■ Luís Antonio Paulino
■ Marcos Cordeiro Pires
May 19-21,G7 Summit (G7 Summit) is held in Hiroshima, Japan。to this day,Although the summit has been closed,But the controversy is still continuing。International media and academic people generally think,The G7 under the existing international system is essentially a means to protect the interests of a minority in the post -colonial period。Today, the booming development of developing countries and emerging economies,G7 group headed by the United States, although the most important developed economies in the West,But in the decline of continuous decline,The old international order represented by the representative can no longer adapt to the change of the global governance system。Comparison with this,China advocates a new type of international order based on international law,It is inevitable in accordance with the history of the development needs of the times。So,What is the change of the stance of China by the joint bulletin issued by the G7 summit? What is the intention behind the summit's emphasis on "strengthening the connection with the south of the world"?,What role should international organizations play a role in solving global problems? Take these questions,This reporter sorted out the views of foreign media and interviewed relevant foreign scholars in the international relations.。
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In the joint bulletin issued by the G7 Hiroshima Summit,Many content mentioned China。Especially worth noting is,The communiqué emphasizes the principle of "de -risk" to China。Compared with the economic policy of "decoupling" in China, led by the US G7 countries,,The wording of the word "risk" to China has caused a lot of discussions in the academic community。
On the one hand,Many scholars analyze the name,Replacement of "decoupling" in the expression of "de -risk" is just a change in the way of speaking,In fact, it is "new bottle of old wine",It does not mean that the Biden government has made a strategic fundamental adjustment of Sino -US relations,It has not changed the essential intention of Western natives led by the United States to curb the peaceful rise of China。If the "risk" is implemented to the extreme,It is equivalent to "decoupling"。
In an interview with reporters,China Expert of China Issue of St. Paul State University, Brazil、Dean of the Confucius Institute Louis Antonio Paulino said,The joint bulletin passed by the G7 Hiroshima Summit passed the principle of "de -risk" Bet365 app download in China,It aims to reduce China's irreplaceability in the global trade structure,Reduce the dependence of Western powers in many areas including key minerals,and prevent some chip manufacturing equipment from exporting to China,It is intended to weaken China's increasing influence in today's world pattern。The bulletin recognizes the existence of China and other developing countries in a subtle way,But the premise is that China and other developing countries are in their subordinate positions,Obief the rules formulated by the West。
Professor Marcos Cordeiro Pires, Professor,"Return to Asia" and "Asia Pacific Balance" from the Obama government period,"India Strategy" to the Trump administration,The "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework" launched by the Biden government now,The United States has adopted a series of strategic adjustment measures to China,Try to geto China from isolated from the Asia -Pacific and global core value chains。In recent years,The United States leads the establishment of the "Quad" (Quad)、AUKUS such as the United States and Australia and Australia (Aukus) and other exclusive small circles,and sell Chinese chips and semiconductor sales、A series of measures to oppose Huawei's promotion 5G technology to alleviate its "strategic anxiety" for China。But,Long -term,These technical restrictions on China will be exchanged for "self -discussion" in the United States,It will only inspire China to achieve high -level technology independence and self -reliance to maintain technical sovereignty by encouraging innovation,At the same time, the United States has completely lost the support of the global southern countries that have benefited from China's development in the political and economic fields。
On the other hand,In some observer,,The change from "decoupling" to "de -risk" changes,It also reflects the contradictions of the West to China to some extent。In fact,During the summit,Several member states do not agree to use the word "decoupling" to fight against China naked,They generally believe that China is rising and the national strength is booming,Is a qualified partner and competitor。
The British "Financial Times" commented,In view of different economic benefits,,How to cope with the dominant position of China and its G7 allies in China,and how to deal with the relationship with China has always been contradictory。On the issue involved in China,Some G7 member states have not fully accepted the US position and attitude。
Talk about this problem,Paulino told reporters,This ambiguous position to China is the result of the internal differences of G7,This difference is fully reflected in the fuzzyness of the G7 bet365 Play online games summit joint communique content。Now,Most of the G7 member states have realized that their interests with China are different from the United States。Always,The "decoupling" strategy of the United States to China is full of "adventure" and "fighting" elements,But,Compared with the United States,Europe's attitude towards China is more balanced and prudent。April this year,French President Macron said when he visited China,France and the European Union should not make economic "decoupling" with China。German Chancellor Schultz also said before,The rise of China is not a reason for isolation,It is not an excuse for restricting other countries to cooperate in China。But,Unfortunately,Due to the long -term manipulation of the United States and dominating the G7, the "Wells Power Club",Even if some member states realize their own interests are inconsistent with the interests of the United States,It is impossible。Final,G7 member states announced the "de -risk" principle of China,can be described as the results of the two after comprehensive consideration and the game of internal interests。
"Strengthening the connection with the south of the world" is really attracting political support
The G7 Hiroshima Summit listed the so -called "strengthening connection with the global south" as a major topic,Has been strongly criticized by the international community,The slogan of its claim to strengthen contact with the global southern countries is considered "false affection"。The so -called summit that gathers the richest and most powerful country in the world,It is also criticized as a promise in addition to symbolic leaders taking photos and vague wording of cooperation,Lack of real substantial output and specific global action capabilities。
Reuters published an article,In recent years,Southern countries in the world rapid、Great potential,It is important to the G7 countries in the economic field。For example,Brazil is an important source country for maintaining the raw materials required by the Green Industrial Revolution of the G7 country。Nigeria has rich hydrocarbons resources,The need for natural gas imports in Europe after the Russian and Ukraine conflict can increase。At the same time,Vietnam and other countries can help G7 countries to achieve diversified supply chain。
The British "Financial Times" commented,In recent years, global southern countries and China、Economic and trade connections between Russia are very frequent,G7 regards it as a huge obstacle to be removed。For example,India has been importing relatively cheap oil from Russia,Bilateral trade between Brazil and China is also surging,and China in Latin America、Africa and Southeast Asia have Bet365 lotto review built a large number of ports,and provided billions of dollars of assistance funds。In view of this,Get more support from the global southern countries will be a major challenge facing the G7 for a long time,To achieve this,G7 needs to fulfill its climate commitment,Provide more investment opportunities and climate financing support for poor countries。
"G7 countries are always good at making commitments,Besides good at never fulfilling promises。At the G7 summit at Corwol, Britain in June 2021,President Biden and leaders of other member states have made a commitment to invest in infrastructure to global southern countries -but this is far from being reality。Similarly,G7 countries have also promised to support the impact of developing countries in response to forest cutting and climate change -the same,Nothing happened after the summit。"Prees told reporters。
Paulino said,Southern countries in the world are mostly emerging economies and developing countries,G7 to try to strengthen the statement with its contact is not really out of the willingness to help these countries,To some extent, G7 realizes the strategic adjustment of most global southern countries in the Russia and Ukraine conflict.。G7 The strengthening of contact with the global southern countries,It is really a measure to attract developing countries to seek more political supporters and improve their international political influence。
"Rule -based international order" only represents the United States first
G7 Hiroshima Summit emphasizes the maintenance of the so -called "rules -based international order"。As the destroyer of today's international order,G7 "Rules in the mouth" was condemned by the academic community as "the hegemony in reality"。Many international media publications,The previous G7 Summit has already evolved into the Hall of Affairs of Western countries to interfere with global affairs。Today's West not only holds the Cold War thinking,Breast thinking still exists。
,Paulino talks,When the G7 member states expressed their intention to maintain "rules -based international order",They should further supplement the saying,This "rule" is actually the "U.S. Priority" rule formulated by the United States -this is the truth of the so -called "rules" under the so -called G7 framework。Kissinger wrote in his book "Diplomacy" published in 1994,In the 20th century,No country has such a strong negative effect on international relations like the United States。Kissinger thinks,Many large international agreements and treaties after World War II can be regarded as the specificization of the values of the United States。Now,The United States and its G7 allies are destroying bet365 Play online games some rules they have formulated。In their opinion,Some rules such as multilateralism in international trade relations are no longer conducive to their own hegemony rules,and to some extent limited the play of power politics。For example,If the United States and their G7 allies strictly abide by the rules of the World Trade Organization,Can't impose trade sanctions on Russia,It is impossible。This clearly indicates,Why over the past years,The United States and its G7 allies always continue to rewrite the "game rules" of the international system according to their leading "small circle" rules。
Pires analyzes the reporter,1992,Soon after the disintegration of the Soviet Union,U.S. Hawk forces led by Paul Wolfowitz (Paul Wolfowitz) as the world -leading position obtained by the United States after the Cold War,Declarmed to the world: To maintain the US hegemony,The goal of US foreign policy should be "preventing any regional region that is not convinced by any regional country" and "Preventing the interests of Washington to prevent any industrialized country threatened Washington",This has formed the "Walfords Theory", which is highly respected by the US government。This theory emphasizes and continues during the period of President Obama Obama,It advocates maintaining a long -led single -pole world led by the United States through military force,The possibility of curbing the rise of other powers and preventing the emergence of any global power。Current,The national security decision in the United States is still deeply influenced by the "Walfords theory"。
Polyo further expressed,G7 represents the interests of former imperialism and colonials in the old world in the crumbling old world,The wealthy country stubbornly insists on letting this old world survive。This hegemony system reflects the international power relationship that has evolved with the end of World War II and the occurrence of major events such as the Soviet Union,There are almost no economic weight and political influence in developing countries。With the rise of developing countries represented by China and G20、The emergence of emerging international organizations such as BRICS countries,A revolutionary changes have taken place in the comparison of international forces,The current international order dominated by G7 and other developed countries such as the United States has become a constraint,Its purpose is to prevent developing countries from becoming the owner who grasps his own destiny。Today, where the world structure is becoming more and more polarized,Build a new type of international order for the establishment of tolerant developing countries, especially China as the main participant,Bet365 lotto review It is a historical trend in line with the world trend。
Urgently need to strengthen the reform of the international governance mechanism
Polyo Analysis Theory,G7's GDP (GDP) of member states has accounted for 44%of the total GDP of the world,But this era has not returned,According to the data of the International Monetary Fund,Now G7 countries GDP account for 30%,The trend of this decline is still continuing。It can be said,G7, led by Western countries, is leading the global economic growth,Still solving international and regional hot issues,It seems to be more and more powerful。Compared with the outdated G7 of the industry,G20 is undoubtedly a can better reflect the relationship between the current international power、International organizations that wides extensively condense the consensus of developing national interests。Especially in the context of the increasing uncertainty of the global economy and international situation,G20's roles in global governance are increasingly valued。So,replaced by G20 G7,Become an inevitable trend for hope。But even in G20,The representativeness of African countries is also necessary to strengthen。
Under the situation where the trend of multi -polarization of the world's political and economic pattern,G20 greatly enhances the decision -making influence and international right to speak in the process of global governance in major emerging market economies and developing countries。But,Prez said,G20 can only affect international order to a certain extent,But cannot deeply change international order,It still faces core problems such as how to fulfill the commitment of the summit commitment。In this sense,,BRICS、Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Organization、ASEAN and other regions have played higher efficiency in reshaping and optimizing international order。Current,The traditional global governance system is undergoing "crisis moments" with poor operation ",The influence of major international organizations in the world is generally unsatisfactory,One of the important factor is,ASEAN and other regions have played higher efficiency in reshaping and optimizing international order,The original intention of the goal when it was created gradually farther away。For example,Since 2019,The United States has repeatedly exercised a one -vote veto to cause the World Trade Organization Dispute Solution to continue to be blocked; the International Monetary Fund has performed well due to the long -term control of the United States and Western Europe. The initial mission of poor countries in response to the challenge of severe development。
Paulino also expressed similar views,He regrets it,Development of developing countries in the current Bet365 lotto review global governance agency,Especially in the field of finance and security,A good momentum that has risen rapidly around the world and its huge economic and population,All are not consistent。So,Countries should work together to conduct extensive reforms on international organizations such as existing global governance institutions。
"Although so far,The United Nations has made outstanding contributions to peaceful getting along with the peace between great powers in the past 80 years,But it cannot prevent the United States from governing the international system rules as much as possible in the U.S. -after -World War III country.,It is impossible to prevent the United States from taking unilateral military operations without the United Nations without the United Nations。Looking at the history of the world,Compared to the International Cooperation Agreement,Empires have left a deeper mark in the international system,In view of this,All nations and international organizations are obliged to be committed to restoring their original appearance for the international system。"Paulino's summary。
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