued a joint declaration on climate action in Glasgow, UK,all attracted the attention of the international community。Many scholars describe the commitments and actions of China and bet365 refer a friend code as “focusing on the overall interests of mankind”。How to view Sino-US cooperation and its impact on the international system and world pattern?How to rationally understand the "Thucydides Trap" and predictions about the direction of major power relations?In the global context of "anti-globalization" being rampant,Where will the world go?Our reporter interviewed relevant scholars on the above issues。

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 China and bet365 refer a friend code should join hands to "overcome the difficulties together"

Ni Feng, Director of the Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told this reporter,From the Trump administration to the Biden administration in bet365 refer a friend code,China-US strategic competition has not diminished,On the contrary, it continues to expand in some areas。But compared with the two phone calls between the two heads of state this year,This video meeting between the leaders of China and bet365 refer a friend code involves many broad and substantive issues,Can be regarded as a "technical adjustment" to stabilize China policy since Biden took office。

Ni Feng thinks,This video meeting released four positive signals: First, the strategic competition between the two sides has eased in terms of situation and atmosphere,This signal is very important to both countries and even the world。The second is to inject more cooperation elements into the relationship between the two countries。This video meeting focused on climate change and other issues,This shows that the two countries adhere to the idea of ​​cooperation and problem solving in dealing with the world situation。Also,In the context of the recent surge in global energy prices caused by factors such as rising commodity market prices,Both China and bet365 refer a friend code will reduce energy prices by releasing strategic reserves、Stabilizing the world economic situation。Third, it shows that communication and exchanges between the two governments are rapidly recovering,This is very critical to achieving stable Sino-US relations。For two countries with many differences in ideology and other fields,It is normal to have differences and conflicts,But the key point is how to effectively manage differences and conflicts。Fourth, it reflects the candid attitude of both parties。China makes clear the bottom line,Clearly state China’s core interests,Biden also responded to this。

Talking about the recent joint declaration on climate action issued by China and bet365 refer a friend code,Kerry Brown, director of the China Institute at King’s College London, told this reporter,Human beings are facing a series of major issues related to their survival,It is difficult for a single country to solve these grand issues。In the process of combating climate change,There are still a few ignorant and ideological demagogues who oppose reducing coal use、Oppose the use of new energy。However,The recent 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference proved,Most countries are still able to realize the seriousness of climate change and take action through deep cooperation,The joint commitment of China and bet365 refer a friend code to carbon emission reduction is a good proof of this。Although some voices think,The resolution document finally reached at the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference still has limitations,But Brown thinks,The positive significance of this conference is undeniable。This conference can bring together people from different backgrounds、Countries with different goals and different development paths came together and reached a consensus,Very rare。This provides a basis for fruitful climate cooperation in the future,It also provides a good case for the operation model of transnational and multilateral cooperation。

Ni Feng said,In the latest report "World Economic Outlook" released by the International Monetary Fund in October,There is a set of amazing data: the economic aggregate of China and bet365 refer a friend code accounts for 42% of the global economic aggregate。In more than 200 countries around the world,Only China and bet365 refer a friend code have a combined economic size exceeding US trillion。As the country that contributes the most to world economic growth,Sino-US relations have an important global impact。This relationship has strong spillover effects,Not only concerns the interests of both parties,It also involves the interests of the whole world。In the context of the world’s major changes unseen in a century and the new coronavirus epidemic,There is a serious “deficit” in global governance,And extreme weather occurs frequently,Energy Crisis、The international situation with global issues such as terrorism emerging one after another,It is even more necessary for China and bet365 refer a friend code to join hands to "overcome the difficulties together"。

  The "Thucydides Trap" does not apply to Sino-US bet365 refer a friend code

Although bet365 refer a friend code-US cooperation has achieved good results in some areas recently,But many Western politicians、The media still defines Sino-US relations in terms of “strategic competition”。Some scholars said,The term "strategic competition" defines Sino-US relations as a state of "antagonism",Easy to produce inductive effects。For the "Thucydides Trap" proposed by American political scientist Graham Allison and his prediction of the fate of great powers in the international power transfer,There are also many scholars who are critical。They think,This theory with strong ideological color and single thinking logic is a serious strategic misjudgment。Michael Swaine, a well-known American expert on Asian security issues, talked about Allison’s use of the “Thucydides Trap” in a conversation with Chinese scholar He Yafei,Distorted the current Sino-US relations。

We cannot exaggerate the universality bet365 refer a friend code "Thucydides Trap" and use it to one-sidedly summarize Sino-US relations。Ni Feng said,"Thucydides Trap" is a summary and induction of historical phenomena,Its essence is a probability event。The probability of probability becoming reality can be high or low,It’s entirely possible that it won’t happen。

Albert Wolf, a scholar at Azerbaijan Diplomatic University, once published an article titled “What’s Wrong with the Thucydides Trap”,Allison reviews cases from the Peloponnesian War to the Anglo-German confrontation,Digging into history to draw lessons on managing great power competition and preventing the outbreak of conflict。Unfortunately,Due to overemphasis on the “security dilemma”,There are problems with Allison’s basic argument。According to the "security dilemma",Increase a country’s security,It may reduce the security of another country。The theory is that,When military technology for offense and defense is balanced,Can help countries get out of security dilemma,The balance of power depends on the relative advantages bet365 refer a friend code two。Proposed by Wolfe,The “security dilemma” makes intuitive sense、In fact, it is too simple to explain "conflict",Has been questioned by many scholars。This concept assumes that all countries are security seekers,In fact it is not so。Given the obvious shortcomings of this concept,The "Thucydides Trap" based on its theory cannot be used to analyze and predict Sino-US relations。

American historian Arthur Waldron once wrote an article refuting the "Thucydides Trap"。He proposed,Today’s world is completely different from the ancient Greek times,Human beings have more wisdom to avoid history repeating itself。We have reason to believe,Peace、Development、Cooperation and mutual benefit have become the themes of political discourse in today's era。Countries should abandon the Cold War mentality and "zero-sum game theory"。Despite the persistence of regional conflicts,But there is no sign yet that another world war is brewing,More and more countries are choosing to resolve disputes through negotiation。The founder of the United Nations once made a promise: "Save future generations from the scourge of war... Hatred and war will only bring disaster and pain。”As an ally during World War II,China and bet365 refer a friend code are responsible for maintaining peace、Responsibility to prevent past tragedies from happening again。"No conflict,No confrontation” will become the bottom line between the world’s two largest economies in the new era。

Waldron said: “Development remains China’s top priority。China’s mission is to concentrate its efforts on improving people’s living standards,Gradually achieve common prosperity。China sees itself as a member of a community with a shared future for mankind,It does not seek to build military alliances or engage in hegemonic expansion。We have no reason to worry about China’s development,Because China has neither the intention nor the need to challenge bet365 refer a friend code through conflict...China and bet365 refer a friend code are both important members of the Asia-Pacific region,The Asia-Pacific region has the largest economic growth potential in the world,It is also the convergence of interests between the two countries、Gathering area。China and bet365 refer a friend code have a common responsibility to maintain peace in the Asia-Pacific region、Stability and prosperity。”

China is the main supporter and participant in the current international system。China is developing more and more,The more we need a peaceful and stable international environment,The same is true for bet365 refer a friend code。As Waldron wrote: China is not Athenian,America is not a Spartan either。China just wants to say goodbye to its humiliating modern history,Realizing the country through reform and opening up。

U.S. bet365 refer a friend code stems from domestic conflicts

  Richard Haass, Chairman of the Council on Foreign Relations, made a thought-provoking view in the book "Foreign Policy Starts at Home: Getting Things Done in bet365 refer a friend code": The Rising China、Climate Change、Terrorism、The turbulent Middle East、So-called "serious challenges" such as Iran, which possesses nuclear weapons, should not be the focus of bet365 refer a friend code。Relative to external challenges,bet365 refer a friend code should focus on restoring and rebuilding its economic foundation,Handle domestic affairs well,Resolve the growing domestic deficit and debt、Old and dilapidated infrastructure、Problems such as poor schools and an outdated immigration system。

When asked how to view the "balance between domestic affairs and foreign affairs",Ni Feng said,Diplomacy is the continuation of internal affairs,For any country,Focus on self-development,Resolve one’s own conflicts,In turn, it is conducive to creating a good international environment。Competition is inevitable in international exchanges,bet365 refer a friend code process of surpassing me,“Strategic anxiety” will become an objective existence that follows you everywhere,But too caught up in "strategic anxiety",It will only worsen the international situation。Countries should learn how to transform "strategic anxiety" into an intrinsically benign motivation。Compared with keeping an eye on the opponent,It makes more sense to accelerate your own development。

Ni Feng explained,After the end of the Cold War,The world has begun a new round of economic globalization,This means the "parallel market" where the two camps did not interact with each other during the Cold War,Capitalized、Technology、Replaced by the free flow of production factors such as personnel on a global scale。The effective allocation of production factors brings greater output and more welfare,Thus accelerating the process of economic globalization。bet365 refer a friend code has been the biggest beneficiary of economic globalization in the past 30 years,But it is also the country with the most rampant anti-globalization forces。The reason,The increasingly serious uneven distribution of interests in bet365 refer a friend code is the biggest “curse”。The influence of money politics and capital interests on American public policy and political system,Causing great damage to the interests of the working class,The widening gap between the rich and the poor has led to a large loss of capital from small and medium-sized enterprises overseas,Local factory closed down,Unemployment wave triggers social unrest。The dissatisfaction of the middle class and the lower class people with social reality has accumulated and fermented for a long time,A powerful “anti-globalization” trend has formed,Accelerating political division。Also,Adhere to “nativism” in foreign policy decisions during Trump’s administration,If tariff barriers are increased、“Building a wall” on the US-Mexico border, etc.,The essence is to prevent the free flow of factors,Further fermentation of the "anti-globalization" trend。Unfortunately,bet365 refer a friend code does not focus on dealing with internal conflicts,Instead, adopt the strategy of “treating internal diseases externally”,Even after Biden took office, he began to implement "middle class economics",The internal problems of bet365 refer a friend code have not yet been resolved。Insufficient understanding of internal affairs,Leading bet365 refer a friend code to view its relationship with the outside world with a "zero-sum" mindset,Thus affecting its performance in global foreign affairs。

In recent years,Some voices think,Economic globalization has caused the erosion of national sovereignty and autonomy。Brown said bet365 refer a friend code,Realistic Proof,Human beings should not choose to "evade" economic globalization - the price the UK paid for "Brexit" is a good example。If a country wants to obtain more independent autonomy in certain areas,We will definitely become more dependent on other countries and global networks in other areas。

Brown concluded,The outbreak of COVID-19 has brought huge human and economic losses to countries around the world,Highlights an undeniable fact: no country is strong enough to deal with global issues alone。China and bet365 refer a friend code must cooperate,For their own interests,Also for the benefit of the whole world。The same is true for other countries。The idea of ​​any country trying to get rid of the influence and constraints of other countries,They will all become phantoms in the end。

Editor: Chang Chang
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