In recent years,Economics research has made important contributions to my country's high -quality development,Among them, the measurement economics methods are widely used in public policy effect assessment。Anti -topic on the educational economics and public policies,The reporter interviewed a number of scholars in this field。
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Fang Ying, a professor at Wang Yannan Economic Research Institute of Xiamen University,Merit Economics is based on economics and statistics as the main basis,Taking socio -economic data as the main research object,The main purpose of identifying the laws of socio -economic development and causality,Comprehensive use of economics analysis tools and mathematics、Statistics、A cross -disciplinary discipline of technical means such as information science and data science。The application of alias economics in scientific decision -making is mainly reflected in the policy design and policy assessment of policy design and policy implementation。Before the implementation of the policy,To avoid blind decision,Policy goals should be possible、Policy Bet365 lotto review scope、Quantitative analysis of the interference and risks that policy content and policies may face,Comprehensive consideration and scientific analysis on the basis of facts (data)。During the policy implementation process,The actual effect of the policy is often subject to the specific current situation。So,In the policy design stage,Analysis tools such as behavioral economics and experimental economics also need to be comprehensively used,Fully consider the interaction of different subjects in the design of quantitative models and mechanism。After the policy is implemented,Generally, the specific effects of specific policies need to be objectively and accurate evaluation,Provide the basis for scientific decision -making for the next step of policy adjustment and policy optimization。
Director of the Department of Finance of the Central University of Finance and Economics Zeng Kanghua believes,From the perspective of economics,The government can analyze the various data generated by people's behavior,Therefore, people's consumer preferences,and formulate corresponding management measures for these preferences,Make management measures more targeted and effective。So,Application Economics can play a positive role in improving national governance and scientific Bet365 lotto review decision -making capabilities。
New Technology Promoting the Development of Merit Economics
Lou Feng, director of the Economic System Analysis Research Office of the Institute of Economics and Economics, Institute of Social Sciences,Merit Economics Model has a lot of specific applications in the design of the past fiscal policy in my country。United States、Australia and other countries often use the measurement economics model to make a strategic simulation analysis of the measurement economics model。and the frontier theory of the measurement economics and artificial intelligence、The rapid development of new technologies such as big data,A more accurate "scientific experiment" of policy simulation and evaluation becomes possible。
Vice President Wang Weiguo, Vice President of Northeast University of Finance and Economics, believes,The development of new technologies has a significant role in promoting the measurement economics。The first is to push from causal recognition to prediction。The core task of measuring economics is parameter estimation inspection and prediction。From the perspective of the development of the measurement economics,People have always paid more attention to parameter estimation test based on causal relationship recognition,The attention of prediction is relatively weak。Compared with the measurement economics,bet365 best casino games Machine Learning (the main field of artificial intelligence) is more concerned about predictions。For example,Method for decision -making trees for discrete classification predictions,Technical solutions such as the lasso algorithm (Lasso) and Ridge Regression (Lasso) for continuous variable prediction all help improve the predictive accuracy of the overall model。Second is to promote variable selection。Artificial intelligence can help metering economics models fall in the big data background。When the amount of data is very large,The difficulty of operation is very difficult,This requires some methods to screen variables,Select the core、Key explanation variables。At this time,Machine learning methods have a place of use。Third is to gradually solve the heterogeneity problem。For example,The classification commonly used in machine learning Return to the tree to introduce the traditional causal recognition framework,Come to check the heterogeneous treatment effect。
Relying on data and not superstitious data
In order,Fang Ying thinks,At present, you should pay attention to the following aspects。First,Pay attention to the teaching economics teaching、Cultivation of scientific research and application talents,Especially the cultivation of basic theoretical theory of Bet365 app download measuring economics。2,Data is the basis for quantitative analysis,Governments at all levels should further strengthen the collection of various social and economic data、Organize and release,Improve data quality,At the same time, take advantage of the country's implementation of information development strategy,Pay attention to the collection and use of various types of big data。third,In the process of policy design and policy assessment,,Need to rely on data,Don’t superstitious data,Pay attention to comprehensive use of measurement economics、Behavior Economics、Experimental Economics、Systematic engineering and theoretical economics methods and tools,Provide a basis for scientific decision -making。fourth,Governments at all levels should further improve the consciousness of scientific decision -making,Policy formulation、Each stage of implementation and evaluation gives full play to the role of experts and scholars and think tanks。
Wang Weiguo thinks,First, we must pay attention to the applicable conditions and technical requirements of various policy evaluation methods,Avoid the misuse of methods。Second, new technologies such as machine learning and big data are integrated into the theory and method of metering economics。Third is to be based on the actual bet365 best casino games situation of our country,Development of a modeling economics model suitable for China。my country has been in a dynamic reform,Can't simply apply the existing measurement economics model。
From the view of Zeng Kanghua,In the era of big data,Want to formulate and implement any one item、Targeted policies,All must be based on the analysis of facts,This requires the role of full play economics。For this,Talents who should use metering methods to analyze the measurement methods and talents who know how to use metering software。
Lou Feng said,The state should fully encourage and support relevant colleges and universities、Scientific research institutions use various measurement economics theories,Combined with my country's economic characteristics and its own laws,Independent R & D country、Large -scale complex system models at the level of society and industry,So as to formulate and evaluate the country's policy,Provide scientific methods、means and basis。
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