January 220, 2020,The Turkish Parliament is in favor of 325 votes、184 votes against the voting results,A proposal to deploy the army to Libya by authorized the Turkish government。After the resolution of Türkiye's soldiers, Libya passed,Treating strong dissatisfaction from all parties。January 3,Libya's "National Army" leader Harv Tal made a TV speech,It is pointed out that the use of weapons will defend the land and honor,"Colonial" to resist Turkey。The game of external forces in Libya has further intensified,The political situation in the Middle East is more intricate and complicated。
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Since the Middle East change in 2011,Türkiye and Saudi Arabia both take the pursuit of regional leadership as a foreign strategy,Both sides start fierce competition around regional hot issues。On the issue of Libya,Türkiye supports the Libyan national unity government recognized by the United Nations,Many times accused Saudi and Egypt aid Libyan National Assembly and the "National Army" destroying the political stability of Libya。Saudi Arabia thinks,Turkish interference in Libyan affairs is the manifestation of "new Ottoma"。Türkiye directly sent troops,I want to solve the siege for the united government of Libya nation,Also combat the "National Army" supported by Saudi Arabia。At the same time,Türkiye borrowed troops to stop in Baya,With Türkiye's military base set up in Somali,Strategic deterrent to Bet365 app download Saudi Arabia,To seek the relative advantage of the region。
Since the Egyptian coup in July 2013,Egypt and Türkiye are in a state of tension。Türkiye refuses to admit this coup,condemn the Cecilia government to characterize the Muslim Brothers as a terrorist organization,and accept thousands of Egyptian anti -government people。A response,Egypt deports the Turkish ambassador to the country,Dowards the relationship between the two countries。Since both countries have a certain influence in the Middle East,The conflict between Türkiye and Egypt extends to Libya。December 2019,Libya's "National Army" air strikes Turkey's arsenal in Miseta,and detained a Turkish ship in Delner, the eastern city。Egypt thinks,Libya's "National Army" is an important force to restrain Turkey,Therefore, vigorously assist its funds and weapons。December 2019,Announcement of Egypt,Libya National Congress is the only legal institution in Libya。Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,It is also intended to weaken the influence of Egypt in Libya。
Türkiye is a big energy import country,Oil and gas resources to depend on high dependence,In the case of a sharp depreciation of the currency lira,Energy trade deficit rises sharply。East China Sea China Sea has found rich oil and natural gas resources in recent years,Türkiye shows a strong interest,Sending oil drilling boats to the East Mediterranean many times。In order to compete with Türkiye to compete for East Mediterranean energy,Egypt and Israel、Cyprus and Greece formed an Energy Alliance,Türkiye has switched to the Government of Libya National Unity Government。Turkey and Libyan National Unity Bet365 lotto review Government signed the memorandum of understanding of the two countries in the Mediterranean "Maritime Jurisdiction" on November 28, 2019,Expansion of the scope of the exclusive economic zone of the Turkish East East。For this memorandum,The National Congress of Libya opposed,I believe that Türkiye violates Libya's sovereignty。Therefore,Turkish departure also has the purpose of fighting for energy。
Turkish troops to Syria are unprecedentedly isolated from the international community,Western countries、Iran and Israel require Türkiye to stop military operations,Even the Angle League and Palestine also hold a oppositional position。At the same time,Turkish troops to Syria leads to the Bashar government and the Syrian Kurds jointly fight against Türkiye,The Turkish army is difficult to break through in northern Syria。Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,Strengthen the contact with the Libyan National Unity Government,This breaks the international community's diplomatic isolation of Türkiye。
The Justice Development Party led by Erdogan lost many big cities including the capital Akara and Istanbul in the 2019 local election,Former Prime Minister Dawut Ouru established a new party "Future Party" on December 13,Former Vice Premier、Baba Jen, a senior party member of the party, also plans to set up a new party。Turkish economic recovery is slow、High cost of life and urban unemployment hit a new high,Dissatisfaction with domestic voters。In order to transfer domestic contradictions and win the re -election of the 2023 Presidential Election,Erdogan tried to arouse domestic nationalist emotions through Libyan issues,Get more support from bet365 live casino games voters through the sending soldiers。
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After the Fall of the Gaddafi regime,Labor disputes in Libya、The turbulence of the conflict is constantly turbulent,provides a good opportunity for the penetration and expansion of the extreme organization "Islamic State"。After Trump came to power,The United States focuses on the anti -terrorism issues of Libya,Praise the contribution of the "National Army" of Libya in combat the "Islamic State"。Türkiye and Libya's "National Army" intersect,It is bound to weaken the military ability of the "National Army",Not conducive to the United States cracking down on the "Islamic State" in Libya。To restrain Türkiye,The Senate of the U.S. Congress approved the dismissal for decades of weapons for Cyprus。January 220, 2020,Trump told Turkish President Erdogan in the phone,Türkiye's intervention in Libya will make the local situation more complicated。
Turkey's soldiers of Libya also affect Russia's Middle East policy。Facing the siege of Western countries,Russia returns to the Middle East by Russia's Civil War,It impacted the Middle East structure under the leadership of the United States。Russia has a huge commercial interest in Libya,Signed a contract with the Gaddafi government for up to $ 10 billion。But when the Gaddafi government falls in 2011,East flow of these projects。Russia chooses to support the veteran of Gaddafi Havtar,On the one hand, hope can continue the previous contract,On the other hand, the oil field controlled by Libya "National Army"。Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,damage the interests of Russia in Libya。
Ang League also holds a opposition to Türkiye's soldiers。At the request Bet365 lotto review of Egypt,Aceng held a ministerial emergency meeting on December 31, 2019 and passed the "Progress Progress of Libya" resolution。Angeles prohibits Turkey from interfere with Libya affairs,The Libyan Political Agreement signed in Hilothrate in Morocco is the only way to deal with the Libyan issue,It also emphasizes the importance of the neighbors of Libya to solve the problem。Egypt's condemnation of the Turkish Parliament authorized the government to send troops to Libya,It is believed that it will bring a negative effect to the stability of the East and Mediterranean,Threats national security of Egypt。Erdogan accused the facts of the Arab League of Arabia on January 2, 2020,Double standards on the issue of Libya,exclude Türkiye outside。
East Central China Strait Related Countries formed Alliances,Jointly deal with Türkiye。On the one hand,Türkiye and Libyan National Unity Government signed a memorandum of understanding of the "Maritime Jurisdiction",Leading Greece、Cecilia and Egypt's national interests are damaged,Greece United Egypt、Cyprus and Libya's "National Army" establish the Mediterranean Anti -Land Alliance。Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,will promote Egypt、The relationship between Cyprus and Libya's "National Army" is further。On the other hand,Türkiye prohibits other countries from conducting exploration activities in the area stipulated in the Turkish Agreement,For Cyprus、Greece and Israel's East China Sea natural gas project manufacturing obstacles,Cyprus、Greece and Israel are bound to fight Türkiye for common interests。
Current,Under the sanctions of the United States,The Turkish stock market fluctuates bet365 live casino games sharply、Currency mile depreciation and economic weakness,Defense expenditure affecting Turkey。And the Turkish army participated in the "Spring of Peace" military operations in Syria,It is difficult to draw a lot of military personnel to Libya。According to the military agreement of Turkish and Libyan national unity governments,Türkiye may send instructors to Libya、Intelligence personnel and special forces,Training the army of Libya National Unity Government,Enhance its combat power。Current,Libya National Unity Government has received some Western countries、Türkiye、Qatar's support,Libya National Congress and its union Libya "National Army" obtained Saudi Arabia、Egypt、Assistance from countries such as Russia,Two major forces present a state of confrontation。Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,will cause other countries to imitate Türkiye。Egypt said,Türkiye's soldiers from Libya,Egypt will also dispatch the army to reinforce the "National Army" of Libya。Israel、Greece、Cyprus will further intervene in Libyan affairs due to East Mediterranean energy issues,Russia will also continue to support Libya "National Army"。Libya situation is difficult to distinguish,As a result of the "Islamic State" member of the "Islamic State" in Libya, it is chaotic,The United States will also focus on Libya’s anti -terrorism issues。American Russia and regional power games in Libya,will lead to overseas army、Mercenary and a large number of weapons influx into Libya,Extracting Libya's turbulent situation。Libya National Unity Government and Libya's "National Army" are unable to unify Libya in the short term,Turkish departure will cause the agent in Libya to upgrade the war in Libya,The domestic conflict bet365 best casino games in Libya will further intensify。
(The author is a professor at the Institute of Northwestern University Middle East Research Institute; Doctoral Students of the Middle East Institute of Northwest University)
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