April 23,American Woodro Wilson International Scholars Center held a seminar "Evolution of the US Trade Strategy: Reasons and Impact on Asia"。Experts from the meeting said,The Trump administration ’s foreign economic policy is greatly different from the global free trade order established after World War II: it has a stronger criticism of the World Trade Organization than ever before; trying to use a new“ American -Mexico -Canada Agreement ” Replacement of the "North American Free Trade Agreement"; suspension of promotion of the "Cross -Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement",Tariffs imposed on imported steel and aluminum products imported from the EU,Tariffs may also be imposed on cars and components imported from the European Union。
but but,The largest trading actions in the United States recently involved Asia: withdrawing from the Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement;、Monetary policy、Government subsidy、Government subsidy、A series of issues such as overseas activities of Chinese enterprises accused China of being unfair、Disposone ways to compete for trade advantages,Threats tariffs on imported goods in China,Leading the Sino -US trade friction upgrade。but but,After the United States withdraws from the Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement,The remaining 11 member states signed the "Comprehensive and Progressive Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement",ASEAN Ten Kingdoms、China、Japan、Korea、India、Australia、bet365 best casino games The "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" signed by New Zealand、China's "Belt and Road" initiative and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank are also gradually developing。What is the concept of the Trump administration's trade policy? How does it affect China and other Asian countries?。
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The Wall Street Journal Asian Economic Senior journalist Jacob M. Schlesinger analyzed and summarized the Trump administration's trade policy ideas。Schleingh mentioned,After Trump serves as president,Proposal to fundamentally change the consensus of the US Democratic Party and Republican Party on trade and globalization after World War II,His core point of view includes four points。First,The losses caused by the contemporary global trading system of the United States to the United States exceed the benefits of the United States,Need to "repair" thoroughly。2,The trade deficit is essentially a bad thing,Is a sign of unfair trade relations,"deceived" the United States in the country of US trade surplus and should be prepared to accept trade pressure from the United States。This concept has a particularly great impact on Asia,Six of the 10 countries with the most bilateral trade surplus in the United States are Asian countries。third,The multilateral trading system is not good for the United States,It allows multiple trading partners in the United States to unite to "take advantage of our cheap"。The United States played an important role in the establishment and development of the World Trade Organization,But the World Trade Organization is also the most violent attack in the United States。From the eyes of Schleingh,The outstanding contribution of the World Trade Organization Bet365 app download is to create a widely trustworthy trust、Neutral and practical trade dispute arbitration and solution platform,Become a positive example of international governance。Previous,The US government also complains and criticizes the World Trade Organization,But generally respect、Trust and support,And Trump and the current US trade representative Robert Latechizer believes,The World Trade Organization is an error or architecture error,and often make unjust rulings on the United States,Leaving the World Trade Organization may be better for the United States。fourth,The United States as the world's largest economy、Maximum trade deficit country,Able to and more should use its huge market access influence as a bargaining chip,Forced the trading partner to concession。
Schleingh said,Trump implemented the above -mentioned trade ideas from the following four aspects。First,Exit "Agreement on the Trans -Pacific Partnership Agreement",Review "North American Free Trade Agreement",Modify the "US -Korea Free Trade Agreement"。2,and Japan、EU negotiation new trade agreement。third,Unilaterally decide for a specific country、Improved import tariffs in specific products,Except the biggest target China,There are also potential trade conflicts between the United States and India。fourth,Weaken the power of the World Trade Organization,For the marginalization of its status、Run paralysis。There are two ways to implement: First, do not take the normal process,Without the consent of the World Trade Organization,Take the above unilateral trade operations; the second is to obstruct the appointment and re -election of the "Global Supreme Court" World Trade Organization Appeals Agency,bet365 Play online games Make the World Trade Organization's legal system "knotted"。
World Trade Organization urgently need to reform
Taeho Bark, Honorary Retirement professor (Taeho Bark) at the School of International Research, Seoul University in South Korea,The Trump administration does not trust the existing global multilateral trade mechanism,I don’t like the regional trade agreement,But obvious preferences rely on the strong economic strength of the United States to achieve purpose through bilateral (single) channels。For a long time,The World Trade Organization failed to run effectively,The call for reforming the World Trade Organization in recent years is getting higher and higher,EU、Japan、Canada、The United States and other developed economies and China、India all submitted suggestions for this。
Park Taihao said,From the course of the past 20 years,,The reform of the World Trade Organization will be very difficult,The attitude and suggestions of developed economies for reform are different,The United States has not promoted the reform of the World Trade Organization as a priority task。In this case,Middle income members of the World Trade Organization, especially Asian countries that highly rely on international trade, can form alliances,Provide objective neutral opinions,will help promote the reform of the World Trade Organization。Asian countries should also participate in relatively high -standard regional trade agreements such as bet365 best casino games The "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement"。We should recognize,The global trade environment will not be dominated by a single mechanism in the future,Seeking the reform of the World Trade Organization,Need to strengthen regional and bilateral trade relations,Main trading countries should according to their own advantages,Cooperation with a variety of ways,Make different trade arrangements exert its own effects。
The United States will deepen the understanding of China
Wayne Morrison, an Asian trading expert at the US Congress Research Services Office, said,For the past 30 years,He has been studying Asian trade issues and participated in the preparation of the United States to join the World Trade Organization in the United States,He saw that China has made a lot of concessions in the "Entry of the WTO" negotiations,It has also fulfilled the commitment to carry out economic reforms,The United States should recognize China's efforts in this long process and recognize China's "entering the WTO" to the contribution to Sino -US trade: "After the" Entry ",China has jumped from the 12th major trading partner in the United States to the 2nd largest trading partner,Sino -US trade volume has increased from less than 100 billion US dollars to $ 650 billion in 2018。Trump has always been worried about the huge amount of trade deficit in China and the United States,But he ignored a basic economic fact: if a country lacks enough savings to meet investment needs,Frequent project deficits are not surprising,The United States is the world's largest consumer country,China is the largest savings country; in the past two years,The further increase of the Sino -US trade deficit is also related to the large reduction of tax and exemption in stimulating the economy to stimulate the economy。If the United States wants to reduce deficit,I should pay attention to other problems in the country's economy,instead of pointing the spearhead to China or other trading partners;,It is difficult for the United States to maintain a good trade relationship with any country。
Morrison told this reporter,It is necessary to increase high -level interoperability and dialogue,Deepen each other's understanding bet365 Play online games and trust,Especially the U.S. understanding of China: What do the Chinese government and the people care、What are you worried,How to view your country,What kind of expectations and planning for the future。Overall,The history of the American politics to China、Culture、I know very little about the economic system,This often leads to the failure of the US policy in China to achieve the expected effect or even produce a negative effect,Harmony between the two countries。If the United States puts out isolated against China、The attitude of the threat,It will inevitably arouse China's rejection,Not conducive to mutual trust and cooperation。The United States should show that it is welcome to join China to join the world economic and trade system,Acknowledge and appreciate the amazing achievements of China,At the same time, I hope China will better assume the responsibility of the great country,Joint global challenges with the United States and other major economies。
The Brookings Society of the United States Society Foreign Policy and Global Economic and Development Project、John L. Sangton's senior researcher David Dollar said,Someone is worried that China's intention will destroy the global economic order,Especially the World Trade Organization、International Monetary Fund Organization、The important international economic and trade organizations such as the World Bank。But he thinks,China has no intention of doing this at all,Instead。but,Sino -US major powers in bilateral trade、Different views on many issues such as the reform of the World Trade Organization,The United States strongly oppose some voices of China,This makes the reform more difficult to advance,Bet365 lotto review And the current mechanism has faced many challenges; injecting new vitality into this mechanism as soon as possible,China and the United States need to strengthen consultation,Moderate concession。
(Newspaper Washington, May 5th)
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