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The world in today's world has undergone a big change in a century,Many security problems that affect the development of my country,But China still adheres to deepening reform,Promote higher levels of opening to the outside world。
A suggestion of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the Fifth Five -Year Plan for the Development of the National Economic and Social Development and the 2013 Far -Year Vision Goal of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Party ",Just plan for development and safety、Build a higher level of Ping An China to make clear requirements、Work deployment。In China, it will build a large domestic cycle as the main body、In the context of the new development pattern of domestic and international dual -cycle mutual promotion,Coordinated development and security have important guiding significance for promoting my country's economic and social development。Recent,Member of the Academic Department of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences、Director of the Institute of World Economic and Political Research Zhang Yuyan accepts an exclusive interview with our reporter,How to coordinate development and security in the new period、Grasp the initiative of development、Promoting high -quality openness、Bed dual cycles and realization of the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" and the 2035 remote view target made their own views。
The more open, the more you pay attention to safety
"China Social Sciences":The world today is in a big change in a hundred years,Could you please describe how this change affects the connotation and extension of my country's national security?
Zhang Yuyan:June 2018,President Xi Jinping made an important judgment on the global situation,That is, the world is in a big change in a hundred years。The understanding of the Centennial Change can change from the comparison of the strength of the great power、Scientific and technological progress has a profound influence and accompanied by many uncertainty、The awareness of the people's rights is generally awakened、Change of the population structure、Evolution of the international currency system、multilateral system disintegration and reconstruction、U.S. internal systems of the United States and the intensification of Sino -US games。Under the background of a century -old change bureau,We cannot ignore those factors that have not changed,For example, humans still live in the nuclear era。It is these "changes" and "unchanged",It constitutes the international environment of China's future development。
The Instructions on "The Central Committee of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the Fourteenth Five -Year Plan for the Development of the National Economic and Social Development and the 2013 Vision Goals" talked about the issues of overall bet365 Play online games development and security,He pointed out: "The current and future periods are all kinds of contradictions and risks in my country,Various predictable and unpredictable risk factors increased significantly。We must adhere to overall development and security,Enhance the consciousness and risk awareness,Establish the bottom line thinking,Estimates the difficulty more enough,Thinking more deeply into the risk,Pay attention to blocking vulnerabilities、Strong and weak items,Put your first chess、Fight the active battle,Effectively prevent and resolve various risk challenges,Ensure that the socialist modernization causes smoothly advance。"In the Centennial Change Bureau,Various risks and uncertainty increased significantly,Many security problems that affect the development of my country,About security,Can be understood from two aspects。
The word "security" in Chinese corresponds to two words "security" and "SafeTy" in English。"Security" referred to、Conscious subjective threats related,For example, the intentional behavior of the other party brings risks and challenges to its own。and "SafeTy" mainly refers to objective risks,For example, omissions in management、The rules are incomplete、The risks or potential safety hazards brought by the slackness of specific personnel。For this,"Security" can be called defensive safety,"Safety" is called management security。
We can also discuss safety issues from the relationship between security and risk。Various types of risks,For example, security issues related to controllable risks。They are similar to management security,We can control such risks by building chapters。Another category is strategic risk,That is, we know that there are risks in advance,But willing to take the initiative to bear such risks。For example, there is a certain risk in the process of "going global" such as the "Belt and Road" construction,The security problem accompanied by this strategic risk is what we are willing to face after the gains and losses.。Finally is a security problem related to external risks,This kind of risk is difficult to prevent and control。This new crown pneumonia epidemic is a typical external risk。Of course,We also need to further deepen the study of security issues,Enhance the understanding of the concept of security。
"China Social Sciences":General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out: "Promote innovation development、Coordinated development、Green Development、Open Development、Sharing Development,The premise is national security、Social Stability。No security and stability,I can't talk about everything。"We emphasize security now,Is security issues more important than opening to the outside world?
Zhang Yuyan:Note that the problem of safety does not mean that it will not be open,but indicates that we want higher quality、Higher level open。At present, China must not only continue reform and opening up,At the same time, it is necessary to accelerate the pace of reform and opening up。August 24, 2020,General Secretary Xi Jinping presided over a symposium on an expert in the economy and social field,Current,Pay attention to two points in promoting opening up: First, all countries are willing to cooperate with us、Region and Enterprise,Including the state of the United States、Local and Enterprises,We must actively carry out cooperation,Form comprehensive、Multi -layered、Diversified open cooperation pattern。Second, the more open the more open, the more attention to safety,The more we need to coordinate development and safety,Efforts to enhance your competitiveness、Open supervision ability、Risk prevention and control ability,Refine the body of King Kong is not bad。The key to General Secretary Xi Jinping's emphasis is the dialectical relationship of openness and security,The two are a whole,complement each other。
For example,When a person is riding a bicycle,When is the most concerned about the car gate? That's when you want to ride faster。Now China is more concerned about safety issues as the same reason as riding bicycles,China wants to deepen reform、More open,Realize the "two hundred years" struggle goals,Realizing the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" and the long -view target of 2035,It must be more concerned about safety issues。The central government proposes coordinated bet365 Play online games development and security,Someone interprets it as China is closing and conservative,This is a misunderstanding。In my opinion,China cares about security issues means that China wants to be more open,When a country cares about risks, the more you care about risks,often the more you want to take the initiative to bear some risks。
Globalization is still a general trend of human development
"China Social Sciences":The occurrence of the epidemic of new crown pneumonia has caused a certain degree of break in the world's industrial chain,Some countries have appeared to ensure the security of the industrial chain,It even advocates the "decoupling" with China to achieve comprehensive industrial chain。In this background,What impact does this re -plasticine in the global industrial chain in the future? What impact on China's industrial security?
Zhang Yuyan:This epidemic affects the acceleration force or stagnation of the existing historical process.。To control the spread of the virus,Material、Transnational flows of elements such as personnel and services fall into a pause,thus highlighting the existing industry chain is too long、The vulnerability and instability brought by over detail。As the measures that countries should respond to the crisis of the industrial chain, they are introduced in turn,home country、Bilateral or regional small -scale "self -reliance" situation may gradually be formed,Its inertia will continue until the end of the epidemic,and even the ultimate normalization。
Compared to the "objective" break from the industrial chain,Fracture on "subjective" is more vigilant。One of the characteristics of globalization 20 years after the Cold War is that division of labor and professional production have rolled out and created huge trade income。China has benefited from it,Become the main base of the global industrial chain。In this epidemic,China successfully controls the spread of the virus,It shows that the possibility of "curve overtaking" in the future not far away is greatly increased。For this,The voices of ensuring the security of the industrial chain with strong nationalism and protectionist colors appear in other major economies, especially in the United States,It even advocates the "decoupling" with China to achieve comprehensive industrial chain。
Although some Americans now want to "decompose" with China and finally implement the containment policy,However, it is difficult for the United States to be completely Bet365 lotto review isolated China,I am afraid that there is no need to do this at the same time。It is difficult for it to do it,It is because of successful isolation in China to take collective operations at least in the world's major economies and considerable developing countries; say it is not necessary,It is because China's threat to developed economies such as the United States mainly comes from high -tech surpassing instead of low -end competition。The essence of the US policy for the United States is,Not only continuing to enjoy the low -end benefits provided by China in the global value chain,It is also necessary to avoid or prevent China from catching up in high -end technology, especially digital high -tech fields。The Chinese strategy in the United States can be simply summarized with a Chinese word- "Regulations Lock"。The basic meaning of "regulatory lock" has two: one is to use a new set of international rules to regulate or limit China's behavior in the high -tech field; the other is to lock China's global value chain,Make China and the United States maintain a constant and large gap at the level of science and technology。
Today's world has been tied up by the global value chain。Although the "system integrators" in high -end value chain are mainly distributed in developed economies such as the United States, Europe, Japan,But the "decourse" cost between major developed economies and emerging economies has increased to the level of unbearable levels in the world。Decreased revenue from trade from trade,It is bound to cause a strong rebound of different forces or groups,This plays a role in offset "against globalization"。
China will continue to keep open to the outside world,The relationship between China and the world in the next five years will become closer and closer。Although the current economic globalization encountered various resistance,But it is still the general trend of human development,The dependence of each country will continue to rise。On the whole,Globalization trends have not found fundamental reversal,Instead, I encountered temporary setbacks。As an important stage in the historical process,Globalization does not always travel in a flat pen、Avenue on both sides of flowers and trees。There must be some rugged or even dangerous road segments in the journey of globalization,and we are now on a rugged road。
"China Social Sciences":At present, my country's manufacturing industry climb to high -end value chain,It is committed to solving the problem of "card neck" such as insufficient self -sufficiency in key technologies and core components,But we may need to compete on the track of others,How should we be on our own before getting true success?
Zhang Yuyan:I will talk about this problem as an example of the US interruption of Huawei。May 16, 2019,The US Department of Commerce takes national security as the reason,It is forbidden to sell related technologies and products to Huawei in Huawei。September 15, 2020,The new ban from the United States officially takes effect。After that,TSMC、Qualcomm、Samsung and SK Hynix、Micron and other major component manufacturers will no longer supply chips to Huawei,Therefore, it has brought great difficulties to Huawei's normal production。We want to really solve the problem of "stuck neck",I am afraid it takes a little time。During this time,We have to practice hard work、Make up for shortcomings、Pioneering Market。Taking Huawei as an example,Except for the European and American markets,It also has a huge domestic market and a market except European and American countries,At the same time, Huawei has a large advantage in product prices,It is impossible to be defeated at once。China has huge market demand,The Chinese are so smart,Therefore, I have always been confident in the development of Chinese technology。As long as we continue to deepen reform、Open to the outside world,Many problems will be solved and solve。
"China Social Sciences":At present, many companies have poured into the "card neck" technology industry such as semiconductors,Will it cause duplicate construction and waste of resources?
Zhang Yuyan:From an economic point of view,In a product shortage、In the case of high expected income in the future,Many companies are bound to pour into the market at the same time,The last thing that can be left must be a minority。In my opinion,Under the influence of no other non -market factors,The participation of more companies means improvement of market competitiveness,The result is improvement of efficiency。In this process,The government is very critical,Especially in terms of preventing resources from unnecessary resources。
Cultivate new advantages of participating in international cooperation and competition
"China Social Sciences":China will build a large domestic cycle as the main body、New development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles。How can we better use the two domestic and international markets with the domestic large cycle as the main body、Two resources,Cultivate a new advantage of my country to participate in international cooperation and competition?
Zhang Yuyan:China will build a large domestic cycle as the main body、New development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles,These two parts are organic whole,Can't be separated。Pay attention to internal economic circulation is by no means a retreat country,Even internal circulation,It is actually a dual -loop in a certain sense。Look from the output,The proportion of foreign -funded enterprises is as high as 15%。At the same time,China is actively attracting global investment,It means that this proportion will be maintained for a long time or even increased。From the regional level,With the official signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP),China has joined the world's largest free trade zone,China also actively strives to join the comprehensive and progressive cross -Pacific partnership agreement (CPTPP),These all show the determination of China to participate in global division of labor and opening up,It shows that China actively integrates with international economic and trade investment rules,Promote the effective configuration of global elements。
Cultivate international cooperation and competitive advantages. First of all, we must start from China。We need to establish a unified market in China,Everyone achieves fair competition under market rules。Only through domestic fair competition,Those competitive Chinese companies can stand out,can we occupy a place in the more intense international market,and contribute to the more bet365 Play online games effective allocation of global resources。Create a good market environment in China,"Fourteen Five -Year Plan" plan has been depicted very clearly。In the higher level of openness,Through technological innovation and scale expansion,Industry with significant advantages in my country、Products will be further consolidated and optimized,This becomes a key node that is difficult to replace in the global industrial chain,Then the inexhaustible power for domestic large cycles and domestic and international dual -loop input。
"China Social Sciences":China has repeatedly emphasized the development initiative during the "14th Five -Year Plan" period,But at the same time, there were some noisy sounds of "Chinese threats",What do you think of these sounds?
Zhang Yuyan:This threat is an imagination。China's initiative to grasp the development of development is successfully realized the "14th Five -Year Plan" and the 2035 remote view target。In this process,China more emphasizes the realization of its own goals and mutual benefit and win -win。Grasp the initiative of development,At the same time, it means that many things cannot wait,Must take the initiative、Active as。After the new crown pneumonia epidemic occurs,Because China takes the initiative to take action,Only timely controlling the country's epidemic and making great contributions to global anti -epidemic。Prosperity often comes from validity、Order competition。It is during the process of competition and cooperation.,Global resources have been effective allocation,In the long run, it can improve the common well -being of all mankind。
Due to the huge economy of China's economy,There may be an overflow effect when participating in the global division of labor,Competitive pressure to some companies in some countries。Of course,This pressure is two -way,That is to say, a part of Chinese companies will also feel the pressure from external competition。Here,I want to emphasize a little bit,The concept of success and victory is different。When a person wants to pursue victory,You must defeat your opponent or enemy。China is pursuing self -success and seeking to build a community of human destiny。The goal of the Chinese is to achieve self,benefit others,instead of defeating the opponent、Defeat the enemy。
Actively promote higher levels of opening to the outside world
"China Social Sciences":China's opening practice is a historical process that is constantly expanding and deepened,How is the convening of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee enrich and improve the concept of open opening?
Zhang Yuyan:General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out: "Safety is the prerequisite for development,Development is the guarantee of security。"The current and future period,my country is bound to seek its own development and promote cooperation with other countries in a more unstable and uncertain world。Although there are more and more security risks,But China will still insist on reform and opening up,It will not retreat due to the increase in unsafe factors。"The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the Fourteenth Five -Year Plan for the Development of the National Economic and Social Development and the 2013 Fast Visual Objective" Article 4 directly involves open opening,Among them, a new system of open -level open economy is constructed、Promote the high -quality development of the "Belt and Road" for co -construction、Actively participate in the reform of the global economic governance system、Actively create a good external environment。In addition,There are 7 and closely related to opening up,For example, building overseas interest protection and risk warning prevention system、Promoting the opening of science and technology、Strengthen international industrial security cooperation、Actively participate in the formulation of international rules and standards in the digital field。These goals or tasks itself,It is China to continue to increase the open certificate。
"China Social Sciences":November 20, 2020,President Xi Jinping attended the 27th leader of the Asia -Pacific Economic Co -Organization in Beijing in Beijing,China Welcome Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) completes signing,It will actively consider adding a comprehensive and progressive cross -Pacific partnership agreement (CPTPP)。What kind of signal does this release? What is the significance of opening to the outside world in China?
Zhang Yuyan:The signing of RCEP is very important for China。A country that gradually moves to closed,How can it be possible to sign a higher level of free trade agreement? in addition,China will actively consider adding CPTPP,This indicates that China's opening to the outside world has higher goals,High -level openness is important to approach the world's higher level of trade and investment rules。
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