For the past few decades,The political party system of European countries is decentralized,Election turbulence is intensified。The increase in the number of political parties in the parliament of various countries,Multiple mainstream parties, which had dominated positions, also encountered the collapse of the voters' foundation,This often forces the party factions to fall into an unstable alliance。From Britain to Germany,Politicians and commentators often look at this phenomenon from the end of the world,and associate it with political turbulence and policy。
The Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House) European project researcher Pepijn Bergsen opposes this view。In its recently published entitled "Do n’t Be Afraid of Polical Fragmentation,",Bergson thinks,Politicians should concentrate their energy to make the increasingly Bet365 lotto review competitive political market play a role,This method is sometimes called "Dutchification",Because the political system of the Netherlands created the opportunity to win the seat of the parliament for the new political party and specific interest groups,These groups cover the party's right to protect the party and the party that specializes in the interests of the elderly。
Accompanied by the Dutch political system is an intensified election turbulence。In the 1970s,less than 15 % of the seats in the Dutch parliament can be assigned to any political party in any election,But this proportion increased to 25%in the previous elections in 2017。This system also created space for the earlier rise of the populist very right -wing party,Although this is not the reason for its rise。Although alliance politics often occurs many problems,But the Netherlands has always been one of the most complete governance countries in the world。
Bergson thinks,The number of valid parties in parliament can measure the degree of decentralization well。In the Netherlands,This number has steadily increased bet365 Play online games from about 4 in the 1980s to more than 8 after the 2017 election,Even the voting between the populist farce is very decentralized,The situation of two political parties in the same constituency appeared。In other countries,This phenomenon is also revealed at the beginning。Before the financial crisis,Spain is actually a two -party system,The dissatisfaction of the public to the mainstream political parties has received huge support for the challenger party of the left and right wings.,It makes the establishment stable alliance more difficult。In recent years,Italy's political decentralization is slightly reduced,But this is a high point compared to the early 1990s.,At that time,After -war political agreement failure,Diversified political decentralization suddenly intensified。
German politics, known for a long time, is working hard,The support rate of political parties that respond to the post -war period of the political stage declined。The Christian Democratic Party and the Social Democratic Party joined forces in 2017,Only barely won most votes,Get 53.4 % votes in total,Bet365 lotto review and this ratio 30 years ago was 81.3 %。The latest public opinion test display,If the election is held in the near future,The total number of voters who support these two political parties will only be 40 %。There are similar trends within the European Parliament。The two largest groups -Christian Democratic Party and Social Democratic Party -won 66 % of the votes in the 1999 parliamentary election,and 2019,They only get 39.5 % votes。
If the election is turbulent and political division, it does constitute a form of democratic crisis,So we should expect to see that voters are dissatisfied with their national democratic operation methods。Dan Bergson discovered,To a large extent,The situation seems to be the opposite。The public's satisfaction with democracy seems to be affected by multiple factors,Including economic conditions,Especially the country with the worst blow to the global financial crisis and the euro area crisis。Despite this,Data indicates,We cannot say that "Dutchization" can increase democratic satisfaction,But obviously it has nothing to do with the decline Bet365 app download in the support rate of the people。
Bergson thinks,"Dutchization" should give birth to a more Bet365 lotto review competitive political market。Compared with the after decades after the war,The current voters' thoughts are more open、Requirements are more harsh、The willingness to participate in politics is stronger。They tend to wait and see first,instead of voting for just according to the socio -economic class or other boundaries (such as religious boundaries),The decentralized parliament generated by this can better represent different groups in European society。
But this adds difficulties to European political parties and politicians,Because they want to deal with large alliances,or change the alliance under the leadership of a minority government,But "Dutchization" provides voters with more opportunities for choices and democratic reconstruction。If it is handled properly,"Dutchization" will also make the public's response to the transition of public opinion faster。
Worried about the phenomenon of "Dutchization" may make people confuse the crisis of traditional mainstream political parties bet365 Play online games with the democratic crisis。Bergson thinks,Some countries are easier to adjust,Especially a country with more consensus politics and alliance construction time,For example, the Netherlands and Denmark。But this should not be an excuse for various countries to refuse to work hard to make politics better,They have been forced to experience the adjustment process,This is undoubtedly the same now。European leaders and political parties do not have to wait or try to let the political market return to the past mode,What they need to do is to re -evaluate the method of responding to "Dutchization"。
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