Break through the limitation of social science cognitive cognitive with comprehensive integration methodology
December 10, 2019 09:32 Source: "China Social Sciences", December 10, 2019, Issue 1833 Author: Wan Xiangyu Cai Yuezhou

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"Social Science" is usually positioned as science of the essence of social things and its regularity,It is a subject category for studying human social phenomena for application science methods。Science is the basic connotation of social science,This requires that social science should be as objective as natural sciences、testable and systematic scientific characteristics。For more than 100 years,Social science presents a significant trend of natural science,Including mathematical analysis、Statistics、Measurement、System Theory、A series of research methods in the field of natural sciences, including operations and even experimental tools,I was introduced into the field of social science research,Objectiveness for social science、Quantitative and precise process provides technical support,The research system and research paradigm of social sciences,greatly promoted the development of social science。

  Social science research has a paradigm and there is a cognitive limitations

Tong Physics、Similar natural sciences such as chemistry,Research in many areas of social sciences will propose a certain theory or theory based on the social phenomenon observed,Then verify (proof) through data analysis and other methods from an empirical perspective。But,Many theoretical doctrines in the field of social sciences stem from (scientific) social survey,but inevitably there is random out of control、Non -observation information、Model excessive simplification、Assume that the premise is too strict and other questions,The evidence of the empirical link will also be disturbed by the conclusion that there are biased or non -consistent situations。This means,Under the paradigm of social science research,Randomness of the research system、Vagueness and subjectivity are difficult to fundamentally eliminate or effectively solve; the corresponding research results are difficult to use a paradigm similar to natural sciences、Verification Bet365 app download and confirmation (Verification,value & Accreditation,VVA)。Therefore, social science research has the limitations that are difficult to surpass the economic and social phenomenon cognition (or cognitive gap)。

The root cause of social science research cognitive limitations (cognitive gap),First of all, it is human social activities as the object of social science research,To be precise, the complex adaptability characteristics of human social activities。Unlike the nature of nature from the order of order、complex system formed,The complex adaptability of human social activities has its own uniqueness,Specifically, concentrated performance as the following aspects。

First, social complexity caused by attribute heterogeneous。The macro social performance is essentially derived from the accumulation of individual attributes at the micro level。and the attributes of micro -individuals in reality are very different,Social groups with the same total amount,The internal distribution pattern may be completely different。Traditional research methods using typical individual analysis mode or total analysis mode,Abandoned the source of micro -heterogeneity of social phenomena,Precision of research,Even effective。

Second, social complexity caused by behavior of behavior。Energy moving performance is the essential characteristics of people,Social phenomena will inevitably involve human behavior characteristics and results it triggered,Quantitative portrayal of behavior is a necessary point for social science research。Human behavior is usually its own attribute、The complex mapping of the economic environment and historical factors,Different individual behavior modes are different,Even if the same individual under the control conditions,Its behavioral mode also has large uncertainty。Research mode of traditional neglect of behavioral changes or single -level behavior characteristics,It is difficult to depict different groups to deal with impact and adapt to the environmental decision -making mechanism and decision results。

Third, social complexity caused by the interactive network。Marxism thinks,People are the sum of social relations。Micro individuals continue to interact with attributes bet365 live casino games or behaviors in the network of social relations,The accumulation of micro attributes and behaviors to form a macro social phenomenon,changes in macro social phenomena in turn affect the behavior trend and attribute features of micro individuals again。The social system is based on the micro、Based on the macro consistency framework,and traditional research often ignores the interaction feedback of micro individuals in social groups,may be split and disposal of macro -subjects in social phenomena from micro individuals,As a result, it is difficult to meet the needs of the quantitative social science system。

Fourth is the social complexity caused by dynamic adaptation。Since its birth of human society,It is in the process of continuous evolution。In fact,As an intelligent subject,Human transformation environment and behavioral response to the environment,Eventually prompting social groups to have the adaptive characteristics of behavior and decision -making,continuous evolution of the overall state of society。The so -called social equilibrium status,It is relative meaning,Is it easy to be destroyed or even unable to achieve。Social research should try to use dynamic and evolutionary research methods,Especially uncertain exogenous impact in the social environment,More enhanced the necessity of adaptive research。

The complexity of the object of social science research means that the system has no solution or difficulty solution,and its adaptability means the real -time change and dynamic evolution of the system。or,Human social phenomena will hardly have a certainized mapping relationship、Calculated function forms、Determined constant influencing factors,Therefore, there will be no certain closed solution。Considering the lack of unbiased and effective data,Social Science Research has a large limit in cognition,And this kind of cognitive limitations reflected some of the limits in the methodology behind it。Contemporary Social Science Research has a paradigm that is gradually formed by reference and transplanting modern natural scientific research methods and paradigms,At the methodology level, the original theory is the main body,At the same time, it also has the composition of the overall theory。But,Methodism bet365 best casino games as a scientific research,Whether it is restore or overall theory,There are serious obstacles when dealing with uncertainty and evolutionary problems of complex giant systems,and the unique complexity of human social activities,The existing research method even has serious defects in accurate quantification and micro structured analysis。

  Copy the complexity of human society with a comprehensive system integration methodology

In order to grasp the complex adaptive features of human social activities more accurately and effectively,Bridge that truly builds social science and natural sciences,It is necessary to conduct academic discussion on the problems of basic social science research methodology。System Approach method system,It may be an important way for social science research to effectively grasp the complex adaptability characteristics of human society activities。So far,The exploration of the academic community in this regard is still rare,and the "Comprehensive Integrated Research Method Theory" advocated by Mr. Qian Xuesen is the richest ideological theory in this field。At the end of the 1970s,Qian Xuesen explicitly pointed out,"The systematic theory we advocate,Not overall theory,Nor restore theory,but the dialectical unity of the overall theory and the theory of repayment "。This systematic theory has gradually developed into Qian Xuesen's comprehensive system integration thought。

Mr. Qian Xuesen advocates the expert system、Information and knowledge system and computer system organically combine,constitutes a highly intelligent human -machine combination and integration system,The results of people's thinking and thinking,People’s experience、Knowledge、Wisdom and various information、Information and information integration,Make many qualitative understanding and necessary quantitative understanding、Organic combination。The 1980s to the 1990s,Isaiba、Dai Ruwei、Yu Jingyuan、Scholars represented by Gu Jifa, etc.,The first to carry out integrated integrated exploration research。But,The above studies are limited by the model technology and data conditions limit at that time,I did not achieve substantial progress。2008,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences once again Bet365 lotto review launched a comprehensive integrated social science integration research,Become the last large -scale systematic academic exploration work in the domestic field。This research proposes,Using Internet massive data and a distributed computing system,Micro -simulation experiments on social science problems,Howse uses data and computing technology to solve the problem of complex adaptability of social sciences。But,The proposal of the above concept was advanced at the time,It has not even resonated in the natural scientific community,It was not gradually attracted widespread attention from the domestic industry until the rise of the big data concept in 2012。

  Information technology development brings a revolution in social science research

A new round of scientific and technological revolution supported by big data,Provides system scanning for social scientific research、Dynamic tracking、The possibility of technical breakthroughs such as cause and effect mining and overall approaching,and may cause systemicity of social science research paradigm、Fundamental change; the direction of change may be more inclined to be based on social theory and social reality.,Actively excavate multiple data foundations,Build a connection network between social subjects; it is more inclined to make full use of the comprehensive integration mode of human -machine combination,The origin and logical transmission mechanism of traceable social phenomena,Perform precise and quantitative structural analysis of the social scientific research objects、Dynamic prediction and simulation deduction。

In fact,Big data and high -performance computing technology provides efficient information mining and processing methods for solving the complex adaptability problems of social systems; it will play an important role in many aspects of social governance。But,The combination of current social science research and emerging technologies flows in form,The discipline system of the former does not fully support and accept the latter,and the latter did not open a revolutionary progress space for the former。Comprehensive integration research has become an effective way for the upgrading of social science research disciplines in the era of Unicom Big Data,It has also become bet365 best casino games a concrete manifestation of the new development concept in the new era in the field of social science research。

From the perspective of the development needs of society in the new era,Use a comprehensive integrated theoretical framework,It cannot be limited to the existing theoretical addition、The collection of massive data and the superposition of multiple technologies,It should also emphasize its systemic and organic essential characteristics。In order to promote social science and emerging technical means, as well as the mutual integration of the goal of governance of the country,Comprehensive integration research must make major theoretical innovation and refine the structured goals。In the new era,Comprehensive integration of Chinese social sciences should focus on completing the following four major construction goals: first,Establish a research mechanism and system of social science engineering; second,Build a new paradigm of data -driven social science research; third,Develop a micro social science simulation model system; fourth,Build a social science research platform from the combination of human -machine to intelligence。

Comprehensive integration research in the new era should follow Mr. Qian Xuesen's original design concept,Taking expert wisdom as the lead,Establish a research mode of human -machine binding。Where,Computers focus on data collection、Treatment and information mining,and provide an analog environment and discussion platform for expert decisions; and experts are based on their knowledge system and logic system,Identify the platform information,Control the platform environment,To achieve scientific decision -making。At the same time,Social science research methods should not lag long -term lag to natural science,and the integrated integration model should take the lead in moving into intelligent social science research。First,On the basis of combing expert decision experience with the help of big data analysis technology,Establish an adaptive induction and interpretation algorithm,Logic of Simulation Analysis Expert Decision。Second,Form an artificial intelligence decision -making mechanism that forms a gradual alternative to expert wisdom,Open the academic "Black Box"bet365 Play online games 。Last,Former -oriented decision makers,Provide simulation sand tables for social systems,Makes decision makers compare the comparative analysis and dynamic development of governance plans on the simulation platform that is constantly approaching the real environment,Multi -dimensional super precision evaluation of "Multi -dimensional super -precision evaluation of major practical problems of socio -economic development"。

  (This article is the “Design and Construction Research on Comprehensive Integrated Simulation Experimental Platform” (18AJL006)、Study of the State Social Science Fund key project "Research on the Effects of Digital Economy on the Development of China's Economic (18AZD006))

(Author Unit: Institute of Quantitative Economics and Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Editor in charge: Zhang Jing
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