China's development and growth will benefit the world
—— Vice Chairman of the Institute of China Institute of India, Hymend Adelaka
October 19, 2022 09:16 Source: "China Social Sciences" October 19, 2022 Total Issue 2511 Author: Bai Lebi

■ Hamende Adelaka  Interviewee/Figure Supply

Looking at the world today,Global economic recovery、Frequent international conflict、"Go to Globalization" The wave of dark flow、Some countries still pursue hegemony and power politics,The world is therefore facing new instability and uncertainty。Facing a big change in the world for a century,China is committed to solving the question of the times,The global governance contribution to the "crossroads" contribute "China Plan"。Focusing on the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in the world,This reporter revolves around international order、World Economy、Chinese characters and other topics interviewed Professor of Khru University, Indonesia、Vice Chairman of the Institute of China in India、Honorary Researcher Hemant Adlakha。

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"China Social Sciences": The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China opened in Beijing on October 16th。I don’t know if you watched the opening ceremony,What are your comments on the convening of the conference?

Hamende Adelaka: I watched the 20th opening ceremony through the CGTN channel,I also listened to the report made by General Secretary Xi Jinping for the meeting。I think the opening ceremony is very successful,I also sincerely congratulated the 20th CPC victory to be held。My first reaction to the 20th National Congress is,This conference will become a milestone major political event in China and the global economy and the entire world。About the content of the 20 major reports,I think the report will be the economy of China in the next five years or even longer、Politics、Society、International relations policies and other aspects depict a complete blueprint。

Different from some internal political turbulent powers,Completion of China's political system,Stable political structure。Since the reform and opening up,The Communist Party of China has been held steadily at the time and frequency of five years and frequency。It is worth sure is,In the 20th report, there is no trace of political Sandian and populist nationalism at all -this is what people often see people often see in Western countries and other so -called democratic countries.。

The Communist Party of China adheres to the "people -centered",Persist in building "Community of Human Destiny"。This position tells the world,Increasingly integrated、The world of globalization,There should be no "Cold War Thinking" foothold。

  The international order and world economy of the "post -epidemic age"

"China Social Sciences": in recent years,The new crown pneumonia epidemic spreading the world has profoundly affected the international situation。Although the epidemic of the new crown pneumonia is not a substantial element that affects the world structure,But it is indeed an iconic event。What impact do you think the new crown pneumonia epidemic has bet365 Play online games on the world structure and international order?

Haimon Adelaka: It is undeniable that,The full outbreak of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in 2020 caused a global crisis,Exposure of global politics、Social and economic defects。Politically,The world seems to be in a state of vertical division,In the struggle between countries to prevent and control this kind of disease, the opposite strategy。On the one hand,Some Western countries that claim to be so -called "democracy" choose to implement policies such as "coexist with new crown pneumonia" and "group immunity"; on the other hand,There is also a responsible national government,For example, China chooses to implement effective "dynamic clear zero" measures to fight against the epidemic。

"Big Popular Prevention and Coppering Independent Group" pointed out in a report submitted to the World Health Organization as early as January 2021,To a large extent,Due to the lack of comprehensive response measures to curb the popularity of epidemics around the world,Nearly 100 million cases of new crown pneumonia infection in the world,Cause more than 2 million people to die -this is very disturbing。The cause of infection and death in developing countries mostly lacks vaccines、Grain and other necessary medical necessities; and in developed countries,The reason for the high number of infections and deaths is either a policy of "compensation with pain",Either the government's "not tight or slow" approach。As the report pointed out,High -income countries and its government put the interests of private financial institutions above all people,Place its own interests above global interests。Report also pointed out,Many national governments have not been able to take comprehensive sanitary measures,Including early discovery cases、Tracking contactor、Maintain social distance and restrict domestic and international travel。

I think,The cause of the new crown pneumonia's epidemic is important,But what should be caused by how people think about how to reduce the existing and potential losses caused by the epidemic。What is sad is,This epidemic further exposure and deepen the inequality of the existence of the country and between the country。Millions of workers, especially workers in developing countries in the world,Not only do you lose the opportunity to make a living,And the vast majority of them are still waiting for employment today。Contrary to,In the past two or three years, it has become the bonus period for the rich people in the world。For the rich class of "profit from the pain from the public" during the epidemic situation,The epidemic of epidemic disease can be described as very beneficial。Food、Drug、Energy and technology and other fields have become the main field of this group to achieve huge profits。

"China Social Sciences": Although the current world economy begins to recover,But the slump is still very prominent,The foundation of the recovery is still extremely fragile,Especially backward developing countries and emerging economies still face heavy dilemma。Today, in the world that has faced a major change in the world for a century,How do you view the future of the world economy?

Hamende Adelaka: As the Bet365 lotto review world economy enters the third year affected by the epidemic affected by the new crown pneumonia,Global economy has been recovering hard,This is the world -recognized fact。Under this difficult situation,Back -behind developing countries and some emerging economies still face many challenges -including inflation and economic recession、Creative debt level、Equivalence of income continues to deepen、Increased poverty and rising unemployment rates。It can be said,A backward developing countries and emerging economies are facing a difficult road that is different from the past。The latest media report forecast name,With the "potential consumer demand in the market" in recent years, it has gradually decreased,and financial and currency support measures from all over the world are difficult to work,Global economic growth will slow from 5.5%in 2021 to 4.1%in 2022 and 3.2%in 2023。As I currently see in Europe and the United States,The rapid propagation of Omikon variants,Popularity of epidemic disease may continue to disrupt economic activities in the short term。The economic growth rate of emerging markets and developing countries is expected to reduce from 6.3%in 2021 to 4.6%in 2022 and 4.4%in 2023。

For backward developing countries and emerging economies,The biggest concern they in the process of responding to the epidemic is that the economy may hardly land。Ayhan Kose, director and chief economist of the World Bank Forecast Bureau, said: "Although the economic growth of developed economies is slowing,But it is expected to be 2023,The total output of some well -founded developed economies may show a trend of growth before the epidemic.。But,Economy is flying at low altitude in some low -income development -if encountering backwind,There is no space that can be moved in terms of policy。This is why we are worried about economic hard landing。"",Many experts proposed,The key is to reverse the global inequality exacerbation trend caused by reversing the epidemic of new crown pneumonia。But to do this,Unable to leave sufficient financial resources,For some backward developing countries and emerging economies,This is difficult to achieve in a record high debt era。This means that it is necessary to strengthen global cooperation,Provide the necessary fiscal resources to the economy in low -income development。This also means that countries must support rule -based global trade,Create an investment environment that is conducive to promoting a faster growth of productivity,Abandon a small circle based on hegemonism,Forming a community of human destiny。At this point,The "Community of Human Destiny" proposed by China regards human society as an interdependent community,Conquering the interests and common values ​​of all human beings。

Professor Kenneth Rogoff, a professor at Harvard University in the United States, believes,The world economy is facing "the biggest crisis since the end of World War II",One of the big problems is the "de -globalization" wave that swept the "de -globalization" wave。He proposed in an article written for the International Monetary Fund in March 2022,Ukraine crisis marks Bet365 app download the intensification of "de -globalization"。But,If "the trade volume between China and developed economies also declines,The real blow to the globalization and the world economy will exceed the Ukrainian crisis。Actually,The current "de -globalization" trend that is intensified is neither the result of the epidemic disease nor the result of the Ukrainian crisis,Instead, the Western economy led by the United States in the era of the "post -financial crisis" was stagnant,and the international community has not found the results of the "globalization dominated by the West" in the international community。

On the one hand, it is a constant Western economy,On the other hand, the international community began to seek a new path for globalization。Due to the unable to reverse the situation where the economic continuous decline is declining,The United States began to feel the powerful momentum of China's economic rise,I also feel the consolidation and strengthening of the Russian regime。The "Belt and Road" initiative proposed by China in 2013 was actively responding to many countries along the route,China has also strengthened contact with the surrounding Central and South Asian countries,and Africa、Contact of Europe and Latin America。other,The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, established in 1997, has become a more important Asia than the World Economic Forum、European Business and Political Leaders Forum。In this background,The United States has also begun to face many pressures,This pressure is because it cannot maintain its "strategic anxiety" caused by its dominance in international order。Before the epidemic,The trade war launched by the United States,and the Russian and Ukraine conflict caused by NATO's continued eastward expansion,Both the results caused by the United States and its NATO allies to alleviate their anxiety and ignore the feelings of other countries。Sri Lanka and other countries can be understood as unfair now、Reflects of unfair international order。So,A new wish in many places in the world today,Try to find a globalization that replaces Western forms,But this is not necessarily opposed to the characteristics of "globalization" itself,and may mean that a new global platform that is no longer regarded as Washington or Brussels will gradually form。

  Adhere to multilateralism to enhance global governance

"China Social Sciences": You once said,The new crown pneumonia epidemic has brought a serious blow to the world,BRICS countries need to strengthen cooperation。Facts,The mutual trust and cooperation of the BRICS countries will not only be affected,Instead, it has been strengthened。Do you think China -India is the same as the BRICS country,What role does it play in improving the mutual trust and enhancement of global governance in the BRICS countries?

Hymend Adelaka: Indeed,In the struggle to fight against the new crown pneumonia,Hymend Adelaka: Indeed,BRICS countries -whether it is a group as a whole,Still with the individual status of a member country -a long time ago to other developing countries, a helping hand,Provided medical、Food and Fund Aid。After the epidemic is popular,The World Health Organization and Several bet365 Play online games major international organizations are deeply concerned about the lack of large -scale vaccine supply in some developing countries。The World Health Organization has also urged rich countries to provide funds,Provide new crown vaccines to low -income countries、Treatment Drugs、Testing items, etc.,Starting Act-ACCCELATOR (anti-hitting new crown pneumonia tool accelerator)、Covax。These measures do help fill the vaccine supply gap in developing countries,But,It is not enough to use these measures,Especially when demand far exceeds supply。People are increasingly worried about,In all countries, I really realize that "unless everyone is safe,Otherwise, no one is safe "before,This flow disease may continue to spread,The situation facing developing countries may also be more difficult。This will exacerbate global inequality,Delay the global economic recovery。

In this background,India and China as a member of the world's largest emerging economies and BRICS countries,Play positive roles of "Global Pharmacy" and "Anti -Epidemic Hardware Supplier"。Especially China,In addition to successfully controlling the epidemic in China,Also provide a large number of masks to global hotspots、Gloves、Shoe Cover、Testing the test kit and vaccine,Help many people who are in the deep water and the hot people have gone out of the predicament。All of this proves the importance of China as a "world factory"。

BRICS countries spent collectively as early as 2021,Indicates adherence to multilateralism and supports the World Health Organization to play a leading role。Some scholars' studies have stated,Although the members of the BRICS countries have implemented different new coronary pneumonia epidemic intervention measures,But the facts prove,China's epidemic containment strategy is far more effective than the "intermediate strategy" adopted by India and South Africa and the "relief strategy" implemented by Brazil and Russia.。So,We need to emphasize the role model of China as a leading economy in the BRICS countries。BRICS Fifth Kingdom,China's economic structure and system are the most stable。During the fight against the new crown pneumonia,China has been economical、Trade、Finance and other fields to provide assistance to other BRICS countries。BRICS mechanism can continue to show toughness and vitality,BRICS cooperation has achieved good progress and results,The contribution with China is inseparable。

China and India are the world's big country,Emerging economies with huge volume,At the same time, it is also two adjacent countries。In recent years,Both parties in economic and trade cooperation、Humanities exchange、Exchange in the fields of high -level communication is increasingly frequent。On the diplomatic position,There are many similarity in the two countries。China pursues non -interference in domestic affairs、Respect the sovereignty and territorial integrity of various countries、Ensure that mutual respect among the country,Foreign policy to achieve win -win cooperation in all parties。Regardless of the size of the country、bet365 Play online games Strong and weak、rich and poor,China supports countries with equal status and rights in international affairs。Similarly,India also implements foreign policy to maintain the country's "independence" or "autonomy"。Under such policy guidance,Both countries are committed to trying to repair the existing leakage of global governance,BRICS countries represented by China and India will undoubtedly play an important role in effectively improving global governance。

 Reduce "China Dependence" is not feasible

"China Social Sciences": Before you analyzed some dilemma faced by some developing countries and emerging economies。In the case of difficult economic recovery in most developing countries,China still maintains the stability and sustainable development of the domestic economy,What do you think of this?

Hamende Adelaka: Since the reform and opening up,China's GDP not only continues to grow at an average annual rate of 9%,And China has successfully removed hundreds of millions of people get rid of extreme poverty。2008,Under the background of the global financial crisis,China's GDP growth rate is maintained above 6.5%,Get rid of the so -called "secondary income trap"。The difference between China's economic growth and other emerging economies and developing countries is,Get rid of the so -called "secondary income trap"、Low -cost manufacturing and export,But China quickly overcome the economy brought by the previous growth model、Challenges of social and environmental problems and income gaps。other,Between many aspects between the economic model that fails to grow rapidly、Large -scale emerging economies that cannot bridge the gap between urban and rural areas and the gap between the rich and the poor,China has achieved impressive structural transformation,Models that turn from exported growth model to "manufacturing+consumption"。

other,China passes trade、Investment、Infrastructure cooperation and assistance,It has increased its influence on other developed economies including BRICS countries。I think,China has great toughness and flexibility in adjustment of structural reforms,This is injecting vitality for more balanced high -quality growth,Make the socialist market economy with Chinese characteristics have a unique advantage。

"China Social Sciences": You have published an article "Global Economy: Reducing" relying on China "is unrealistic,It is also not feasible ",Can you introduce the main views in your article?

Hymend Adelaka: China is not only the world's second largest economy,It also has the world's largest production and supply chain。Any country,Including the United States,Nothing can make your economy decimenize with China。Macro data display,The scale and increase in China's attractive foreign investment are leading positions,The momentum is very strong。The year of a major blow to the new crown pneumonia epidemic in major western economies,China's foreign direct investment (FDI) growth will not decline。For example,The total amount of FDI that flowed into China in 2021 was about 173 billion U.S. dollars,increased by about 20%over the previous year。According to the Organization Data,The largest inflow of the global FDI in the first Bet365 lotto review quarter of 2022 is China,Total FDI, which flowed into China in the first eight months of 2022, increased by 16.4%year -on -year。

Former US President Trump has continuously adopted an aggressive trade policy during his term,Try to turn "Made in China" into "Made in China",Some Western countries also attempts to transfer its supply chain from China to Vietnam and India。Recent,A leading contract manufacturer told the South China Morning Post,"The key incentives for establishing manufacturing capabilities in Vietnam and India and other countries are reduced tariffs。But,‘Vietnamese manufacturing’ or ‘Indian manufacturing’ can never replace ‘Made in China’,can only be used as an extension of ‘Made in China’。Indian media quoted industry experts,Although some smartphones and technology companies establish a manufacturing base outside China,But this process "is not transferred to the supply chain,Copy in China’s supply chain "。When answering whether India can replace China to become a world factory,A report from the Indian Financial Newspaper "Mint" states: "India has a strong dependence on China。More than 1/4 of the added value of India's export comes from China。In the past 20 years,India's dependence on China has been continuously enhanced。”

Now,The focus of the world economic system has gradually shifted from developed countries to developing countries,Especially to transfer to developing countries in Asia,China plays an important leading role in it。But as Kennis Rogfe said,The rise of China is not "mirage",The huge success in China is not just based on the huge population scale。The great achievements of China in the past few decades should be attributed to the decision -making layer of China。I believe,China is growing through its own development, benefiting, and even the world。

Editor in charge: Chen Jing
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