Pay attention to systemic risks in the real economy
May 20, 2022 07:16 Source: "China Social Sciences" May 20, 2022 Issue 2410 author: Wang Youran/Compilation

  bet365 live casino games Economist traditionally believes that the supervision of the financial system should be greater than the supervision of the real economy,Because the systemic risk of the financial system is much higher than that of other economic departments。But a new study shows,Systemic risks in the real economy cannot be ignored,Most of these risks come from a few high -risk enterprises。

According to the official website of the Materials Science Center of Vienna, Austria, on May 12th,Chairman of the Center、The article "Stefan Thurner, bet365 best casino games Professor Stefan Thurner, Austrian Medical University, Austrian Medical University.。

Crisis and other crisis such as new crown pneumonia exposes the vulnerability of highly interdependent corporate supply networks and the complex production process dependent on these networks,But there is no quantitative research on the production process of a single enterprise on the entire supply network production process.。This new study regards the economy of a country as a network composed of all companies and its relationships in the country,By reconstructing the production process of each enterprise and the supply relationship between enterprises,Detailed assessment of the impact of the supply chain interrupt on each bet365 live casino games company,Then the unprecedented fine particles of the country to calculate the supply chain fragility of the entire country。

Thena and others designed a new method to calculate the economic systemic risk of a single enterprise,Buyer relationship between enterprises — supplier relations、The production process of each company、The importance of supply transactions、The value of the enterprise in the total economic output of the enterprise is included in consideration。They use VAT data groups covering more than 91,000 companies in the country with the country's National Bank,Reconstructing the country’s production network,Identify 32 high -risk companies。These companies only account for 0.035%of the total bet365 live casino games number of companies in the data group,But "contributed" about 23%of the systemic risk。That is to say,If these companies cannot quickly find new suppliers and customers,About 23%of the total value of Hungarian national production in the short term will be affected。Another,Nearly 75%of systemic risks concentrated in 100 high -risk enterprises,Among them, any one of them may cause a large -scale snowball effect or Dominopal effect。

Researchers talk about,Research results show,Can't regard the real economy as a collection of a separate supply chain。On the contrary,It is a network with a strong central element,Only a few companies can bring huge risks to the overall economy。Government agencies can use the above methods Bet365 app download to identify and monitor weak links in the economy,Formulate prevention and remedy measures,Adopt more forward -looking、More transparent methods to strengthen the toughness of the supply chain。The supply chain crisis in recent years and this study indicate,There is also huge systemic risks in the real economy。Sena et al. Suggestion,The government wants to let enterprises understand the systemic risk of their overall economy -if the company knows which supply chain is reliable,Perhaps it can improve sustainability。

  (Wang Youran/Compilation

Editor in charge: Changchang
QR code icon 2.jpg
Key recommendation
The latest article
Graphics
bet365 live casino games

Friendship link: Official Website of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences |

bet365 Play online games Website filing number: Jinggong.com Anmi 11010502030146 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology:

All rights reserved by China Social Sciences Magazine shall not be reprinted and used without permission

General Editor Email: zzszbj@126.com This website contact information: 010-85886809 Address: 11-12 floor of Building 1, No. 15, Guanghua Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing: 100026