British Prime Minister is difficult to break the Brexit deadlock
July 26, 2019 08:20 Source: "China Social Sciences" July 26, 2019, No. 1743, author: This newspaper reporter Zhao Yuan

July 24,Boris Johnson, who wins in the British Conservative Party, officially took over as British Prime Minister。Can the new Prime Minister in the United Kingdom and the differences between the Brexit and the Study Eupiece,Promote consensus to achieve,Make Britain smoothly and orderly "Brexit",Still test of time。Reported by the British Broadcasting Corporation,After receiving the Queen's authorization to form a new cabinet,officially appointed British Prime Minister。He appointed a number of supporters of "Brexit" as an important cabinet position,Forming Cabinet that can promote the "Brexit" policy。What kind of opportunities and challenges will the new Prime Minister face,How will the UK crack the "Brexit" deadlock in the future? The reporter interviewed experts and scholars on the issue。

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bet365 Play online games Johnson In the first Prime Minister's speech,List of medical treatment、Social Security、Infrastructure、Education、Tax reduction and other domestic reform plans,Among them, advance better education in the future,Improve highway and railway infrastructure,Put the full fiber broadband network。Johnson said,In the future, it is necessary to increase the starting point of personal income tax,Reduce corporate income tax,To promote economic development。

Helen Miller, deputy director of the British Institute of Finance, said,Johnson had previously proposed the starting point for improving the public's social insurance premiums。Tax reduction this measure will increase the difference between the British tax system and the tax system of most developed countries。First,British personal income tax and social security payment are still lower than other developed countries,This makes the total tax in the UK in the average level of national income less than other developed countries。Next,The latest research at the Institute of Finance,Bet365 lotto review The tax burden of the middle income group in the UK is relatively low,Especially in terms of social security payment。To many people,Now is a good time to reduce tax。but,The aging process of British society has exacerbated the pressure of the health system and pension system。Even if keeping the current public service quality and level,Taxation may still need to be added in the future。Regardless of the reform of the UK in the future in terms of tax,All must consider the level and type of public service,How to afford relevant expenditures。

  The consequences of no agreement "Brexit" are serious

Johnson promised in his speech,Britain will leave the European Union on October 31。Associate Professor of Political Science at Sarri University Simon Usherwood (Simon Usherwood) said in an interview with this reporter,Although Johnson mentioned that it will go to achieve the "Brexit" protocol,But there is no sign that he will take out the alternative to the "Brexit" protocol。and the EU decision -making circle is generally considered,The only possibility of Bet365 lotto review re -negotiation is the British take out alternatives。If the British has no agreement "Brexit",Does the EU realize the content of the "Brexit" protocol in disguise in other ways,Unknown at present。Any new partnership between Britain and the European Union,All depend on the final "Brexit" method in the UK。other,Although the £ 39 billion "breakup fee" is a huge amount,But in the absence of the "Brexit" without a protocol,The economic cost caused by trade interruption is difficult to estimate,The international reputation of the UK will also be seriously damaged。If you try to play other tricks on the "Brexit" method,It will only make the European Union more cautiously treat the United Kingdom and be skeptical of it。

Former British Prime Minister Theresa May gave a speech at the Royal Institute of International Affairs,Explained the impact of ideological solidification and lack of compromise spirit on international politics。Tresa May has promoted the Britain three times to pass the agreement "Brexit",But she firmly believes that the British bet365 Play online games "Brexit" is the best option to pass the agreement。

Mark Carney, President of the British Central Bank of the United Kingdom, believes,Looking back at the market performance since the Brexit referendum,Policy uncertainty and trade tensions have multiple effects on business confidence,The indirect impact of uncertainty on foreign direct investment is more significant than the direct impact。British Central Bank prediction,If there is no agreement in the UK, "Brexit",Price of major assets will fluctuate。

British Resolution Foundation warning,The current Britain is facing the highest risk of recession since 2007,But the government has not prepared for how to control the risk。

The International Monetary Fund is put forward in its latest "World Economic Outlook" report,Britainless "Brexit" may lead to a sharp deterioration of market mood。Securities investors may be in the face of a shrinking economic environment,Re -allocate and sell risk assets,This will further lead to the expansion of credit spreads。Report Suggestion,In the context of weak global bet365 best casino games growth and limited economic downward policy space,Policy makers should focus on avoiding policy errors that may damage economic activities。For example,Policy makers when implementing related monetary policy,It should be ensured that the inflation stabilizes near the central bank's target level,and keep the inflation expectations stable。At the same time,Countries of various countries should be put into action to promote economic growth,Enhance tolerance and strengthen economic toughness,Strengthen international cooperation,Solve trade differences,Enhance economic stability。

(This newspaper London, July 25th)

Editor in charge: Changchang
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