China's economy has risen to a good situation and continues to increase
April 25, 2024 14:20 Source: "China Social Sciences", April 25, 2024, Issue 2880 Author: Yuan Lei Zhang Peng

In the first quarter of 2024, China's GDP 296299 billion yuan,Calculated at the same price,increased by 5.3%year -on -year,The national economy continues to rise to a good situation,Good start。Regardless of supply or demand、external or internal,Main economic variables continue to improve,The boom is better、It is expected to make the recovery trend more clear。Economic structure changes to the best,New quality productivity accelerates formation,Peixu China Economic Ferry Beach、Vitality and confidence in the current。Looking forward to the future,China's economy is generally stable and good、Long -term good trend will not change。Continuous release with more advantages、Potential continuous play,China's economy will be based on the short -term economic recovery and prosperity,Cultivate more long -term growth advantages。

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Based on the successful completion of the main goals and tasks of economic and social development in 2023,In the first quarter of 2024, China's economic operation was good,Economic continuous pick -up、The foundation that keeps good is reinforcement、The trend is formed,Lapts a good foundation for the completion of the annual economic and social development goals。

From the perspective of total amount,Growth accelerate,It is expected to be good。In the first quarter of 2024,China's GDP increases by 5.3%year -on -year,increased by 1.6%from the fourth quarter of 2023,Along the annual target of the whole year above 2024。March,National Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) return to the expansion range,The PMI of the service industry is the highest since July 2023,Reflecting market expectations and development confidence continues to increase。The unreasonable thing is,Recent Goldman Sachs、The research report of Citi has raised the 2024 China's economic growth forecast,Optimistic about the outlook for China's economic growth goals for 2024。International agencies have cast a "confidence ticket" for bet365 Play online games China's economic growth,It shows the optimistic expectations of China's economic growth in 2024 and trust in China's economic toughness,China is still the "engine" of world economic growth。

From the need to see,Investment digging dive、Consumption。In the first quarter of 2024,National fixed asset investment increased by 4.5%year -on -year,accelerate 1.5 percentage points from 2023,Among them, the purchase and installation engineering and equipment appliance purchase increased by 4.6%and 17.6%respectively year -on -year,Reflect that the market has entered an active supplementary inventory、Expansion capacity、Digging potential stage,This is also an important background for the central government to propose large -scale updates and renovation equipment。Consumption is the "cockpit stone" of economic growth,The basic role of consumer economic growth is continuously enhanced。In the first quarter,The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.7%year -on -year,And online retail sales increased by 12.4%year -on -year,Show the consumer market online consumption、Digital marketing and other methods are still active。Consumption structure is continuously upgraded,Service consumption becomes more consumers' choice,Holiday travel enthusiasm is high、The number of entry and exit is gradually restored to normal、Holidays movie box office income repeatedly innovative high。

Look at it from supply,Industry Return,Employment stability。In the first quarter of 2024,The added value of industries above designated size nationwide increased by 6.1%year -on -year,Among them, the added value of the manufacturing industry increased by 6.7%year -on -year。The added value of high -tech manufacturing industry increased by 7.5%,Accelerated 2.6 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2023。Profit significantly improved,January to February 2024,The total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size of the country is 914.1 billion yuan,increased by 10.2%year -on -year。Industry rebound is also reflected in future prospects,At the end of February 2024,Manufacturing medium- and long -term loans increased by 28.3%year -on -year。With the start of the bet365 Play online games new round of large -scale equipment update policies,Industrial production under the blessing of domestic and foreign demand recovery and fixed equipment reconstruction investment,It is expected to usher in a fast growth cycle。Production improvement will inevitably bring employment changes,The average unemployment rate of urban surveys in the country in the first quarter was 5.2%,decreased by 0.3 percentage points year -on -year。Considering the employment cycle is generally lagging behind the production cycle,As industrial production enters the expansion track,Employment is expected to improve further。

Look from the outside,Stable foreign trade increase,Foreign capital flow。In the first quarter of 2024,my country's import and export of goods increased by 5.0%year -on -year。Where,Exit increases by 4.9%,Import increase 5.0%。Import and export of private enterprises increased by 10.7%,The import and export of the "Belt and Road" national imports and exports to the co -construction of the "Belt and Road" countries increased by 5.5%,Export of electromechanical products increases by 6.8%。Foreign trade expectations are continuously improved,March in China's manufacturing PMI indicator,The new export order index and the import index are 51.3%and 50.4%,5.0 and 4.0 percentage points from the previous month,All rises to the expansion range。Entry and export structure is continuously optimized,The toughness of foreign trade is improved under the impact of the external environment。January to February 2024,my country's actual use of foreign capital is above 100 billion yuan,Foreign capital continues to inflow in injection new vitality into the Chinese economy,It shows that China is still the first choice for foreign investment in hot land and entrepreneurial industry。China Capital increases its strength,In -depth participation in the global industrial chain and value chain division of labor,provides a broader market and more sufficient confidence for Chinese enterprises' growth,It also creates new opportunities for the development of countries around the world、Add new power。

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Economic rebound is a wave -type development、The process of twists bet365 best casino games and turns。The prospect depends on the optimization and upgrading of the economic structure and the continuation of the new and old kinetic energy。Promotion of new industrialization,It is conducive to promoting digitalization、Network、Intelligent,Upgrade for the old kinetic energy、New kinetic energy continues to provide power。Open the economic cycle blocking point,helps to seize the new opportunities for consumption upgrade in the unblocking domestic cycle。other,New consumption for improving supply level、Driving economic growth is getting more important。

New industrialization transformation highlights。Digital economy flourish,Digital industrialization and industrial digital coordination。In the first quarter of 2024,my country's investment in high -tech industries increased by 11.4%year -on -year,Among them, aerospace weapons and equipment manufacturing、Computer and office equipment Manufacturing investment increased by 42.7%, respectively、11.8%,Explain 5g、Artificial intelligence and other new industries、New infrastructure to accelerate layout construction、In -depth promotion in various fields。As a representative of the development of new productivity,5g、Application of new technologies such as artificial intelligence also promotes the upgrading and transformation of traditional industries,It has also cultivated new industries、New kinetic energy、New advantages。In the process of developing new productivity in various places, adhere to local conditions、Differential development,Cultivate characteristic and advantageous industries,Not only does the traditional industry and strategic emerging industry two -wheel drive,It has also promoted the continuous conversion of growth momentum。

Personalized consumption gradually becomes consumer hotspot。With the steady increase of residents' income,The consumption of residents in my country has shifted from the satisfaction of the satisfaction to the improvement of the pursuit,Shin from imitating row -type consumption to personalization、Customized and diversified consumption。In the first quarter of 2024,Actual increase in the per capita disposable Bet365 lotto review income of residents in the country increased by 6.2%,higher than the growth rate of GDP。The continuous increase in income drives the growth of consumption scale and structure upgrade,retail of goods in the first quarter、Catering and other traditional consumption has achieved rapid growth,Upgrade such as sports and entertainment supplies category、Communication equipment products increased by 14.2%respectively、13.2%。Service Consumption Spring Tide Express,In the first quarter, my country's retail sales increased by 10.0%year -on -year,"Irson Hot", "Spring Festival Tour" people's heads,Digital、Green and Health and other representative "tide products" retail growth is hot,New products and services Consumption gradually become the main driving force for consumption growth,Deep dug consumer format、Expand the consumer scene and make the consumption level rise,Personalized consumption gradually becomes consumer hotspot。

The private economy is continuously developing and growing。Since 2024,The private economy continues to rise to a good momentum。From January to February, my country's private investment accounted for 52.6%of the total investment,increased by 2.2 percentage points from 2023。Public investment increased by 0.4%,It reversed the negative growth status since the first 5 months of 2023。Value added value of small and medium -sized enterprises above designated size increased by 8.7%year -on -year,higher than all industrial enterprises in all regulations。March Standard Chartered China Small and Medium Enterprise Confidence Index (SMEI) rose from 50.9 in February to 51.6,The highest level since May 2023。With the introduction of more support for the development of private economy,The role of the private economy in promoting the modernization of the private economy will further highlight,The foundation of the high -quality development of the private economy will be more stable。

  Finding confidence to improve upwards

Looking at the situation in the first quarter of 2024,The continuous rise of China's economy is not accidental,Instead, it originated from the strong toughness and development potential of the Chinese economy。The reason why China's economy is "flat on both sides of the strait,Bet365 app download Fengzheng Yifan Hanging ",Knowing difficulties in the world economic wave、Stable and far away,The key lies in the short -term policy support and accumulation of long -term advantages and motivation of continuous efforts。

Look from the short term,China Economic Policy Space Large,A package plan that promotes the continuous rise of the economy is working。Since 2024,To promote the rise of China's economy warmth,China has introduced a series of policy measures。Find these policies、Touring the origin,All born to solve the actual problems in economic development、Out of solution to actual difficulties,It plays an important role in stabilizing my country's economic development.。With various policies and measures, it is effective,The positive factors in economic operation are constantly accumulated,The continuous rise of China's economy is forming,High -quality development will also achieve more new progress。

Looking at it for a long time,China's economy has accumulated since the reform and opening up、Cai、object "advantage。Look from "People",Massive manpower capital contained in more than 1.4 billion people in our country,It is an important support for promoting China to seize the opportunity of a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial changes and accelerate the widely deep application of new technology。Look from "Fortune",Investment in cutting -edge fields such as digital technology in the process of new industrialization,Make sure that capital supply is always consistent with the development trend of science and technology,Help the latter always in the world's advanced or cutting -edge ranks。Look from "Things",my country has a large scale market,Whether it is stimulating potential consumption or investment that expands beneficial investment,This important market advantage means vast market space and cooperation opportunities,provides a guarantee for "things" to provide guarantee。

Of course, I have to see,Although China's economy starts well in 2024,But there are still some difficulties and challenges to further consolidate and enhance the economic recovery to the good situation。bet365 Play online games Mainly insufficient effective demand、Excess capacity of some industries、Social expectations are weak、There are still many hidden dangers of risk,There is a blocking point in the domestic large cycle,The complexity of the external environment、severe、Uncertain increase。Although there are thorns on the road to advance、There is a reef、There is a danger beach,But you cannot stop the determination and perseverance of the Chinese economic giant wheel to drive towards the deep sea。We only need to persist in steady progress、To promote stability、End first and then break,Deepening the reform of the system and mechanism,"Toolbox" for a good use of living policy,Using development methods to solve problems existing in development,It can promote the Chinese economy on the road of high -quality development steadily、Go forward。

 (The author is deputy director of the Personnel Education Bureau of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences、​​Researcher; Associate Researcher at the Institute of Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Editor in charge: Cui Bohan
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