bet365 best casino games In the context of continuous deepening of aging，"Prevention -based，A health promotion strategy of reducing the occurrence of diseases "is placed in a priority position。Exploring the early risk factors that cause elderly diseases，is a prerequisite for prevention and intervention，It is also the meaning of "active response to population aging"。Evaluation results of disability based on global disease burden (GBD)，The health status in the data of China Health and Pension Tracking (Charls) is given the right to disability，and lose the life of life (YLDS) as a quantitative indicator，Evaluate the predictive effect of early social psychological risks for the health of the elderly。Results indicate，Early social psychological risks have significantly increased the year of life for the elderly，It also has significant prediction for the high -risk health status of the elderly，and the relationship between the two is causal。other，Research and identifies the early social psychological risks that have caused the quality of the elderly to be severely damaged,is physical violence、Childhood migration、Mother's mental health and father's health。Intervention measures for these risk factors will help extend the health expectations of the elderly，Reduce my country's future pension burden。The above discovery will prevent the occurrence of aging diseases from the individual life time，The implementation of "full life cycle health management" has a reference meaning。

　　Keywords:Disabled rights Disabled Lost Loss of Life Psychological Risks and Health Expure Life

Author Gao Minghua，Professor of Humanities and Social Sciences, Humanities and Social Sciences of Harbin Engineering University (Harbin 150001)。