China and the United States as the two major economies in the world，Every move affects the "nerves" of the world。In November of November just past，Sino -US relations hot spots are frequent，Whether the head of state of the two countries hold a video meeting，Still jointly published a joint declaration of climate action in Glasgow, England，All attracted the attention of the international community。Many scholars describe the commitments and actions of China and the United States with "focusing on the overall human situation"。What should I think of China -US cooperation and its impact on the international system and the world structure? How should we rationally understand the predictions of the "Xiu Xidded Trap" and about the direction of the relationship between the great powers?，Where will the world go? Our reporter interviewed relevant scholars on the above issues。

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Ni Feng, director of the American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told this reporter，From the Trump administration to the Bayeng government，Sino -US strategic competition has not decreased，On the contrary, continue to expand in some fields。But compared with the two heads of state of this year, two calls for calling for two calls，The video meeting of this China -US leader involves many extensive and substantial issues，It can be regarded as a "technical adjustment" that has stabilized China policy since the ruling of Biden "。

Ni Feng thinks，This video meeting released four positive signals: First, the strategic competition between the two parties eases from the situation and atmosphere，This signal is very important for both countries and even the world。Second is to inject more cooperation elements for relations between the two countries。This video meeting held talks around issues such as climate change，This indicates that the two countries adhere to the idea of ​​cooperating and solving problems in responding to the world situation。Another，Under the situation of rising commodity market prices bet365 live casino games and other factors, the recent skyrocketed global energy prices have skyrocketed，China and the United States will reduce energy prices by releasing strategic reserves、Stability of the world economic situation。Third, it indicates that the communication and exchanges between governments between the two countries are recover quickly，This is very critical for achieving stable Sino -US relations。For two different countries in the field of ideology and other fields，There are differences and contradictions are normal，But the focus is on how to effectively control differences and contradictions。Fourth, it reflects the frank attitude of both parties。China's bright bottom line，Clearly explain China's core interests，Biden also responded to this。

Talking about the joint declaration of climate action recently published by China and the United States，Kerry Brown, Director of the Chinese Research Institute of the King Institute of London, UK, told this reporter，Humans are facing a series of major issues related to living conditions，It is difficult to solve these grand issues by the power of a single country。In the process of dealing with climate change，There are still a few ignorant and ideological instigators opposed to reduce the use of coal、Opposition to the use of new energy。But，The recent 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference Certificate，Most countries can still be aware of the severity of climate change and put into action through deep cooperation，The common commitment of China and the United States for carbon emission reduction has proved this。Although there are some sounds think，The final resolution document reached by the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference still has limitations，But Brown believes，The positive significance of this conference is undeniable。This conference can make different backgrounds、countries with different goals and different development paths gathered together and reached a consensus，Very rare。This provides the foundation for the effective climate cooperation in the future，It also provides a good case for the operating mode of multinational multilateral cooperation。

Ni Feng said，In the latest report released by the International Monetary Fund in October，There is a set of amazing data: Bet365 app download the total economic weight of China and the United States accounted for 42%of the total global economic amount。Among more than 200 countries around the world，Only the total economic scale of China and the United States exceeds 10 trillion US dollars。As a country with the greatest contribution to world economic growth，Sino -US relations have important global influence。This relationship has a strong spillover，Not only is it related to the interests of both parties，It also involves the world's interests。Under the background of the overlapping situation of the world's unreparable changes and the epidemic of new crown pneumonia，Global governance has serious "deficit"，and frequent climate frequently，Energy crisis、Terrorism and other global problems have emerged endless international situations，More needed to work with China and the United States to work with "a total of hardships"。

　　"Xiu Xi Dade Trap" is not applicable to Sino -US relations

Although Sino -US cooperation has achieved good results in some areas recently，But many Western politicians、The media still defines Sino -US relations with "strategic competition"。Some scholars said，The term "strategic competition" defines Sino -US relations as the "opposition" state，Prone to inducement。For American political scientist Graham Allison, the "Xiu Xidid Trap" and its prediction of the fate of the great power in the transfer of international power，There are also many scholars who are criticizing。They think，This theory with strong ideology and single thinking logic is serious strategic misjudgment。Michael Swaine, a well -known Asian safety issue expert in the United States, talked in a conversation with Chinese scholar He Yafei: Ellissen's use of "Xiu Xidide Trap"，distorted the current Sino -US relations。

Can't exaggerate the universality of the "Xiu Xi Dade Trap" and summarize Sino -US relations in one way。Ni Feng said，"Xiu Xidde Trap" is a summary and induction of historical phenomena，Its essence is a probability event。Probability to become realistic may be high or low，It may not happen at all。

Albert Wolf, a scholar of Aedie Foreign University, once published "Where is the Turcidal Trap" wrong "and，Ellison's case by reviewing the case from the Beroboonnian war to the British Germany Bet365 app download confrontation，Digging history to learn from the lessons of controlling the competition and preventing the outbreak of conflict。Unfortunate is，Due to too much emphasis on "safety dilemma"，AREST's basic argument has problems。According to "Safety Dilemma"，Add a country's security，may reduce the security of another country。This theory thinks，When the military technology used for offense and defense reaches a balance，Can make countries get rid of security difficulties，The balance of strength depends on the relative advantage of the two。Wolf's proposal，"Safety Dilemma" with a sense of intuition、In fact, explain "conflict"，I have been questioned by many scholars。This concept assumes that all countries are safe seekers，but not actually this。Given that this concept has obvious disadvantages，The "Xiu Xidide Trap" based on its theory cannot be used to analyze and predict Sino -US relations。

American historian Arthur Waldron once wrote a refutation。He proposed，The world today is completely different from the ancient Greek era，Humans have more wisdom to avoid historical re -acting。We have reason to believe，Peace、Development、Cooperation and mutual benefit have become the topic of political discourse today。Countries should give up the mentality of the Cold War and "Zero -Peace Game Theory"。Although the regional conflict continues to exist，But there is no sign of indicating that another World War is brewing，More and more countries are choosing to resolve disputes through negotiations。The founder of the United Nations made a commitment: "Save the descendants from the disaster of the war ... hatred and war will only bring disaster and pain。"as an ally during World War II，China and the United States bear the maintenance of peace、Responsibility to prevent past tragedies from reinstatement。"No conflict，No confrontation "will become the bottom line between the two major economies in the new era。

Waldelon said: "Development is still China's primary task。China's mission is to concentrate their strength to improve people's living standards，Gradually realize common prosperity。China as a member of the community of human destiny，It does not seek to establish a military alliance or bet365 live casino games participate in the expansion of hegemonism。There is no reason to worry about China's development，Because China has neither intention nor need to challenge the United States through conflicts ... China and the United States are important member countries in the Asia -Pacific region，And the Asia -Pacific region has the world's largest economic growth potential，It is also the same interests of the two countries、Gathering area。China and the United States have common responsibilities to maintain peace in the Asia -Pacific region、Stability and prosperity。”

China is the main supporter and participants of the current international system。China more developed，The more you need a peaceful and stable international environment，The United States is the same。As Walderon wrote: China is not an Athens，The United States is not a Spartan。China just wants to bid farewell to the modern history of its humiliation，Realize national revival through reform and opening up。

US strategic anxiety originated from domestic contradictions

　　Richard Haass, chairman of the US Foreign Relations Committee, put forward a thoughtful view in the book "Foreign Policy Beginning in China: Do the U.S. Domestic Business":、Climate change、Terrorism、The turbulent Middle East、Iran with nuclear weapons and other so -called "serious challenges" should not be the focus of the United States。Compared to external challenges，The United States should focus on restoring the economic foundation for reconstruction，Do domestic affairs，Solve the increasingly serious deficit and debt、Old and broken infrastructure、Schools with poor levels and outdated immigration systems。

When asking how to view "the balance between internal affairs and diplomacy"，Ni Feng said，Diplomacy is the continuation of the internal affairs，For any country，Focus on its own development，Solve your own contradictions，In turn, it is conducive to creating a good international environment。Competitiveness in international communication is inevitable，In the process of your superego，"Strategic anxiety" will become an objective existence like a shadow，But excessively trapped in "Strategic anxiety"，Only worsen the international situation。How countries should learn how to transform "strategic Bet365 app download anxiety" into an inherent benign power。Compared to the other party，It is more meaningful to accelerate your development。

Ni Feng explanation said，After the Cold War is over，The world has started a new round of economic globalization process，This means the "parallel market" of the two major camps during the Cold War，Capital、Technology、Personnel and other production factors are replaced by the free flow of the global scale。The effective configuration of the production factors brings greater output and more benefits，Then accelerate the process of economic globalization。The United States is the biggest beneficiary of economic globalization over the past 30 years，But it is also the country with the most rampant forces against globalization。Reasons for the reason，The increasingly serious interest distribution in the United States is the biggest "scourge root"。The impact of money politics and capital interests on the US public policy and political system，great damage to the interests of the workers，The continuous expansion of the gap between the rich and the poor has led to a large amount of small and medium -sized enterprises' capital overseas，Local factory closure，Unemployment tide causes social turmoil。Middle -class groups and lower -level people's dissatisfaction with social reality long -term accumulation and fermentation，formed a powerful "anti -globalization" trend，Accelerated political division。Another，Trump adheres to the foreign decision of "localism"，If you increase tariff barriers、"Building the Wall" on the US -Mexico border，The essence is the free flow of the elements，Make the "counter -globalization" trend of thought further fermentation。Unfortunately，The United States has not focused on handling internal contradictions，Instead of adopting the strategy of "internal disease and external treatment"，Even after Biden was in power, "Middle Class Economics"，The internal problems in the United States have not been resolved to date。Insufficient understanding of internal affairs，As a result, the United States looks at the relationship between itself and the outside world with "zero" thinking，It affects its performance in global diplomatic affairs。

In recent years，Voice bet365 live casino games thinks，Economic globalization has caused erosion of national sovereignty and autonomy。Brown said to this，Reality proof，Human beings should not choose to "avoid" economic globalization -the price paid by Britain for "Brexit" is a good example。If a country wants to obtain more independent autonomy in certain fields，It will definitely become more dependent on other countries and global networks。

Brown Summary，The occurrence of a new crown pneumonia has brought huge life and economic losses to countries around the world，Highlighting an undeniable fact: No country is strong enough to deal with global issues alone。China and the United States must cooperate，Both for their own interests，Also for the benefits of the world。The same is true of other countries。An idea of ​​trying to get rid of the influence and constraints of other countries，In the end, it will become a phantom。