Since World War II,Global society starts to enter the stage of social order reconstruction,Direct social risks are changing to potential uncertainty risks。Especially with globalization、Enhancement of individualization trends and acceleration of social flow,Uncertain factors of the development of modern society are constantly accumulated,Possibly that there is a possibility of changing risks at any time。It can be said,In this uncertain world,All knowledge and even people's survival status is based on the sellow sand,No fixed、For reference、predictable framework。Every action to find a certain position,It seems that they may be counterproductive,Even let us fall into deeper anxiety and fear。
With the enhancement of various liquidity factors,The uncertainty of the current social development is increasingly accumulated。From individual to group、From the person as the subject to the objective social environment,No exception。On the one hand,The expansion of modern social rationalism is difficult to avoid impact on human nature,The inherent psychology of individuals has become an important source of uncertainty of the uncertainty of modern society。At the same time,Under the trend of individualization, individuals gradually break free from groups,As an important actor role, ascended to the modern society stage。Uncertainty increases unprecedentedly,Its action and influence Bet365 app download far exceeds the traditional society。On the other hand,The overall liquidity and individualization trend of modern society,In the development of socio -economic、Science and Technology Progress、Thoughts of ideas and other forces, such as liberation and other forces,The static pattern of traditional society is subverted,Not only the population flow rate in the geographical sense of space is constantly accelerating,Class flow in the social sense is becoming increasingly frequent。It is worth noting that,The virtual world based on network information technology,Breaking the space -time segment of the traditional society,Realization of social exchanges and even production methods,This also directly pushes modern society to liquidity society。The result is at the same time as the uncertainty of individual individuals in modern society,The degree of uncertainty of the objective social environment is also increasing with day,And the two interweave each other,Uncertainty has become one of the most important representations of the development of modern society。
Uncertainty of development,We can recognize at least two aspects: First, the uncertainty of cognition,This refers to the uncertainty caused by the lack of knowledge or imperfection,For example, knowledge、The general lack of or deficiencies in data and technology lead to increasing difficulty in identification and determination of causality。Second is the uncertainty brought by variability or accidental,This refers to uncertainty caused by the inherent variation of space and time,For example, the diversity of behavior、Natural randomness, bet365 best casino games etc.。The uncertainty of these two types basically describes the essence of uncertainty,and to a certain extent explained the cause of uncertainty。Some scholars have proposed the criteria for measuring uncertainty from two dimensions: First, level,The scale of uncertainty、degree; the second is the location,Specific performance of uncertainty。The concept of "uncertainty" in sociological context is mainly proposed as the opposite side of "certainty",Determination represents the relatively certain and stable side of the development of things,Uncertainty represents the development of things and changes、The side that is not easy to control。So in the research perspective of sociology,Determination is usually stable in social、Social order and other forms presentation,Uncertainty is with social development、Social Change、Social transformation and other areas are closely related。If the definition of social order is the main feature of the traditional static society,So uncertainty is an important representation of modern liquidity society。
No doubt,Uncertainty of development brings huge challenges to today's sociological research。The research paradigm of traditional sociology is mostly a "certainty" research paradigm,Get used to cutting the social world into an independent research area,The construction of various sociological branches through the construction of the subject border。Because it emphasizes the uniqueness of professionalism and discipline itself,Sociological division of labor gradually moves to professionalism and professionalization,The Bet365 app download most direct manifestation of its research is continuous fragmentation、Microscope,In the end, sociology increasingly lacks the pursuit of macro social phenomena and the ability to summarize the laws of social development。other,The development of traditional sociological research is mostly from "certainty",Return to "OK",To maintain social order,Realize social stability and benign operation。Although this research paradigm also pays attention to the category of uncertainty,But more is an anatomy standing on a relatively certain position、Elimination of uncertainty。Long -term sociology for various rules、The search for boundary and certainty,Make sociology have certain advantages in terms of analysis and discussing relative deterministic phenomena。But with the increase of various liquidity elements、Vagueization of various boundaries and increased phenomenon of uncertainty,The research paradigm of "certainty" of traditional sociology is difficult to meet the needs of uncertainty research。
Today,The static structure of traditional society is broken,The certainty is becoming more and more difficult to capture。Not only the boundaries between disciplines are being broken,The boundaries between different research areas of sociology are also ablation,A kind of uncertain sociology at uncertainty of uncertainty research on development is really necessary,It is not only a theoretical response to the changing social facts,It is also a update of traditional sociological research paradigm,How does its core topic is to grasp the relative certainty bet365 live casino games in uncertain development。The understanding and definition of the concept of uncertainty play a basic role in the construction of uncertainty sociology,It also directly determines the research object of uncertainty sociology、Research scope、Research paradigm and research features。Specifically,The main research categories of uncertainty sociology at this stage include the following aspects: (1) uncertainty of human knowledge and science and technology; (2) uncertainty of the development environment; (3) intimate relation、Uncertainty of various social relations such as labor relations; (4) uncertainty of individual development and life encounters; (5) uncertainty of social identity and self -awareness。
So,How to find certainty in the uncertainty of development? American philosopher Dewey in "Seeking Determination: Research on Knowledge and A relationship" believes that there are two ways to seek certainty: one is to reconcile with various forces that determine his destiny,Give yourself to an external mysterious power。The other is to work hard to develop science and technology、Philosophy and Art。But a cruel fact is,Human society seems to have never really succeeded,Seeking the certainty of certainty becomes a action that will always be on the road。But this action is still very important,Because of our purpose of seeking "certainty", it is not to predict and plan incidents or action.,whether it can help people adjust their actions to the orbit that meets their own development。So,Seeking certainty in an uncertain world is a development path and independent choice for Bet365 lotto review us to respond to the future,It aims to provide a development guide for people to adjust their social behavior。
British sociologist Bowman once said,The fundamental dilemma of uncertainty in development is "Personal Biography Solution of Social System Contradictions",Therefore, he opposes the individual to bear and solve the confusion and pain caused by his own power。Indeed,In a world full of uncertainty,Each of us cannot plan the development trajectory of life in advance,Determine your own development direction,There is no way to determine even in advance for the direction of the recent efforts。but,Ford to life is constant,The uncertainty in life is exactly the biggest source of our future hope。Therefore,When I realize that the world is always facing the uncertainty of various development at all times,Don’t we want to abandon,grievances,or flowing with the wave,Instead, learn to accept、Adaptation and struggle,Use social vision and imagination,Learn to find certainty in this uncertain world,The future of hugs that will never die。
So,I think,Start from uncertain thinking and values,Based on "institutional creation" and "collective action",Build a "community" social system,Use "elastic governance" to cope with uncertainty of development,It should be an important social choice for people。For individuals living in this uncertain world,Instead of worrying about the uncertainty in life,It is not as good as actively dealing with,Bravely find the certainty in life。This kind of search for certainty,It is the hope of future life,It is also a result of our own choice bet365 Play online games as the subject,It is the source of motivation to promote the continuous progress of society。
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