ChatGPT released by OpenAI at the end of 2022,Sparked a wave of usage around the world,Clearly reflects the possibility of a breakthrough in general artificial intelligence。Examine the productivity significance of the general bet365 bonus code pa represented by ChatGPT,Then analyze the possible "creative destruction" effects and risks caused by ChatGPT,It has positive practical significance for us to actively respond to the overall risks brought by general large models。
Represented by bet365 bonus code paGeneral bet365 bonus code pa and its productivity significance
bet365 bonus code pa is an improved general model based on the Transformer model developed by OpenAI。so far,OpenAI has released 4 versions of GPT (Generate Pretrained Transformer),GPT-1 respectively、GPT-2、GPT-3 and bet365 bonus code pa。Among them,bet365 bonus code pa can be regarded as 3 of the GPT series.5 version。Due to the prefix "Chat" added in front of GPT,Make bet365 bonus code pa more like a chatbot。
However,The reason why ChatGPT has sparked heated discussions around the world,actually reflects the possibility that it represents a breakthrough in general artificial intelligence。This bet365 bonus code pa is based on the traditional deep neural network algorithm,New model formed due to increased number of parameters for training。The reason why it is called a bet365 bonus code pa,Because the number of parameters trained has reached hundreds of billions。
The basic logic reflected by the general bet365 bonus code pa is "miracles can come from great efforts",That is, due to the increase in the number of parameters,Based on the bet365 bonus code pa,Algorithms that were previously inconspicuous will emerge with some surprising intelligence,This is the productivity meaning of large models。Under the influence of the "AlphaGo defeated Lee Sedol" incident in 2016,Artificial intelligence has achieved a huge development in recent years,But still centered on dedicated artificial intelligence,The essence is still weak artificial intelligence。And the performance of ChatGPT,Not only good at chatting,And has huge potential for generating text and writing code。In other words,ChatGPT makes people believe,General artificial intelligence that was previously out of reach,There may be an emergent breakthrough at some point in the future,This means that the door to the fourth industrial revolution, that is, the intelligent revolution, has been opened。
A key question in the hot discussion about bet365 bonus code pa is: why such innovation has not appeared in Google,Instead, it appears in OpenAI, a company that many people are not familiar with?Actually,OpenAI’s success is the result of multiple factors。On the one hand,The technological breakthrough achieved by OpenAI stems from a long-term approach to technological innovation。On the other hand,From a product perspective,Such innovations are indeed more likely to appear in "non-incumbent companies"。This is because “incumbent companies” are often timid about disruptive innovative products,At the same time, the public is also quite harsh on its brand products。In addition,bet365 bonus code pa when talking to someone,Will emphasize that he is still a chat robot,Opinions may not be accurate,This humility makes users more tolerant of all kinds of strange errors that occur。
Another key question is,Why hasn’t this kind of bet365 bonus code pa appeared in China?This itself reflects China’s awareness of scientific and technological bet365 bonus code pa,Reflects that Chinese society has a strong desire for original bet365 bonus code pa。However,Behind the problem is more the expectation that Chinese companies need to think about basic original bet365 bonus code pa on the basis of "long-termism",It also implies a suggestion that the country should give original bet365 bonus code pa more room for development in terms of related institutional supporting systems。
bet365 bonus code pa’s “Creative Destruction”Effects and bet365 bonus code pa
Joseph Schumpeter thinks,Every great innovation will have a huge impact on the old technology and production system,i.e. "creative destruction"。Facing the potential of bet365 bonus code pa,We need to think about the future once general artificial intelligence breaks through,May have huge creative destruction effects on society as a whole,That is, there may be many risks。
First,Technical Risk。Technology is used to promote the development of society,Can also be used to avoid risks,However, technology itself is a new source of risk。Many technologies themselves may have some defects or incompleteness,ChatGPT also has such incompleteness。GPT is developed based on the Transformer model,The development of Transformer is closely related to the convolutional neural network (CNN) in deep neural networks、Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)、Generative adversarial models (GAN) and other advances are closely linked。It is precisely because these advances are based on artificial deep neural networks,The inexplicability naturally exists objectively。In other words,Although the model trained on the basis of massive parameters can help solve the problem,But people don’t know the basic logic of its operation。Therefore,Such a general bet365 bonus code pa will have the problem of insufficient robustness。Also,GPT’s amazing dialogue effects,Actually based on a large amount of data formed by humans over a long period of time,The existing data will inevitably form some kind of bias。Quie Yan,The existing data sources of these models are mixed with many long-standing stereotypes in human society,Then the model trained in this way will undoubtedly cause the effect of "prejudice superposition",There is the possibility of causing various dangers。
Second,Social Risk。Based on the current prediction effect,The widespread application of general large models will indeed have an impact on things like copywriting、Basic communication、Accounting Statistics、Legal assistance and other primary simple labor creates a substitution effect。Although new technological conditions will create new employment opportunities,But how to determine whether there are more new job opportunities created than eliminated ones?At the same time,The impact of the general bet365 bonus code pa on the education system has begun to trigger early warning。Some schools announced that they will ban students from using ChatGPT,Avoid interfering with the quality of education。Another view,Such advanced production tools require students to learn them immediately。Visible,The emergence of ChatGPT poses huge challenges to future education methods and educational evaluation。
Third,Economic Risk。General large models may exacerbate oligopoly。General bet365 bonus code pa training consumes computing power,This prevents small businesses from participating in the process,Large platform companies may increase the creation of large monopoly models and create huge productivity effects。Also,Market monopoly may also have a major impact on the entire world division of labor system。The current strategic suppression actions by the United States have shown that they prefer to lock down such advanced productivity,That is, through the "small courtyard high wall" strategy to keep more advanced productive forces in the alliance system of the American and Western Club,Avoid spread to developing countries。This will seriously aggravate international economic conflicts。
Fourth,Political Risk。The United States shows obvious advantages in the development of general bet365 bonus code pa models,And bet365 bonus code pa models are likely to be used in various fields of political competition。For example,Wantly interfere with the public opinion of other countries through smart trolls,Even promote public opinion wars to subvert other countries。In the so-called wave of democratization,The United States and Western countries have used Twitter and other technical means to interfere in other countries’ internal affairs。Predictably,General bet365 bonus code pa models are likely to be used in political activities such as public opinion interference and regime subversion,The United States and Western countries use high technology to strengthen political warfare,It will have a huge subversive impact on world politics。
Basic principles for dealing with related bet365 bonus code pa
Actively respond to the overall risks brought by general bet365 bonus code pa models,You need to adhere to the following principles。
First,Open bet365 bonus code pa。Stop bet365 bonus code pa due to fear of risk,It is undoubtedly a matter of voluntarily giving up the leadership of the intelligent revolution。Currently,The world is already standing at the doorstep of the fourth industrial revolution,Both China and the United States may become leaders of the fourth industrial revolution,Opportunities and challenges coexist。This requires us to adopt an open bet365 bonus code pa attitude,Continuously walking at the forefront of world bet365 bonus code pa,Acquire and maintain innovative first-mover status and advantages through some original bet365 bonus code pa。
Second,Work together to break through。This requires our country to further leverage the advantages of the new national system。To realize the advancement of such a general bet365 bonus code pa,Computing power is an important condition for scientific and technological productivity,It is necessary to form a large-scale public computing power pool based on government coordination。Also,Formulate synergy in data。For example,Currently, Chinese data is scattered in apps of different companies,It is necessary to realize the sharing of large enterprise data through innovative public coordination mechanisms,Thereby improving the quality of data,Provide a foundation for the in-depth development of large models。
Third,Shared risk。In the context of the development of general bet365 bonus code pa models,The government needs to play a greater institutional guarantee function。For example, through unemployment insurance and reemployment training,Effective conversion substitution effect,Create new jobs,Or improve social security to solve various problems caused by unemployment。In the context of risk sharing,Prevent the huge risks caused by creative destruction within a controllable range。At the same time,With the gradual resolution of risk points,Vigorously strengthen the new productivity generated by creative effects,Continuously increase wealth,Optimize the overall risk response system。
Fourth,Prudential supervision。The government needs to regulate bet365 bonus code pa providers,Real-time assessment of the effects of “strong supervision” and technological innovation,Prudently adjust regulatory measures,Always ensure that we are in a leading position in the intelligent revolution。For example, in the early stages of new technology,Some kind of "weak supervision" or "sandbox supervision" can be used,Actively encourage the social benefits brought by the first emergence of technology,Through agile governance,Control possible negative effects within a certain environment and space。Through this technical pilot method,Effectively ensure space and opportunities for the growth of technological innovation,The comprehensive effect of orderly strengthening supervision。Only by continuously improving the prudential regulatory environment,It is possible to promote more original innovation to appear in China。
(The author is the Dean bet365 bonus code pa Institute of Political Science, East China University of Political Science and Law、Professor)
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