New changes in artificial intelligence and its social impact
January 03, 2024 10:23 Source: "China Social Sciences" January 3, 2024 Issue 2807, Issue 2807

Big model represented by ChatGPT,It marks that technology has entered the threshold of general artificial intelligence,Treatment of high global attention。We must pay attention to the development of general artificial intelligence,Create an innovative ecology,Pay attention to risk prevention。It can be said,General Artificial Intelligence is a new century -old development opportunity of human beings,It will promote a new round of productivity revolution and bring a wide and in -depth economic and social impact。

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Artificial Intelligence (hereinafter referred to as "AI") is changing from traditional vertical models to general intelligent paradigm,It has a comprehensive impact on human society。Current,General Artificial Intelligence (hereinafter referred to as "AGI") brought by GM is mainly bet365 Play online games interactive changes,But in the end it will inevitably drive various application changes,Forms a new industrial chain、Value Chain,Realize the Revolution of Productivity。

First,AGI is a new round of automated revolution,brought significant quality improvement and efficiency。Looking back at the past economic growth,Automation is the core driving force,and AI is the technology of greatly upgraded automation。As a common purpose technology,Artificial intelligence can improve labor、Capital、The degree of matching of various elements such as technology,Make the original industry a significant improvement of quality and increase efficiency。According to the report of the McKinsey Global Research Institute,If you use AGI in existing technology,The percentage of automation work will increase from 50%to 70%。From the perspective of functions,AGI for marketing、Software Development、The most influence of customer operation。Where,In the bet365 Play online games field of marketing,AGI can reach 760 billion to 1.2 trillion US dollars。Looking at the industry, The three industries of the largest value of AGI are high -tech、retail and banking。Where,In the high -tech industry,Its value will reach 240 billion to 460 billion US dollars。

Next,AGI is expected to become a new engine for global growth,Rebelling the economic development method。AGI is expected to further promote economic growth from factor -driven to innovative drive type。"Labor" is one of the important elements of economic growth。AI as a "labor force" after entering the economic cycle system,It will effectively reduce the overall labor cost,Then reduce goods and service costs。At the same time,People will also have more "leisure" to think and realize innovation,Promoting productivity improvement。It is expected to be 2025,Global AI investment will reach 200 billion US dollars。As a disruptive technology,AI can significantly promote global economic Bet365 lotto review growth。Goldman Sachs Calculation,AGI may promote the global GDP growth of 7% in the next 10 years,up to nearly $ 7 trillion,and increase productivity by 1.5 percentage points。

Objectively facing the risk challenges brought by the big model

Application of large models to the ground,The illusion of its own,Abuse、Fake News and other applications,and increasingly prominent challenges to the copyright system and employment impact。But comprehensive judgment,As long as we give enough attention,The risk is still in the controlled range,Can gradually solve various safety problems in development。

About fantasy,Through the fine -tuning of supervision、Human feedback strengthening learning and other alignment technologies,It can effectively reduce the error rate,If GPT4 has an accuracy rate of 40%over GPT3.5。In addition, abuse、Malicious use, etc.,Such as a big model change has caused someone to be deceived。This needs to strengthen legal supervision,Strengthening the construction of a bet365 best casino games rumor platform,Do a good job of public popularization。Facing copyright disputes, etc.,Need to find a new balance,Both protect the rights and interests of the original creators,Also take into account AI technology providers、Users' interests,Leave enough space for technology and industrial development。

Unemployment risk Short -term controlling,Can deal with it for a long time。From the long cycle of the previous industrial revolution,Not work to disappear,but position,New technology will give birth to a large number of new occupations。Short -term look,Artist、Customer Service、Translation and other unemployment risks the highest risk。Look at it for a long time,Many people currently engage in the work part that can be automated,May be replaced by AI,The most important value of a person lies in demand discovery、Creative guidance and value judgment。I believe like the current doll doctor、Dream Dreamlist、Game squeezer、Live Room bet365 Play online games Club、mobile phones and other unimaginable positions such as,A large number of new occupations will also appear in the future。Also because of this,Improve the artificial intelligence literacy of the whole society,It is also an important issue,It is recommended to grab it from primary and secondary schools,Prepare for future human -robe coordinated development。

 (Author Unit: Tencent Research Institute Frontier Technology Research Center)

Editor in charge: Zhang Jing
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