The Central Economic Work Conference in 2022 proposed a goal for promoting the overall improvement of economic operation。As the "two sessions" approach，Analysis of the macroeconomic situation has become a hot spot for attention from all walks of life。Many authoritative institutions and experts have proposed their own judgment and analysis，also caused greater attention and response。But，In these discussions，The judgment of the macro social situation looks relatively insufficient，If you think that it has little relationship with economic development and ignores it，Or understanding social problems as employment、Labor、Medical issues and mainly discuss from an economic perspective，Or although it attaches great importance to the macro social situation, it has not been analyzed for various reasons for various reasons。Absence of analysis of macro social situation，Let us lack another pair of keen eyes when observing the macro situation; the lack of discussion on macro social policies，Especially for discussions with macroeconomic policies，Let the landing of economic policy，Lack of more solid social basic support。

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The increasingly complex social situation，It has become a force that affects or even restrict economic development。As early as the 1990s，Li Peilin proposed，Social structure transformation is another invisible hand that affects economic development and resource allocation，It is both the result of economic growth，It is also the bet365 best casino games promotion force of social change。From the perspective of social structure，Marriage、Fertility、The population change represented by the elderly is already a hot spot for discussion of all walks of life，Not only does it directly affect social security、Education、Medical and other social policies，​​It also has a significant impact on labor supply and human resources quality，Therefore, it directly affects the prospects of economic development。but，The issue of social structure is by no means limited to the topic of "population structure"。For example，major changes in my country's entire social structure，The proportion of the expansion of the middle income group becomes a reduction of income、The key to forming an olive type distribution pattern is located。But the social flow is not optimistic，Create the opportunity to get rich for more people、Forms the development environment of everyone's participation and is far away。

Some social problems，In some areas and time points，It will even become the main contradiction that affects the high -quality development of the economy。Taking the most concerned expectations in the near future as an example，Some entrepreneur insufficient confidence、Investment willingness is not strong、Looking forward，Insufficient consumption willingness for some people、Election is full，"Lie flat" and "inner volume" becomes hot words at the same time。These are not just individual psychological phenomena，but a social mentality。Resolve this social mentality，It is definitely not just a problem of economic policy，to a greater extent，Is a question of social policy。These social policies are not only people's Bet365 app download livelihood、Employment、Medical and other fields of pocket problems，to a greater extent，How to resolve the social loss of society in the social field、Reconstruction of social solidarity，Carry out "macro -control" in the social field，The "construction" problem to realize the organic coordinated development of the entire society。

　　Improve the social situation research system

A series of social situation analysis and prediction research that has been carried out for more than 30 years in the sociology world，Echo the needs of the times，The influence continues to continue，is a higher level、The analysis of the more integrated macro social situation analysis lays a solid foundation。Starting in 1992，The Institute of Sociology of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences every year focuses on the research on the topic of "Analysis and Forecast of the Chinese Social Situation"，The annual "Analysis and Forecast of China Social Situation" ("Social Blue Book") released by the release has become the most influential macro social situation report set in China。As Li Peilin pointed out，"The analysis and prediction of the social situation in the research group，There is no big misjudgment in the reason why there is no big misjudgment，I always adhere to the perspective of the development trend and dialectical perspective，I see the achievements of development，I also see the problem of development "。This perspective also runs through other macro reports of the Institute of Sociology。The team led by Lu Xueyi's leadership about the pioneering achievements of all levels of Chinese society has caused a wide range of impacts，The influence of social mentality research is also increasingly growing。Now，Sociologists have bet365 live casino games more advanced analysis tools、Rich data resources，The chain of academic research should be expanded，Macro analysis of social structure and social mentality to make more policy and social influence research results，In income distribution、Social Security、Social Security、Common wealthy、Social flow、Social mentality and other issues make a more loud voice。

The existing macro social situation analysis still exists in a series of problems，Need to upgrade，So as to meet the needs of high -quality development in the new era，Become a research field that drives in parallel with the macroeconomic situation。First，"Society" is still a complicated vague field，Lack of a combined framework for analysis of the macro social situation。Minsheng、Welfare、Education、Medical、Environment、Population and even public opinion，All can be regarded as "society"，But each becomes a system。This situation not only exists in the analysis of the macro social situation，Similarly in the micro field。For example, ESG evaluation，Although S (society) is one of the elements，But the quantitative assessment of S is the most chaotic and blurred，A great reduction of the effect of the real social value assessment。2，Insufficient research on macro social issues。Although there is the concept of "macro sociology"，But the degree of discipline is seriously insufficient，Sometimes it just becomes a "grand narrative" but has no solid empirical support。Empirical research is becoming more and more obsessed with "micro -purpose"，​​Some scholars' calling "macro steering" has not yet become the mainstream。third，Analysis of the macro social situation has not yet established a similar recognized analysis bet365 Play online games of the macroeconomic situation、complete set of index system。and like GDP、CPI、International revenue and expenditure、Solid investment indicators, etc.，Analysis of the macro social situation still lacks high cognitiveness、Policy points to obvious indicators。and for the unemployment rate、Employment rate、Gini coefficients such as social meaning indicators，often also become the work of economists。fourth，Analysis of the macro social situation is often good at the medium- and long -term review and summary of the year and age of the year，Rarely conducts short -term research and predictions in the units of quarter or less in the quarter or less。In recent years，With the increasingly enrichment of big data and the upgrade of technology，Analysis of public opinion、Social risk analysis is represented，Some scenes have achieved a single breakthrough，Some scenes have achieved a single breakthrough，But the whole country is left、The expectations of the market and society still have a large distance。

For this，You need to speed up the establishment of an academic system that supports the analysis of macro social situation、Disciplinary System、Organization system and policy system。First，The theoretical framework for the analysis of macro social situation、indicator system and other key academic issues conduct research。Analysis of macro social situation，Not only can we get a special research report with a strong part of the article，And these research reports should also form a self -consistent theoretical logic system and rich indicator system in a integrated framework。2，Construction of discipline systems that should be accelerated by the analysis of macro social situation。Current，Willing、Professional scientific research institutions that have the strength Bet365 lotto review to engage in the analysis of macro social situation are not enough，Some professional institutions have not formed a special、Stable research team，In talent construction、Database construction、There is a large short board in the construction of hardware，The gap between some market -oriented institutions is also widening。third，Organizational guarantee for strengthening the analysis of the macro social situation。The analysis of the macroeconomic situation is mainly the same as an important job in the end of the government department，Analysis of the macro social situation should also further strengthen organizational coordination，National Development and Reform Commission、National Bureau of Statistics、Ministry of Civil Affairs、The National Health and Health Commission and other departments should cooperate with force，Formation with iconic results。At the same time，Considering the sensitivity of some social data，The collection of national interests should be established、Analysis、Use and publish mechanism; on some indicators，Encourage third -party scientific research institutions to explore first。fourth，The construction of a policy system with the analysis of the macro social situation with Chinese characteristics should be strengthened。Macro social analysis must be able to carry out international comparison，At the same time, we must further coordinate development and security，Coordinate economic policy and social policy。Breakthrough and transcending traditional social policy areas and models，Consolidate the social and conceptual foundation of economic development，will be a key trick to realize Chinese -style modernization。

　(This article is the "common prosperity phase measurement standard" phased achievement of the major innovation project of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

(Author Unit: Institute of Sociology, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)