Current，The world’s major changes unseen in a century are accelerating，The epidemic of the century has far-reaching impact，The world enters a new period of turbulence and change。Facing the complex and severe external environment，The report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China systematically discussed national bet365 new customer offer and the overall national bet365 new customer offer concept in a special chapter for the first time，And comprehensively elaborated on the dialectical relationship between development and bet365 new customer offer，Proposed “guaranteeing a new development pattern with a new bet365 new customer offer pattern”，Unswervingly implement the overall national bet365 new customer offer concept，Create a stable internal and external environment for high-quality development and promotion of Chinese-style modernization。In the context of building a new bet365 new customer offer landscape，Re-understand the complex and ever-changing external environment and its impact on my country’s internal bet365 new customer offer and development，will become a major practical driving force for innovation in international bet365 new customer offer theory。

　　Systemic bet365 new customer offer risks and theoretical boundary expansion

Due to the high degree of global interconnectivity and the high fluidity of risks，The bet365 new customer offer environment faced by various countries is becoming increasingly complex，bet365 new customer offer risks are increasingly showing systemic characteristics。On the one hand, this systematic nature is manifested by the increasing risk sources，The connotation and extension of national bet365 new customer offer are unprecedentedly rich，The span of time and space is unprecedentedly broad；On the other hand, various bet365 new customer offer risks are linked and superimposed in an unprecedented systematic way。These all help us correctly understand and analyze the bet365 new customer offer environment、Predicting risk sources and their serial paths poses a challenge，It also provides the possibility to expand the boundaries of bet365 new customer offer theory。

Traditional bet365 new customer offer research focuses more on traditional bet365 new customer offer issues、External bet365 new customer offer，Pay more attention to the country as a bet365 new customer offer subject，Rely more on reductionism in research methods，Seeking causal connections after the fact。But，This research idea is born to deal with the safety risk characteristics of the industrial society，May limit our understanding of globalization、Understanding of bet365 new customer offer risks in the information age。For this，The overall national bet365 new customer offer concept emerged as the times require。The overall national bet365 new customer offer concept is essentially a system、Overall safety concept，Not only emphasizes the intertwining of various bet365 new customer offer issues、Interdependence of various bet365 new customer offer entities，We also pay special attention to forward-looking research and judgment on bet365 new customer offer risks。

The report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China further clarified the core essence of the overall national bet365 new customer offer concept，Details the systematic dialectical relationship of its "five major elements"。Under the new bet365 new customer offer landscape，Theoretical research on international bet365 new customer offer will face new missions and requirements，We must pay attention to history、Improving the mechanism discussion and empirical verification of classical bet365 new customer offer theory，Also pay attention to the new characteristics of bet365 new customer offer risks，Expand the space of classic bet365 new customer offer theory in the new era。

　　Exploration of bet365 new customer offer risk linkage and theoretical mechanism

If the new development pattern emphasizes the mutual promotion of the domestic macrocycle and the domestic and international dual cycles，Then the new bet365 new customer offer pattern focuses on coordinating domestic and international bet365 new customer offer in risk areas、“Dual coordination” of traditional and non-traditional bet365 new customer offer in risk fields。The key to "dual coordination" is to clarify the system linkage mechanism of bet365 new customer offer risks，Thus preventing and resolving major bet365 new customer offer risks。

The linkage of bet365 new customer offer risks refers to the coupling of various risks、Overlay、Upgrade，A phenomenon that ultimately endangers national bet365 new customer offer。Academics have a long-standing interest in research on the linkage of national bet365 new customer offer risks，However, the research focus has undergone multiple changes，From the focus on bet365 new customer offer risks to internal and external cross-space linkage，To pay attention to the cross-issue linkage between traditional bet365 new customer offer risks and non-traditional bet365 new customer offer risks，To focus on multi-dimensional linkage of bet365 new customer offer risks。Specifically，The bet365 new customer offer risk linkage paths that existing research focuses on mainly include horizontal linkage that transcends national borders and vertical linkage that escalates from bottom to top。

The horizontal linkage or internal and external linkage of bet365 new customer offer risks mainly refers to the evolution of international risks into domestic risks。There are two main paths for this kind of bet365 new customer offer risk。One，Safety risks of natural spillover。Domestic and foreign scholars initially focused on the spillover of traditional bet365 new customer offer risks，Including rebellion、The spread of events such as civil wars and revolutions beyond borders。With the expansion and emergence of new bet365 new customer offer connotations and bet365 new customer offer issues，More and more scholars are turning their attention to the spillover effects of non-traditional bet365 new customer offer risks，Focus on refugees、The global spread of environmental and public health crises and their threats and challenges to national bet365 new customer offer。Part 2，Man-made transfer of bet365 new customer offer risks。The scapegoat theory and the red herring war theory provide an explanation mechanism for the occurrence of this risk。Specifically，This type of theory believes that when facing a domestic crisis，Countries may either blame other countries，Or launch a foreign war、Provoking foreign military disputes，To divert the attention of the people of the country。This approach essentially spreads the domestic crisis to other countries，Objectively causing external bet365 new customer offer risks to other countries。

The vertical linkage of bet365 new customer offer risks is mainly manifested in the upgrade of risks in the non-traditional bet365 new customer offer field to risks in the traditional bet365 new customer offer field，Public bet365 new customer offer risks rise to political bet365 new customer offer risks, etc.。Among them，A focus of international bet365 new customer offer research is the vertical linkage of national bet365 new customer offer risks caused by external forces，That is, one country’s interference in the internal affairs of another country，Catalyze the escalation of internal bet365 new customer offer risks。International intervention can be divided into covert action and direct intervention，Specific manifestations include supporting domestic opposition forces、Inciting reactionary public opinion、International pressure and military intervention, etc.。

Overall view，Existing international bet365 new customer offer research has conducted a relatively in-depth analysis of the linkage mechanism of bet365 new customer offer risks，Provides an academic foundation for subsequent research，But there are still the following shortcomings。First，On research content，Existing research still mostly focuses on a single bet365 new customer offer risk situation or a single linkage dimension，Unable to systematically integrate multiple scenarios or multi-dimensional risk linkage mechanisms，Also ignores the horizontal risks、Vertical system linkage。Secondly，In research methods，Use more historical data for statistical analysis，Still following reductionist thinking to identify relevant factors that trigger risk linkages，This makes it impossible to systematically analyze the linkage coupling relationship of bet365 new customer offer risks。Finally，For research purposes，Existing research mostly focuses on post-causal detection of bet365 new customer offer risks，Rarely apply mechanisms to early warning and prevention practices，Therefore, it is impossible to provide specific and feasible countermeasures and suggestions on how to prevent the linkage of major bet365 new customer offer risks。These all provide development space for the next step of theoretical research。

　Attempts at the correlation between internal and external conflicts and theoretical development

Conflict and war have always been core concerns in the field of international bet365 new customer offer。Since the rise of civil war studies in the late Cold War，The field of international bet365 new customer offer simply divides the research objects into two directions: international conflict and civil war。Although some research has begun to try to break down the barriers between international conflict research and civil war research，However, these two types of research still retain relatively independent research spaces。However，In the era of globalization with high interconnection，The outbreak and impact of the conflict completely broke through traditional regions、Limitations of time and space，Therefore, conflict research should further break down the restrictions of national boundaries and categories。Among them，As a special international bet365 new customer offer phenomenon connecting international conflicts and civil wars，The relationship between internal and external conflicts deserves wider attention。

The internal and external conflict correlation emphasizes the causal relationship between domestic conflicts (crises) and international conflicts (crises)。The global impact of current regional conflicts further demonstrates，Conflicts in the era of globalization are increasingly showing systemic characteristics。Internal and external conflicts are also connected in a new systematic way，This systemic characteristic is reflected both in the direct impact of the conflict (such as battlefield outcomes、Scope and public opinion development) are difficult to control，Also manifested as the unpredictable indirect impact of conflicts (risk cascading)，This poses a serious practical challenge to traditional international conflict theory，It also magnifies the cognitive limitations of human beings in understanding complex systems。Therefore，International bet365 new customer offer research needs to develop a new theory of correlation between internal and external conflicts，Dialogue that is conducive to promoting the study of international conflicts and civil wars，It also enriches the understanding of the relationship between domestic affairs and diplomacy，It is more helpful to improve the theoretical explanation of coordinating internal and external bet365 new customer offer under the new bet365 new customer offer pattern。

　　(This article is part of the Shanghai Philosophy and Social Sciences Planning Youth Project "Research on the Linkage Effects and Countermeasures of Major bet365 new customer offer Risks in the Context of the New Coronavirus Epidemic" (2021EGJ002)、Shanghai Pujiang Talent Program funded "Research on Challenges and Countermeasures to Prevent and Resolve Exogenous bet365 new customer offer Risks" (21PJC076) Phased Results)

(Author’s affiliation: School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University)