The situation of China's economy will not change
March 01, 2024 14:41 Source: "China Social Sciences" March 1, 2024 Issue 2843 Author: He Self -Power

Over the years,Is it "very good" or "bad" around the Chinese economy,Continuous fermentation in the public opinion community at home and abroad。This is not strange,In a certain sense,No controversy but abnormal。So,How should we view the development and future trends of China's economy? the author thinks,The Chinese economy faces many risks and challenges in the current situation.,But the economic toughness is strong and can maintain long -term development trend,It is also an indisputable fact。If you ignore these facts,and blindly blame singing,It is really missed or even unique。

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2023,The world economy continues to be sluggish,Complex evolution of international structure,Frequent geopolitical conflicts,External environment complexity、severe、Uncertain increase。Domestic economic cycle、There are more structural contradictions,Natural disasters frequently。Under this complex situation,China's economic development shows strong toughness,It has maintained a situation of good development,Economic growth、Price level、Employment status、International revenue and expenditure status and other indicators fully prove this。

First, economic maintenance growth。Economic growth is an important comprehensive indicator for measuring the economic development of a country,Can reflect the basic situation and situation of economic operation from one side。China's economic growth has been in the world's leading position in 10 years。According to the data released by the World Bank,2013-2022,China's total economic volume is continuously rising,The average annual growth rate is 6.24%,In the same period, the United States is 2.11%,EU is 1.63%,Germany is 1.23%,Japan is only 0.54%。2023,my country's economic growth rate is 5.2%,Especially due to the greater base,Calculate at comparable price,economic growth exceeds 6 trillion yuan,Equivalent to the economic aggregate of a medium country for one year。This growth rate is not only higher than the expected growth rate of about 3%in the world,and among the top in the world's major economies,This fully indicates that my country's economy is in good condition。

Second, the price of price is generally mild。Price is overall stable,Reflected the economic operation in a reasonable range。As the new crown epidemic is outbreak worldwide,Economics of Western countries suffers severely,The negative interest rate policy of the multinational central bank has not reached expectations of significant stimulus growth,Instead, the inflation rate is rising violently,Such as the US price rose bet365 live casino games 8%,Britain rose 7.9 %,Germany rose 6.8 %,Italy rose 8.2%。Enter 2023,Audit rate hike policy has suppressed inflation,But once again put the economy of all countries into the bottom,Can be described as "Press the gourd and start a scoop"。At the same time,In 2023, the consumption prices of Chinese residents increased by 0.2%compared to the year -on -year,Price operation is generally stable,Not only is it in sharp comparison with Western countries,More to stabilize social expectations、It has an important role in boosting market confidence。

Third, the employment priority policy has achieved significant results。Employment is close to the vital interests of thousands of households,is the largest people's livelihood project。Deep changes in the face of the external environment,my country's timely optimization and adjustment of employment policy measures,In 2023, the cost of reducing the cost of enterprises by more than 200 billion yuan for enterprises,Employment subsidy funds exceed 100 billion yuan。2023,12.44 million new employment in urban and towns in my country,The average unemployment rate of urban surveys in the year is 5.2%。Employment Priority Policy is to ensure the stable cockpit stone of the overall situation of society,Reflect that our party attaches great importance to improving and guaranteeing people's livelihood。The significant improvement of employment status fully proves the importance and urgency of employment priority policy,It also shows that my country's economic situation is healthy and good。

Fourth, the international trade maintains a good development trend。2023,Continuous optimization of export product structure in my country,Export of electromechanical products 13.92 trillion yuan,increased by 2.9%year -on -year,58.6%of the total value of the export,1.3 percentage points increased from 2022。Especially electric carrier car、Lithium -ion battery and solar cells such as "new three" products exported to 1.06 trillion yuan,Break through the trillion yuan mark for the first time,Ship、Home appliance exports remain rapidly。2023,my country's foreign exchange market is running steadily and well,Maintaining basic balance in international revenue and expenditure,Foreign exchange reserves a year stable at more than 3.1 trillion US dollars。The above good performance fully explain,my country's economy has risen to improve、The basic trend of long -term good good has not changed,The overall competitiveness is still stable。

  Highlighting strong toughness and development potential

China's economy is recovering in 2023 is not accidental,Instead, it originated from the strong toughness and development potential of the Chinese economy,It has objective inevitability。bet365 live casino games Specifically,China's economy has unique unique advantages in the following aspects,Then explain why the Western economy is stagnant and the Chinese economic landscape is good。

One,Strong production capacity to ensure that China's economy sustainable and stable operation。The West is the birthplace of the previous industrial revolution,take the lead in realizing the industrialization of the Western economy for a long time,But since the 1970s,Western countries enter the "de -industrialization" track,The overall economic stagnation,It is manifested as a downturn in economic growth、The gap between the rich and the poor expands、Government debt desk high、Industrial competitiveness decreases、Export ability failure、Frequent financial crisis, etc.。On the basis of making full use of and exerting the advantages of the post -issuance my country,The largest world scale、The most complete category、The system is the most complete、Manufacturing with strong international competitiveness,and then become the second largest economy in the world。2022,my country's manufacturing industry added value of 33.5 trillion yuan,The proportion of GDP in China is 27.7%,accounting for about 30%of the global proportion,scale for more than ten years has ranked first in the world。Enter the new development stage,By promoting the high -quality development of the manufacturing industry,Accelerate industrial transformation and upgrade,Promoting intelligent manufacturing and green manufacturing,The development quality and benefits of my country's manufacturing industry are greatly improved,Effectively played the role of China's economic stability anchor,Ensure that China's economy is stable and far away。It can be said,The strong production capacity is my country's strong economic toughness、The development trend will not change、Fundamental material technical guarantee for stable and far away。

Its two,High -quality development based on strong innovation capabilities has developed into the main color of the Chinese economy。"World Intellectual Property Index Report" shows,2022 China's patent application volume is about 1.6 million pieces,ranked first in the world。According to the "Global Innovation Index 2023" display,China ranks 12th in the world,6 of which ranks first in the world; China has 24 global top technology clusters,The first jumped in the world's top science and technology cluster ranking first。2022,China's new momentum index of economic development is 766.8,increased by 28.4%from the previous year。From the main constituent indicators,The innovation driver index is 336.3,increased 15.5%from the previous year; the knowledge ability index was 193.4,increased 5.9%from the previous year。China has become the largest in bet365 Play online games the world、The most comprehensive talent resources of the door category,The total amount of talent resources exceeds 200 million people。In recent years,my country's high -tech industry investment growth is far faster than all investment growth,Auto manufacturing、Electric machinery and equipment manufacturing industries have increased sharply,Fully explained that China's economy has entered the high -quality development fast lane。Innovation is the first motivation to lead development,The driving force for economic development in my country has shifted from large -scale factor to innovation drive,Fundamentally laid the most solid foundation for the development of my country's economy to maintain a good development trend。

Today's Times,A new round of technological change Promote the accelerated transformation of China's economy。Today's Times,Digital Technology、Digital economy is the first opportunity for the world's scientific and technological revolution and industrial change,Is a key area of ​​a new round of international competition。my country attaches great importance to the development of the digital economy,Vigorously promote the deep integration of the digital economy and the real economy。Current,my country has built the largest global scale、Leading technology、Digital infrastructure with superior performance。As of the end of 2022,110 cities nationwide built a "Gigabit City",5G base station has been completed and opened 2.312 million,5G end users exceed 450 million households,account for more than 60%of the world。The total scale of computing power ranks second in the world,The average annual growth rate exceeds 25%。At the same time,Digital economy is huge、The development momentum is rapid,2014-2022,my country's digital economy has increased from 16.2 trillion yuan to more than 5 trillion yuan,Total quantity ranks second in the world。As of the end of 2023,The number of Internet Internet access in my country is 1.092 billion people,Internet penetration rate is 77.5%,It is the only country in the world with a scale of over 1 billion netizens。Digitalization of various industries in the national economy、Intelligent development,Lay a solid foundation for the high -quality development and healthy operation of China's economy,strongly enhanced my country's economic toughness。

Four,Super large -scale market is a powerful base gas for China to deal with the risk of contraction of external markets。China's population exceeds 1.4 billion,The middle income group exceeds 400 million,GDP per capita domestic product exceeds $ 12,000,has initially formed a super large -scale market advantage。2023,my country's final consumption expenditure stretching economic growth by 4.3 percentage points,3.1 percentage points bet365 best casino games from the previous year,The contribution rate to economic growth is 82.5%。As residential income continues to increase,Middle income groups continue to grow,The consumption scale of the Chinese market will continue to expand。The super large -scale market advantage means having a huge domestic demand potential,Provide enterprises in various countries with broad market space and cooperation opportunities,helps to expand high -quality consumer products、Advanced Technology、Important equipment、Import of key components,Increase energy resource products and imports of domestic lack of agricultural products,Improve the level of development of the local real economy and manufacturing industry,Injecting new kinetic energy into the development of national economic development and global economic recovery。The advantages of oversized market and domestic demand potential can also promote the "going global" manufacturing industry with strong competitiveness,Forms a benign interaction between domestic demand and foreign demand,So that my country's foreign trade has achieved a steady scale in the context of the overall performance of global trade.、The quality of the quality is good。

Its five,From the advantages of the population to the improvement of the population quality。The growth potential of an economy is mainly determined by potential needs and production capacity。According to the report of the "2024 China Economic Forecast and Outlook" report,my country's rural resident population accounts for 36%of the total population,Another 18%of the population resident cities,Increasing urbanization level will increase the income and consumption level of this group of people。my country has a population of 900 million people with junior high school and above,Increased income will bring continuous growth of consumer demand。Another,my country's national savings rate remains at a high level of more than 40%,These potential capital supply plays an important role in pulling investment。my country's per capita life span is 78 years old,Healthy and active elderly people between the age of 60 and 70 are about 140 million; the gross enrollment rates of high school and higher education are 91.4%and 57.8%。These indicate that our country still has richer labor resources,Can provide strong human resources support for sustainable economic growth。

  Institutional advantages and policy environment protection

First,Persist in and strengthen the party's comprehensive leadership of economic work。The party's leadership is the fundamental political guarantee for the sustainable and healthy development of my country's economy and society。General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out: "The party is the overall situation、bet365 best casino games Coordinate the parties,Economic work is central work,Of course, the party's leadership must be fully reflected in central work,Grasp the cow nose of the central work,Other jobs can be better expanded。"Party's comprehensive leadership of economic work,Reflecting the dialectical unity of politics and economy。The party's leadership provides political foundation and organizational guarantee for economic reform and development,Ensure that reform and opening up and socialist modernization are moving along the correct direction。The Party Central Committee coordinates the overall situation of the great rejuvenation strategy of the Chinese nation and the world's unscrupulous changes,Adhere to and improve the socialist system with Chinese characteristics、Promote the modernization of the national governance system and governance capabilities,Can conscientiously implement the party's basic theory、Basic route、Basic square strategy,Top -level design of economic work、Overall layout,Then transform the party's leadership of economic work into a leadership system、Work mechanism and management method,Ensure that my country's economy is stable and healthy operation。

Next,Adhere to and improve the basic socialist economic system。The system of economic operation and development in my country is the basic socialist economic system。In terms of ownership,Public ownership as the main body determines the socialist nature of the economic system,The consistency of the fundamental interests of all people,​​It is the mainstay of economic stable operation and high -quality development; the common development of multiple ownership economies will help fully stimulate the vitality and creativity of various business entities,Injecting a powerful power into economic development。In terms of allocation system,Distribution according to labor is the principle of socialist personal consumer goods allocation,It reflects the consistency of the fundamental interests of workers under the conditions of public ownership,It is conducive to mobilizing workers' production enthusiasm and initiative。Capital、Land、Technology、Knowledge、Management、Data and other production factors are involved in the distribution according to contributions,Incentive element owners actively invest in various production factors into the production process of social wealth,It is conducive to improving factor use efficiency。other,my country's creativity proposes and establishes the socialist market economy system,Realizing personal and social interests、Local interests and common interests、Unification of short -term interests and long -term interests,and are dealing with the relationship between public ownership and market economy、Government and market relations have accumulated successful bet365 live casino games experience。These rich experience contribute Chinese wisdom to the innovation of the market economy system model,It provides a strong institutional mechanism guarantee for promoting the long -term development of the economy。

Last,Adhere to the scientific and efficient macroeconomic governance。Macroeconomic governance is an important part of the national governance system。During the long -term exploration and practice process,my country's adherence to demand management and supply management is equal,Adhere to the combination of short -term regulation and medium- and long -term regulation,Adhere to the domestic and international configuration,Persist in combining interval regulation and precision regulation,Gradually established a unique macroeconomic governance system。For the new topics and new situations facing macroeconomic operations in recent years,my country's key role around the basic role of consumption and the key role of investment、Support industrial transformation and upgrade、Promoting the development and growth of the private economy、Create a good business environment and other aspects,I have introduced a series of policy measures。Promote high -quality development with scientific and efficient macroeconomic governance,Let the effective market and the government better combine、Macro policy and micro policy complement each other,It is undoubtedly conducive to the rapid release of policies,strongly promoting the continuous rise of China's economy to rise。

  (The author is a professor at the School of Economics of Nankai University)

Editor in charge: Zhang Jing
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