With the booming of the mobile Internet and big data,The integration of artificial intelligence and the real economy is becoming more deepening,Become a new kinetic energy to promote economic development。Intelligence will not only reshape the economic and social development pattern,Deeply changing people's production lifestyle,It will also have a decisive impact on labor employment,The employment structure will be completely changed。
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In the era of electronic informatization,A large number of conventional jobs are replaced。Autor David's research divides work tasks into routine tasks and unconventional tasks,The conventional task refers to the programmatic physical strength and some cognitive tasks that can be automated to achieve automated physical strength and some cognitive tasks。From material handling、Product assembly to quality inspection,Control from production、Diagnosis of faulty monitoring in the process,This task has clear rules and processes,Can be programmed and automatically enable。A fully automated equipment production line can complete the stamping worker、Welding worker、The task of the assembly and the quality inspector,Manufacturing execution system (MES system) can achieve order management、Production schedule、Product detection and process optimization tasks full information control。Relying on technological progress,Advanced machinery and equipment can complete more and more conventional tasks,and have a relative advantage in production efficiency,Routine work for people is less and less。
In the era of intelligence,Some unconventional jobs have also begun to become routine,The scope of work that can be replaced continuously expands。In big data、With the support of sensor technology and brain science,Artificial intelligence has super deep learning ability,More cognitive and even creative tasks are gradually being implemented bet365 best casino games by machines。On the one hand,Intelligent penetration industries are more extensive,From manufacturing to education、Extension of medical and finance industries,The replaceable job jobs can also be extended to various areas of three major industries。On the other hand,The functions of smart machines are becoming stronger,Medical robots can not only care for patients、Diagnosis of the disease,Even accurate heart surgery can be performed。With the continuous development of artificial intelligence technology,Doctor、Driver and educational consultants such as unconventional jobs that previously needed professional technical capabilities and problems to solve the ability to solve the ability,also facing the risk of replacement。
At the same time,In order to master the initiative in the new round of international division,Promote industrial transformation and upgrade with intelligent technology,The central government and local governments at all levels have successively introduced a series of related industrial policies,Actively encourage enterprises to carry out technical transformation,Objectively accelerating the alternative of the machine and equipment on process。When smart production、Smart products and smart services gradually move to maturity,More wider and wider jobs will inevitably be replaced or even disappeared。
Help humans pursue a better life
Although artificial intelligence technology advances and bullish,But there are still many technologies applied bottlenecks,Intelligent achieving intelligence in my country's industry and service industry is a long -term goal。Current,Artificial intelligence technology only reaches "weak human level",Limited work tasks for executable,It is still impossible to achieve three unconventional tasks: emphasizing unstructured environmental adaptability and unconventional handmade tasks for eyes and feet,Pay attention to communication management capabilities、Disual abstract tasks of professional technical ability and creativity,and intuition and common sense that requires human evolution,The task that can only be completed bet365 best casino games by understanding。The simplest example is,Is the power jack required to start the robotic arm is a diodes or triangle,Human eyes can be recognized instantly; Haier COSMOPLAT platform realizes user customization、Modular production and smart logistics interconnection,But the personalized customization process of the product still requires the creativity and communication decision of users and designers; early education robots can enlighten children,It is difficult to achieve the psychological comfort and moral training of children's teachers for children。
my country's Industrial Intelligence is still in its infancy,Intelligent manufacturing projects are limited to small -scale industry application pilots。Although the application of artificial intelligence has continued to make breakthrough progress,Cognitive intelligent transition from the perception intelligence representative from voice recognition to language translation,But from the laboratory to enter the real application scenario,Facing huge technical and financial challenges。Current,my country's companies with a relatively complete intelligent manufacturing system are mainly large Internet companies and knowledge、Technology -intensive manufacturing enterprise,The construction of digital workshops and smart factories is still a pilot project,Can achieve design、Production、Management、Logistics and service highly coordinated and integrated enterprises can only finger。In the most concentrated Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta region in "Machine substitution",Industrial robots and automated production lines are also implemented with heavy physical strength、High repeated and high -precision conventional tasks,Management and sales is still the largest occupation of relative employment needs。
Human continuous exploration of technology,The ultimate purpose is not to replace humans in machines,Instead of helping humans pursue a better life。At the basic research and development level,Artificial intelligence must reach the thinking process and ability of human thinking,Integration of many discipline cutting Bet365 lotto review -edge technologies will be relying on many disciplines,Technical barriers and development costs extremely high。At the application level,The commercialization of artificial intelligence is a behavior under the maximization of corporate cost and income,The enterprise adopted the intelligent system to reduce the risk to increase profit,Personal use of smart products is also to make life more convenient。The current application of artificial intelligence is mainly concentrated in supply chain management、Product Marketing and Smart Home Fields,In the future intelligence will also be according to human wishes,Replacing humans who are unwilling to engage in or are not good at。
Increase knowledge and skill -based jobs
One aspect,Intelligence will create a large number of new jobs,Increase the employment of knowledge and skill -type labor。First,The process of automation and intelligence of the task itself will produce a lot of knowledge -intensive work。In order to allow the machine to achieve self -abnormal diagnosis and fault treatment,Familiar with algorithm modeling、Programming technology and sensing technology,and understand the design team of all status parameters running all of the machine operation。Second,Intelligence will give birth to a large number of emerging industries,Drive more labor employment。Whether it is cloud computing and 3D printing industry,Still WeChat marketing and other self -media industries,New jobs that are constantly emerging or need high professional technology,or require strong creativity,All will drive knowledge -based labor employment。third,The essence of intelligence is "human -machine collaboration",Increasing the need to complement the labor force with advanced technology with the intelligent development,A large use of automated equipment and intelligent systems,It will improve the manipulation equipment、Employment needs of the skill -based labor force of management and optimization of the production process。
On the other hand,Intelligence will greatly increase productivity,Increase the labor employment of all industries。Intelligence Bet365 app download can achieve comprehensive real -time monitoring of the supply chain,Even "zero shutdown", "zero sub -product" and "zero inventory",It will greatly improve production efficiency and service timeliness。The productivity brought by intelligent — the employment effect is divided into two types。The first is the price -productivity effect: realize the improvement of intelligent industry production efficiency、Cost reduction,Expanding production will increase the demand for labor。Second, scale -productivity effect: expansion of the scale of the intelligent industry will drive the development of related industries in the same industry chain; the price of goods and services provided by the intelligent industry will be reduced,People have higher actual income,The demand for various products and services will be increased,So as to drive the development of all industries,Finally increase the needs of all industries for labor。other,Industrial intelligence will be committed to the deepening of automation,That is, more advanced equipment is used to replace the existing machine in the task that has been automated。For example,Use a flexible manufacturing system to replace the CNC machine tool,Further improve production capacity and product quality。Smart technology that is biased towards automation and deepening will not replace additional labor,simply improved the demand for labor。
Accelerate the improvement of human capital
The pace of labor force from manufacturing to the service industry accelerates,High -end service industry driving employment has begun to start。From 2012 to the end of 2018,my country's secondary industry has decreased by about 18.5 million employees,And the employment proportion of service business continues to rise,It is expected to exceed 50%by 2020。Large manufacturing companies begin to build smart factories,Midea Group has only reduced about 20,000 workers in the field of air conditioning,But the "zero inventory" production model has accelerated the expansion of the logistics industry,greatly increased the employment absorption of the labor force such bet365 Play online games as drivers and delivery workers。At the same time,Big Data、Cloud computing and Internet of Things drive high -end service industry rapid development,Knowledge、The technical dense service industry has created a large number of new jobs。Information、Software and computer service industries are expanding its own scale、While improving the needs of labor,More promoted Internet finance、E -commerce、New employment in the fields of new media and smart logistics。Still taking beauty as an example,The Ante Zhilian (formerly Ande Logistics) of its subordinates realized the informatization control of the entire logistics supply chain,Unmanned warehouse and 100%logistics tracking are thousands of data、The birth of technical and information management and employment positions。At present, my country's high -end service industry has just started,Market development potential huge,Strong development momentum,It will definitely become a new engine that drives labor employment。
Intelligent transformation of the industry brings new opportunities for employment,Promoting the level of labor and human capital is the key to seize the opportunity。Facing the new wave of work set off in the face of artificial intelligence development and industrial changes,The problem of not matching the quality of the labor itself and the requirements of the new position skills is becoming more and more prominent。For this,At the personal level,The labor force should be established for life,Constantly improving your professional skills and professional literacy,Keep synchronization with technical progress and industrial upgrading。The current mobile online learning mode is becoming increasingly mature,Various technical education and training curriculum systems gradually improve,Workers should actively participate in training to improve their own quality,To meet the higher requirements of human capital levels for new jobs。At the national level,The government should closely connect the demand for forward -looking research and industrial development,Deepen higher education reform,Adjust the discipline bet365 best casino games structure and professional settings,Research talents in cultivating artificial intelligence and related fields,Very vigorously developing vocational education at the same time,Encourage school -enterprise cooperation to carry out skills training,Cultivate application -oriented talents in various industries。Accelerate the construction of a multi -level talent team,Improve the overall labor capital level of labor,Help China to help China win the strategic opportunity in the new round of scientific and technological revolution。
(Author Unit: School of Economics and Finance of Xi'an Jiaotong University)
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