China should actively promote RCEP to build an open cross -border free trade zone
January 16, 2020 09:02 Source: "China Social Sciences" January 16, 2020 Total No. 1859 Author: Li Hongjie

"Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" (that is, ASEAN 10+6,referred to as RCEP) The negotiation has gone through 7 years,Although it will be a breakthrough,and plan to sign the agreement in 2020,But India's exit and Japanese chess are not sure,Still facing many uncertainty。"Agreement of Comprehensive and Progressive Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement" (CPTPP) is from the US -led TPP。After the United States exits TPP,"Transformation" through the joint force of Japan and Australia,CPTPP influence continues to increase。RCEP and CPTPP are regional cooperation agreements without the United States,Between the two, there are both overlap cross,There are their own efforts and development focus,International status、The degree of openness, etc. are also obviously different。Analyze the difference between RCEP and CPTPP and the opportunities and challenges to my country,helps our country ahead,A long time ago,Fight for the initiative。

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Different dominance。RCEP is dominated by ASEAN,The range in the domain is East Asia and Oceania。CPTPP is dominated by Japan and Australia,Covering Asia (Japan、Singapore、Malaysia、Vietnam、Brunei)、North America (Mexico、Canada)、South America (Chile、Peru) and Oceania (Australia、New Zealand),Although participating in the country's young,But the area is wider than RCEP,Promoting the area and space of the cooperation is larger。

different international status。RCEP is the world's largest free trade zone,The population is about 3.5 billion,GDP 23 trillion US dollars,accounting for 1/3 of the world's Bet365 lotto review total economy; CPTPP is the third largest free trade zone in the world,​​population over 500 million,GDP 10.57 trillion US dollars,accounting for 13.1%of the world's total economic aggregate。According to the statistics of the United Nations Trade Conference,CPTPP countries' total import and export and external direct investment scale account for 28.8%and 34.8%of the world's total value, respectively.,1-2 times higher than GDP。

Different degrees of openness。CPTPP tariffs and cargo trade costs low,High degree of openness,Give the service industry、Powerful protection of intellectual property rights,For the service industry、Labor、Environment、Intellectual property rights, etc., implement higher trade standards。CPTPP label "Comprehensive and Progress",Seeds involving "e -commerce", "government procurement", "state -owned enterprises" are not available for other free trade agreements,stronger tolerance than RCEP,Not only does the entry threshold lower,The provisions are more relaxed,Allow some members to retain tariffs、Take care of the actual interests of developing countries,The prospect of expansion is better。

Different cooperation is different。RCEP's area is smaller,Covering developed countries、Developed countries and underdeveloped countries,Economic development differences are large,Market access and tax rates are different,The business environment is different,It is difficult to promote the field of cooperation and integration and development。CPTPP is to improve the level of regional cooperation,While promoting developing countries to accelerate opening up, it is reasonable to protect it,Fairness and inclusive connection is better,It is conducive to reducing the obstacles of mutual cooperation and integrated development。

Different development potential。Compared with Bet365 app download WTO,CPTPP free trade standards and various open measures require higher,Although the countries in the domain have opened the market、Significant reduction of tariffs,But the economy has not been impacted,instead becoming the beneficiary,It has a positive effect on the development of the country in the domain,Strong development potential。and RCEP members have more demands,The willingness to transfer to each other is not high,Many national trade restrictions and tariff barriers in many regions still exist,There is a gap between the requirements of international advanced rules,Insufficient endogenous motivation of self -development。

 RCEP's main problems

First, the open level is not high。Due to the different level of economic development,RCEP has been negotiated for 7 years,Many national trade restrictions and tariff barriers in many regions are still high,Market access limit more,There are various subsidies and allowances for domestic enterprises,Import and export trade and service trade barriers have not been eliminated,The gap between the new rules of international and trade is large,No open、Fair and unscrupulous competition,Not yet realized investment trade liberalization。

The second is that the stability is not strong。RCEP has developed countries、Developed countries and underdeveloped countries,Economic strength expecked,Large tax burden,In addition, the impact of geographical factors and religious issues,There are still many problems and difficulties in deepening cooperation,India's exit is proof。At the same time,countries in some domains hope to take advantage,I chose two bets,Work hard to return the United States to CPTPP,and take the opportunity to expand trade with China and the United States。other,RCEP countries exist in historical grievances and territory、Island disputes and other bet365 best casino games issues,Insufficient stability。

Third, it is easy to suffer from American interference。After China joined RCEP,The United States is to safeguard its own interests,I will definitely not stop,and will join the country in the RCEP domain,Return to CPTPP as soon as possible,curb China's development。Although the US President has not participated in the ASEAN Summit for three consecutive years,But in order to maintain the domineering position of international economic order,Still frequently extended "olive branches" to ASEAN,I hope to hold a bilateral summit to discuss major events。ASEAN countries think,As long as the agreement is modified as required by the United States,The United States returning to CPTPP is sooner or later。ASEAN、Japan and other countries are unwilling to offend the United States,Attempt to walk with "two legs",in RCEP、CPTPP gets more profits on both sides,Get the biggest benefit。

Fourth, with obvious vulnerability。India accounts for about RCEP land area、1/5,But because of domestic people's opposition,To protect the fragile industry,Reduce the influx of goods and capital of countries in the domain,Finally choose to exit,Not only affects the orderly progress of RCEP,It also shows that RCEP compatibility is not enough、Insufficient flexibility and representativeness。Calculation research according to foreign economists: India withdraw from 1/5 can reduce the total RCEP market,China's economic benefits will decline,This limits the expansion of the RCEP market。

 Selection of response strategies

RCEP signing is conducive to China integrating into the world market,Improve international economic status。Current,Should do the following aspects。

First, sign the RCEP protocol as soon as possible。RCEP market size is large,It has a greater attractiveness to foreign countries,Bangladesh、Sri Lanka and other South Bet365 app download Asian countries,Chile、Argentina、Brazil and other South American countries may apply for joining,Can expand the RCEP "Friend Circle"。In 2018, my country's trade with RCEP countries is close to 1.5 trillion US dollars,About 1/3 of my country's total foreign trade,It is also an important support for the "Belt and Road" in my country。We must try our best to promote the signing of the RCEP,Effective excavation of RCEP economic potential,Strive for results in more fields。

Second, resolutely maintain ASEAN dominant position。RCEP can reach a principled protocol,Mainly medium、The initiative of the two countries,Make a major concession。The current international economic and trade environment is not optimistic,The United States frequently provides economic and trade frictions with its own personal private,Including Japan、India and other major economies are aware of the importance of expanding economic and trade cooperation。RCEP originated from ASEAN,"East Asian Economic Organization" (ASEAN 10+3) is RCEP prototype。Resolutely maintain ASEAN leading area,Both the needs of history and reality,It is also conducive to the orderly advancement of RCEP,can reduce my country's moral burden。

Third is to actively give play to the role of the stabilizer of a large country。RCEP's trade amount、investment amount accounts for about 1/3,The consumer market is huge,Rich in economic resources,Strong complementary complementary,Large development space。Where,China's manufacturing industry is the world's largest,Japan's manufacturing level is the highest in the world,Australia is the world's raw material production country,It can constitute an economic and trade circle covering the global high, middle and low -end industrial chain,It is conducive to reducing the dependence of foreign countries。my country must actively play the role of a large bet365 Play online games country stabilizer,Regional、Sub -regional cooperation mechanism (such as the implementation of the United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Objective,Promote the Lancang River -Mekong Cooperation、China -Eastern ASEAN Growth District Cooperation、ASEAN 10+3 Disaster Management Minister Mechanism, etc.),Promote the sustainable development of RCEP。

Fourth is to properly handle state relations in the domain。my country's economic volume is large,Strong industrial competitiveness,It has a great influence on the country in the RCEP domain。Should improve the RCEP economic governance architecture,Do a good job of connecting the "Belt and Road" and connecting docking with the country in the region,Promoting market rules and standards "Soft Unicom"; actively promote the co -construction of the economic corridor、Economic and Trade Industry Park,Consensus according to the "10+3 Finance and Gold Cooperation Strategic direction" consensus,Promoting trade and investment more use regional currency,Further consolidate the foundation of financial cooperation,To better promote regional economic integration; deepen humanistic exchanges and cooperation,Use the cooperation fund (such as 10+3 funds),Promoting civilized exchanges and mutual learning、People's Heart Like。

Five is to advance the RCEP further upgrade。Generally speaking,RCEP is not highly open,Should be "small steps fast" method,Promoting the negotiation of the China -Japan -Korea Free Trade Zone in parallel,Accelerate the construction of East Asia Economic Community,Not only can boost market confidence,Continuously promotes the further upgrade of RCEP,Create a higher level of free trade zone,And can win the next round of international economic and trade negotiation initiative,Promoting RCEP higher level development。

Six is ​​the coordination and coordination of CPTPP bet365 best casino games development。RCEP is a big market、Big Stage,Due to a huge regional economic organization,There are still exclusiveness to the country outside the domain。At present, we must focus on the relationship with CPTPP,Not only must you consider the development of some domains,Let the participating countries have more sense of gain and happiness,and should increase openness,Improve tolerance,Promoting RCEP as an open cross -border free trade zone。

 (The author is deputy dean and researcher of Fujian Academy of Social Sciences)

Editor in charge: Wang Ning
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