In the data released by the seventh national census (hereinafter referred to as the "Seventh Census"),The most unexpected data is 3.Total floating bet365 bonus code pa of 7.6 billion。How to understand this data?What kind of revelation does it contain?This is the question that this article will discuss and think about。
Since the reform and opening up,The total migrant bet365 bonus code pa in my country increased from 6.57 million in 1982 to 3 in 2020.7.6 billion。Among them,The fastest growing period from 1990 to 2000,Increase up to 379.11%;The slowest growth between 2010 and 2020,The increase is only 69.72%。2014,The total migrant bet365 bonus code pa has reached the highest level in recent years,is 2.5.3 billion;The 2015 National bet365 bonus code pa Sample Survey Data of 1% dropped to 2.4.5 billion,Continued to fall since then。And the seven census data show,The total floating bet365 bonus code pa is 3.7.6 billion,This value exceeds people’s judgment based on past experience。Then,How to understand Qipu 3.7.6 billion floating bet365 bonus code pa?
From the perspective of the census process,Qipu uses advanced information technology methods,Comprehensively adopt electronic data collection methods,Improved the quality of census results。On the one hand,Identified by ID number,Resolved the problem of overestimating the size of the migrant bet365 bonus code pa in the previous census;On the other hand,The 2020 census year is also the year of epidemic prevention and control,The community has a more accurate picture of the entire bet365 bonus code pa,Can effectively solve the problem of underreporting of floating bet365 bonus code pa。In view of this,The author thinks,The following multiple factors can provide a reasonable explanation for this floating bet365 bonus code pa。
First, the “retaliatory” rebound of the floating bet365 bonus code pa after the epidemic。Since the census time point of the seventh census is 0:00 on November 1, 2020,At that time, the COVID-19 epidemic in China had been effectively controlled,National economic production and social life have basically been restored,Economic and social construction has strong demand for labor force,Prompts most migrants to return to work to a certain extent。The return of the migrant bet365 bonus code pa to work and new demands for social construction may lead to a retaliatory rebound in the size of the migrant bet365 bonus code pa,Making the stock and increment of floating bet365 bonus code pa grow at the same time。
Second, national strategies and industrial structure adjustments exert a pull on the floating bet365 bonus code pa。In order to implement the "National New Urbanization Plan (2014-2020)", we focus on solving the "three 100 million people" problems,Governments at all levels have issued a series of policy documents to promote the development of new urbanization,Took a series of major actions,Increase the number of towns、Expand the scope of municipal districts,Promote local urbanization and nearby urbanization。At the same time,The proportion of the tertiary industry in the national economy has increased rapidly,The floating bet365 bonus code pa is its important supporting force。For example,In the rapidly developing express delivery industry,Migrant bet365 bonus code pa is the main practitioner。
The third is the new spatial selection effect of the returning bet365 bonus code pa。According to the census,As long as you live across towns and villages for more than half a year,will be counted as floating bet365 bonus code pa。Rural revitalization may change mobility behavior,It may also change the behavior of returning home。Although there is little data on the return of migrants,However, the growth rate of inter-provincial migrant bet365 bonus code pa has slowed down in recent years,Intra-provincial mobility increases,Perspective on the role of reflux。However,Most returning people will not return to rural areas,But return to the county or other towns to work and do business、Employment and entrepreneurship。They will not change their household registration,But living stably in the city,More diverse flow patterns。Visible,bet365 bonus code pa migration and return home、The general trend of rural revitalization is not contradictory。
Fourth, the proportion of floating bet365 bonus code pa living in families has increased。With the promulgation of the “National New Urbanization Plan (2014-2020)” and the “Interim Regulations on Residence Permit” (2016),Migrant bet365 bonus code pa is more likely to achieve family reunion in the place of arrival。Reduction in the number of left-behind children,Except possible changes from its definition、Popularity return and other factors are related to other factors,Also means the reunion of family members in the place of immigration。The growth of the number of migrant elderly、The increase in the proportion of urban floating bet365 bonus code pa, etc.,They also play a role in filling the scale of the floating bet365 bonus code pa。
Fifth, the fight against poverty has brought about an irregular increase in the floating bet365 bonus code pa。2020 is the year for the decisive victory in building a moderately prosperous society in all respects、The year of decisive battle against poverty。Poverty alleviation through relocation is an important measure in the fight against poverty。The "National "13th Five-Year Plan" Relocation Plan for Poverty Alleviation" clearly stated,Plans to implement relocation of nearly 10 million registered poor people within five years。If the relocated bet365 bonus code pa realizes cross-township transfer,The household registration was not transferred simultaneously,will be counted as floating bet365 bonus code pa。
Sixth, rural revitalization and development have enhanced the value of rural household registration。current,The advantages of urban household registration have weakened,Improvement of the value of rural household registration。If college students in rural areas or in-situ (near) urbanized areas move their household registration,I will no longer enjoy the homestead、Contracted land and other benefits,Not changing household registration will have no impact on university life。Therefore,Some college students do not want to change their household registration,Become a floating bet365 bonus code pa。After ten years of accumulation,It will also increase the number of floating bet365 bonus code pa to a certain extent。
"During the 14th Five-Year Plan",The size of the migrant bet365 bonus code pa will continue to grow,This is the inevitable law of the development of new urbanization。The floating bet365 bonus code pa gathers in megacities and the eastern coast、"The strong are always strong、The Matthew effect of "the strong is stronger" will also continue。Reasonable guesses and real reality、There is often a gap between what should be and what is。Is the above analysis reasonable?,Need more details、Multiple data from different sources are compared and verified。
Effectively improve the collaboration and comparability of department data。Currently,National Bureau of Statistics、Ministry of Public Security、The Office of the Leading Group for Migrant Workers of the State Council and other institutions collect data on migrant bet365 bonus code pa,But their definitions of floating bet365 bonus code pa are quite different。Time,One month、The difference between three months and half a year,And or based on leaving the place of departure、Or based on the length of residence in the place of origin。In space,It can be divided into cross-township or cross-county。This makes the data of various departments less comparable。Therefore,Not only brings the size of the floating bet365 bonus code pa、Big differences in structure and distribution,It may also affect the effective and reasonable allocation of public services and public resources。Therefore,It is necessary to unify the administrative space spanned by the floating bet365 bonus code pa and the dual caliber of leaving the place of household registration/residence time in the current place of residence,Continue to strengthen the dynamic monitoring of floating bet365 bonus code pa,Form a more certain study and judgment of the "quantity" and grasp of the "quality" of the floating bet365 bonus code pa,Provide more accurate decision-making for national and local governments、More effective empirical reference。
Comprehensively grasp the total size and structural characteristics of the floating bet365 bonus code pa。It is urgent to clarify the basic composition of the floating bet365 bonus code pa,Focus on their internal heterogeneity,Find out the real situation。For example,About who they are、Where from、Where to live、What characteristics、What is the level of familyization、How many people have returned、Questions such as where to return,All must use more detailed census data,Respond with more informative sample survey data。Only based on this,Adapt measures to local conditions、Varies from person to person,Implement equalization of basic public services,Promote the process of citizenship and social integration,Only so that the floating bet365 bonus code pa can not only come in,And it can be kept、Development。
Fully understand the complexity and correlation of mobile society。China is undergoing rapid transformation。What does a highly mobile society look like、What are the characteristics、What problems and challenges are faced,This is something we have never encountered in Chinese history。We must pay attention to the development of the situation at any time,Keeping a keen eye on new changes,Avoid being bound by fixed thinking patterns。In the context of new urbanization,What most rural-urban migrants face is no longer the question of whether to settle in the city where they migrate,It’s about whether to give up rural household registration,And whether we can equally enjoy schooling in the place of immigration、Employment、See medical advice、Social security and other issues。Therefore,Should be rational、Objective、Strict attitude,View、Understand and understand the development trend of migrant bet365 bonus code pa,Place bet365 bonus code pa mobility in urban and rural development、Coordinate planning within the overall pattern of urban-rural relations,Design the system from both sides of migrant bet365 bonus code pa demand and service supply。
(Author’s affiliation: School of Ethnology and Sociology, Minzu University of China)
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