In the data published by the seventh national census (hereinafter referred to as "Qi Pu"),The most unexpected data is the total amount of 376 million flowing population。How to understand this data? What kind of revelation does it contain?。
Since the reform and opening up,The total population of our country increased from 6.57 million in 1982 to 376 million in 2020。where,The fastest growth between 1990-2000,increased by 379.11%; the slowest growth between 2010 and 2020,The increase is only 69.72%。2014,The total population population has reached the highest in recent years,is 253 million; in 2015, the national population sampling survey data fell to 245 million,Continuously decreased afterwards。and Qipu data display,The total population population is 376 million,This value exceeds the judgment of people based on past experience。So,How should I understand the 376 million migrant population of Qipu?
From the census process,Seven Pu uses advanced information technology,Comprehensively adopt electronic data collection method,Improving the quality of the census results。On the one hand,Identification through ID number,solved the problem of overvaluation of the scale of the current census on the scale of the flow of the flow; on the other hand,,The year of 2020 census is also the year of the epidemic prevention and control,The community has a more accurate foundation for the population of the entire employee,It can Bet365 lotto review effectively solve the problem of leakage of the flowing population。In view of this,I think,The following multiple factors can provide a reasonable interpretation of the number of population population。
First, the "revenge" rebound of the flowing population after the epidemic。Because the census point of the Qipu is 0:00 on November 1, 2020,At that time, the epidemic of new crown pneumonia in China had been effectively controlled,National economic production and social life basically recovered,The demand for labor for economic and social construction is strong,To a certain extent, most mobile population returns to work。New demand for the return of the migrant population and the new demand of social construction may lead to a revenge rebound in the scale of the migrant population,Makes the stock and incremental increase in the current population。
Second, the adjustment of the national strategy and industrial structure for forming a tension for the flow of the flow。In order to implement the "National New Urbanization Plan (2014-2020)", focusing on solving the "three 100 million people" problems,Governments at all levels have introduced a series of policy documents to promote the development of new urbanization,Take a series of major actions,Increase the number of cities and towns、Expand the scope of the city's jurisdiction,Promote local urbanization and nearest urbanization。At the same time,The proportion of the tertiary industry in the national economy is rising rapidly,and Bet365 app download The flow of population is its important supporting force。For example,In the rapid development of the express delivery industry,The flow of population is the main practitioner。
Third is the new space selection effect of the return of the population。According to the census caliber,As long as you live across the towns for more than half a year,will be counted as a flowing population。Rural revitalization may change the mobile behavior,It may also change the return behavior。Although the data of the rarely returned to the home population,But in recent years, the increase in the increase in the population of across provinces has slowed,The increase in flow in the province is accelerated,Performance of the role of return flow。but but,Most of the returning population will not return to the countryside,Instead, return to the county or other township workers、Employment and Entrepreneurs。They do not move their household registration,But in the town stable living,The flow mode is more diverse。Visible,Population flow and return home、The general trend of rural revitalization is not contradictory。
Fourth, the proportion of the familyization of the migrant population increases。With the introduction of "National New Urbanization Plan (2014-2020)" and "Interim Regulations on Residence Permits" (2016),The flowing population is more likely to achieve family reunion in the flowing place。Decrease in the number of left -behind children,In addition to might define changes、Population return and other factors related,It also means that family members are reunited in the place of flow。Growth of the size of the mobile elderly、The rise in the proportion of the population of the city,Also fill the scale of the mobile population。
Five is the unconventional bet365 live casino games increase of the flow of poverty alleviation.。2020 is a well -off society in an all -round way、The Year of Poverty Alleviation。Removal of poverty alleviation in different places is an important measure for poverty alleviation。"National" Thirteenth Five -Year Plan "Easy Earth Poverty Alleviation and relocation plan" is clearly proposed,It is planned to implement the poverty alleviation and relocation of the poverty -stricken people in nearly 10 million years in five years。If the relocation of the other place has realized the transfer of cross -rural and towns,and the household registration is not synchronized,will be counted as a flowing population。
Six is the development of rural rejuvenation and the development of rural household registration。Current,The advantages of urban hukou weakened,The value of rural household registration increases。Rural or located (near) university students in urbanization areas if they move their household registration,I will no longer enjoy the homestead、Contractfare and other benefits,Not relocating household registration does not affect college life。So,Some college students do not move their household registration,Become a flowing population。After ten years of accumulation,It will also increase the number of migrants to a certain extent。
"Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" period,The scale of the flow population will continue to grow,This is the inevitable law of new urbanization development。Gathering population to oversized cities and eastern coasts、"Strong Hengqiang、The Matthew effect of the stronger "will also continue。Reasonable guessing and bet365 best casino games real reality、There is often a gap between it and the facts。Is the analysis above reasonable,It also needs to be more detailed、Multi -route data of different sources to compare and check。
Effectively improve the synergy and comparability of departmental data。Current,National Bureau of Statistics、Ministry of Public Security、Office and other institutions of the State Council's Migrant Workers' Work Leading Group and other institutions all collect current data,But their definitions of the flowing population are very different。At time,There is a month、The difference between three months and half a year,or based on leaving out of place、or the length of the current in the place of flow。On the space,There is a cross -rural or cross -county distinction。This makes the data of various departments poorly comparable。From this,Not only does the flow of the flowing population、Great differences in structure and distribution,It may also affect the effective and reasonable allocation of public services and public resources。So,The administrative space of Bet365 app download The flow of population flow and leaving the household registration must be unified.,Continue to strengthen the dynamic monitoring of the migrant population,Form the research and judgment of the "quantity" of the "quantity" and "quality" of the flowing population,Provides more accurate decision -making for national and local governments、More effective empirical reference。
Fully grasp the total amount and structural characteristics of the migrant population。Unexpectedly need to clarify the basic composition of the flowing population,Follow the heterogeneity within them,bet365 live casino games Find out its real situation。For example,Who they are、Where to get from、Where to live、What features are there、How about the level of familyization、How many people have returned、Where is the problems and other questions,All must use more informative census information,Supplemented by more information with a more rich sampling survey data to respond。Only based on this,Adactions to local conditions、Different from person to person,Implementation of equalization of basic public services,Promoting citizenization and social integration process,can the flowing population not only get in,and can be kept、Development。
Fully understand the complexity and association of mobile society。China is experiencing rapid transformation。What is a highly flowing society、What are the characteristics、What difficulties and challenges are facing,This is what I haven't encountered in Chinese history。We must pay attention to the development of the situation at any time,Scared grasping new changes,Avoid bondage for inherent thinking fixed formulas。In the background of new urbanization,Most township flow population is no longer a question of whether to settle in cities flowing into the city of land,Instead, whether to abandon the question of rural household registration,or not can you enjoy it at the place of inflow、Employment、Medical、Social Security and other questions。So,It should be rational、Objective、Rigid attitude,Look at、Understand and understand the development of the flowing population,Place population flow in urban and rural development、Organic planning in the big pattern of urban and bet365 best casino games rural relations,Institutional design from the demand and service supply from the mobile population。
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