Li Daokui: The Chinese economy in the Great Change
August 29, 2022 09:23 Source: "China Social Sciences", August 29, 2022, Issue 2480 Author: Li Daokui

  

Li Daokui: Born in 1963,Doctor of Economics,Dean of the Chinese Institute of Economic Thought and Practice of Tsinghua University,The Standing Committee of the 13th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference、Member of the Economic Committee。

Li Daokui's main research direction is government and market economics、China Economy、International Economy、Economic Development, etc.,The current Journal of Government and Economics joint editor -in -chief。Representative works include Economic Lessons from China ’s Forty Years of Reform and Opening-Up、"China Economy in the Cerpment of the Cerpment", "Chinese Experience: The Economics Summary of the Forty of the Reform and Opening and Opening and Opening", "China Plan 1.0", "The Future of the Chinese Economy -China Reminder of the German Model", "Restart: New: New: New: New "China and the World in the Reform era", "Research on RMB International Road", "The Rise of the Big Power in Chaos", etc.。

Li Daokui has presided over the completion of major issues of the National Social Science Foundation、Multiple items such as commissioned projects such as the National Social Science Foundation,The results of the works and topics have won the Outstanding Achievement Award for Scientific Research of the Ministry of Education for the Ministry of Education、Philosophy and Social Science Outstanding Achievement Award First Prize、Second Prize, etc.。And won the Beijing Jinghua Award、National Cultural Masters and "Four Batch" talents、National New Century Ten million Talent Engineering and other honors。Li Daokui is a specially appointed professor in the Yangtze River scholar,Enjoy the special allowance of the government of the State Council。

Participate in the "Academic China · 2022" International Summit Forum,I feel honored。Today,I want to discuss the following issues with you -the role of China's economy in a long -term change in a hundred years。

The world in today's world has undergone a big change in a century,bet365 Play online games The basic change of the change is the evolution of the global economic pattern,After all, the economy is politics、Diplomacy、Military and other activities basis。The major change in the century -old manner is an important feature of an economic aspect.,Economic globalization, which has been deepened in the past 70 years, has emerged in reversal,The United States, which is prominently manifested as the leader of the economic globalization after World War II, has shifted to trade protectionism。Former US President Trump launched a trade friction when he came to power,Frequent withdrawal from the multilateral trade treaty,Obstructing the normal operation of the WTO litigation mechanism。Since the government is in power,,Although trying to rebuild the global leadership of the United States,But in the issue of economic globalization, the position of "U.S. Priority" during the Trump period was basically continued,Emphasize improving the competitiveness of domestic industries and ensuring the security of the supply chain。A clear contrast to the United States,China has become a strong supporter of economic globalization。General Secretary Xi Jinping at the Davos Forum、G20 Summit、Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit、Many international and important occasions such as the UN General Assembly repeatedly indicated that China ’s firm position for defending economic globalization,and by proposing the "Belt and Road" initiative、Actively reduce the threshold for tariffs and foreign investment、Holding China International Import Expo、Add a series of practical actions such as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP),Practice commitment,Actively expand opening to the outside world,and dominate the establishment of the AIIB、Many new international organizations including the new development bank of the BRICS countries。This raises a question,There is no major change in the world for a century、Under the background of economic globalization reversal,What role will China play? To do this, let's do a little simple analysis。

First,It should be recognized that China's economic development is a miracle Bet365 app download in the history of human economy。In the past ten years,Calculate the Northern Song Dynasty according to the original data、The total amount of economic activities in the Ming Dynasty and the Qing Dynasty,It is found that the Chinese economy starts with the Northern Song Dynasty as the starting point,The proportion of the global economy is gradually rising,reached the highest peak at the end of the Ming Dynasty in 1600,34.6%of global GDP,Gradually declined after that then。When the Second Industrial Revolution in the Western Country is fully expanded,China accounts for a decline in the total number of global economic activities。Before reform and opening up,Calculation based on purchasing power is calculated accounting for 4.9%of the global total; after reform and opening up,China has been on the economic global express express,Through internal reforms and openness,China's GDP growth far exceeds the global average speed,At present, the proportion of GDP in the world has increased to about 20%。Therefore,The rise of the Chinese economy we witnessed today is the first time in the past 400 years。Compared with the United Kingdom、United States、Germany、40 years of rapid economic growth in the history of Japan and other countries,It can be discovered from the increase in the proportion of the world economy,For more than 40 years of reform and opening up,China has contributed the largest economic growth in human history,And this growth is still continuing today。

Second,Looking back at the history of economic globalization,Discovery several basic rules。Tsinghua University China Economic Thought and Practice Research Institute launched a research research.。We found,Globalization is essentially the process of the world economy from closed balance to open balance transition,This process is not spontaneous,It is not driven by a single hegemony country,Instead, the results of the interactive game between many participating entities。In order to make the world economy move from closed balance to open balance,Need a country with global leadership to promote implementation,and global leaders must have three conditions,、Market advantage,Bet365 lotto review and the advantages of the re -assigning system。Technical advantages Pointing leaders in the world's advanced industries to master the leading advantage of technology,Therefore, you can obtain excess monopoly income through economic globalization,This is the prerequisite for leaders to take the initiative to lead economic globalization; market advantage is to refer to leaders' domestic market size,Therefore, it can be able to attract other countries to follow the opening through active opening; re -distribution system advantages indicate that the government can effectively balance the problem of domestic interest distribution caused by the globalization of the economy,3923_3944,Guaranteed leaders can continue to lead economic globalization。

Looking back at several rounds of globalization in history,Including the economic globalization led by Britain in the mid -19th century and the economic globalization of the United States led in the 20th century,All confirmed these three basic conditions。After the British Industrial Revolution, it has occupied technological advantages in key areas such as textiles and steel industry; colonies all over the world have formed a unified large market,With market advantages; at the same time,Britain has also established a relatively complete social security system,With the advantages of the re -distribution system。Our research discovery,For a long time after World War II,The US economy also has the technical advantage of becoming a global leader、Market advantages and re -distribution system advantages。But today,Three basic conditions supporting the United States as the leader of economic globalization are gradually losing。Under the background of the rise of emerging markets represented by China,The relative scale of the unified market in the United States is gradually narrowing; many industries in the United States,Especially the technical advantages and relative competitiveness of the real economy are also declining; at the same time,American political polarization and social tear have also led to a decline in the ability to re -assign the social and economic system。

third,China is becoming the leader of the new economic globalization。Since the 18th National Bet365 app download Congress of the Communist Party of China,Chinese leaders have repeatedly stated in different international occasions that China defends economic globalization,It is proposed to "promote the construction of a community of human destiny","Improve the fairness of global development、Effective、tolerance "。China's economy is gradually having three basic conditions for becoming a leader in economic globalization。

First,China's unified market is being formed and perfected,The output and consumption of many major products in China has ranked first in the world。Second,China has developed rapidly in the high -tech field,In big data、Artificial Intelligence、Biotechnology and green energy areas have achieved leading advantages,At the same time, a large number of engineering and technical personnel have been cultivated in the Chinese education system,It has accumulated a certain degree of technical advantage for leading economic globalization。Last,China has a strong domestic re -distribution ability,In the process of participating in economic globalization,Many areas、The industry has been greatly impacted,Through the government、Common efforts of enterprises and workers,China's economy has successfully cope with many challenges brought by opening,The income distribution system is continuously improved,Preliminary re -distribution system advantage of economic global leaders。Of course we must see,In addition to the above three conditions,Since entering the new era、"Double Carbon" target、"Community of Human Destiny" and other series of international development initiatives or concepts that attract worldwide attention,being gradually accepted by various countries。There are reasons to believe,China is becoming the leader of the new economic globalization。

So,What are the continuous efforts in China,can we truly become the leader of the new economy globalization? In essence,To further release China's huge potential to lead the new economy globalization,China still needs to continue to work hard,In comprehensive deepening reform、Under the premise of continuously consolidating the foundation,Gradually learn and adapt to the role of the leader of economic globalization。Bet365 app download It is mainly manifested in the following aspects。

One,Compared with major developed countries,China's independent innovation ability is relatively weak,There are still many technologies that have been "stuck neck" in the industries with a longer innovative chain and the field of basic science。Therefore,The core position of scientific and technological innovation in the overall situation of Chinese modernization,Increase R & D investment and talent training in key areas,Reform through the scientific research system internally,To strengthen international exchanges and cooperation,Continuously improve my country's independent innovation level。

Its two,The demand for domestic domestic market needs to be further released,The current barriers to the free flow of domestic restrictions in China still exist,Obstructs the formation of unified large markets and the full release of domestic demand。Therefore,It should be accelerated to build a new development pattern,The scale of continuously expanding the middle income group,Continuously release the potential of my country's domestic consumer market。

Its three,China's reconstruction system still contains huge reform dividends,To accelerate the implementation of common wealth goals,Comprehensive deepening of the re -distribution system reform,Give full play to the important advantage of the socialist system with Chinese characteristics,Let all Chinese people benefit from the development of development,Forms a strong social consensus that supports economic globalization。

Its four,China's international soft power still needs to be improved,China has a short time to participate in global governance,AIIB、Emerging international organizations such as the BRICS New Development Bank and other emerging international organizations are also in their infancy。Therefore,China still needs to continue to accumulate experience in participating in global economic governance,Explore the ways and paths of negotiating negotiations with other countries,Cultivate a number of talents with international communication ability and international organization experience。

Last,The theme today bet365 best casino games is very suitable for,Chinese social science research,Especially research related to economics,It also needs further internationalization,To stand at the commanding height of new economic globalization to carefully study the major issues of international economic development。The main discipline system of the current economics is still formed in the previous round of economic globalization,Still established by Western scholars。In this regard,Chinese social sciences must work hard,Holding a modest and open mind,Exchange research with international peers,This promotes the process of globalization led by China。

Editor in charge: Cui Cen
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