Uncertainty type affects human decision -making mechanisms
August 20, 2021 09:14 Source: "China Social Sciences" August 20, 2021, Issue 2234, August 2021 Author: Yao Xiaodan/Compilation

Comprehensive foreign media reports  Uncertainty is a problem that people often face,Even if you know the situation may change,People still have to make a decision without predicting the future。Understand human decision -making mechanism through scientific research,and the impact of uncertainty on human decision -making,To a certain extent, it can help people make the right decision。

The official website of the University of New South Wales, Australia, published news on July 30,The school's scientific bet365 best casino games research team studied related issues and found out,The type of uncertainty has a key impact on people's response strategies。Unexpected uncertainty problems will cause people to change their behavior and original strategy,Even if insisting on the original strategy will bring better results。When facing unexpected uncertainty problems,People's behavior often does not change greatly。such as,A city living in busy traffic、People who need to spend 30-50 minutes of commute time every morning,I will not be surprised because the commute time of a certain day is more than 50 minutes,Because this is an uncertainty in its expected。But for those who are usually driving in the quiet country,The bet365 best casino games expected 30 -minute journey suddenly becomes 50 minutes and will surprise them.,Because this is an uncertainty of "accident"。

To test people's response to accidental changes,Researchers require experimental participants to sell items,and get as many points as possible through sales activities。For experimental participants,Find out how to bring them the biggest return is very important。In the experiment in the first stage,Participants quickly learned a strategy after receiving the experimental task -select option A to get the highest price of 15 points,But half at this stage,The reward mode suddenly changed,Selected options A will randomly get a score between 8-22 points。Under the circumstances that have bet365 live casino games unpredictable uncertainties,Participants have begun to find new methods to complete the task,Even the best choice they can do is to adhere to the original strategy。In the experiment in the second stage,Researchers show the uncertain factors to another group of participants in a gradual way,Options a score starts at 14-16 points,Later changed to 13-17 points,Finally became 8-22 points。Although in the second stage,Uncertainty related to Option A finally became the same level as the first stage,But the behavior of the participants has not changed significantly,People choose to adhere to the original strategy。

Researchers think,Facing unexpected uncertainty factors,Most people choose Bet365 lotto review to change their behavior,Make different decisions from the past,View a feeling of stability or controlling the development of the situation。When the uncertain factors are slowly appearing through a long -term process and not easy to be noticed,People will tend to maintain the original way of behavior。

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