Asia in November can be described as the "Summit Season"。After the 40th and 41st ASEAN Summit and East Asia Cooperation Leadership Series held in Cambodia,November 15-16,The 17th Summit of the Leaders of the G20 (G20) of the 20th Group (G20) was held in Bali, Indonesia。Then,November 18-19,The 29th Leadership Meeting of the Asia -Pacific Economic Cooperation Organization (APEC) is held in Bangkok, Thailand。
Repeated delay in the current new crown pneumonia、Tension of global geopolitical situation、In the context of increasing economic downward pressure,This G20 summit is due to the gathers of the world and region、Focus on the theme of global recovery, which has attracted much attention。Although the summit has been closed,Discussion on it continues。This summit is after the 20th victory of the Communist Party of China,The first multilateral summit attended by the Supreme Leader of China,It is also the first offline summit held by the G20 national leaders after three years。During the summit,Chinese President Xi Jinping carried out a series of important heads of heads of head of state,Published an important speech entitled "Challenge the Time Challenge the Time",Remove the active resonance of the international community。The international academic community also expresses deeper expectations for China's role in G20。Dilemma in the current global development and governance,Topics such as real multilateralism and Chinese role,The reporter interviewed relevant international scholars。In the interview,Many scholars said,The world looks forward to real multilateralism,Looking forward to China's continuous played active role in G20,To deepen the global epidemic cooperation、Cracking new hopes for cracked global development。
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President of the International Monetary Fund Gionerkeva recently said,The global economy is experiencing a "fundamental change",From the world of "relatively predictable" to a "more vulnerable" world。The critical moment standing at the crossroads of the world,This G20 summit revolves around "common recovery、Strong Recovery "Theme Expand Dialogue,can be described as just right。
Talking about the current bet365 live casino games global economic status,Xiong Aizong, deputy director of the Global Governance Research Office of the World Economic and Political Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told reporters,The weakness of global economic recovery has become recognized,Multiple international institutions have continuously reduced the expected data of global economic growth。Just one month ago at the summit,World Bank estimation,2023 The world may move towards global economic recession。At the same time,geopolitical risks、Fed's currency policy tightening, etc., also bring a negative impact on the global economy。
Professor Marcos Cordeiro Pires, a professor at the Department of International Political Economics, St. Paulo State University, Brazil, talked in an interview with reporters,Factors affecting the current situation of the global economic recovery are mainly: First, the epidemic situation of new crown pneumonia will undoubtedly make the global economy more vulnerable,The emergence of new strains means that new restrictions must be taken。Second, the frequent weather incidents in recent years,Make some countries experiencing floods、Drought、Glacier melting、Sea level rising、Forest Fire、Tragedy caused by typhoons and hurricanes。Many people lose their lives or are forced to be displaced,The cost of reconstruction after the disaster is also increasing。Third, the Ukrainian crisis leads to an increase in uncertainty in the international situation,For global food、Energy prices have an impact。Fourth, the problem of global inflation that continues at high level is inhibiting global household consumption demand,and the Fed's high interest rate policy will reduce the liquidity of the global financial market,and forced other central banks to raise interest rates,This will deepen the world economic recession。
Kevin P. Gallagher, director of the Global Development Policy Research Center of Boston University in the United States,The world today is undergoing rare changes and adjustments,International turmoil and tensions are weakening the world's countries to promote economic prosperity、Social tolerance and climate toughness The ability to mobilize resources。"It can be said,Currently is the most challenging moment facing the global economy this century,Whether we take action and what action do we take will directly affect the development of this century。"" Gragell's summary。
G20 discourse rights in developing countries still need to be improved
bet365 Play online games G20's decision -making influence has been significantly improved in recent years,I have a point of view, think,G20 played on the topic of global economic governance issues similar to the role of the United Nations Security Council on global peace and security issues。Especially when the global economic and international situation is increasingly increasing,G20's role is increasingly valued。
For this,Xiong Aizong said,G20 includes the world's major developed economies and emerging market economies,Total economy accounts for about 85%of global。2008 G20 leaders summit was held,It marks that the G7 governance pattern of the original economy as the main body can no longer adapt to the current world economic pattern change,It is also increasingly weak in solving global problems,and the establishment of the G20 makes the Lord Emerging Market Economy also participate in the process of global governance。The polarization of the world today has become an irreversible general trend,G20 The importance of exceeding G7 is the inevitable of history。
"But,Although G20 gradually replaces G7 to become the main forum for international economic cooperation,However,G7 is still the main agenda setter at the global level,to a large extent affects the agenda direction of G20。Especially in the coordination of macroeconomic policy、Financial supervision reform and other aspects,The role of emerging economies in the formulation of G20 agenda is still weak,The overflowing effect of the ruling and easing policy that the emerging economy has always cared about,I have never received the attention that it deserves。But in the future, with the continuous rise in economic strength of developing countries and the continuous accumulation of governance experience,Its decision -making influence and right to speak in G20 will gradually rise。"Xiong Aizong said。
Gragel thinks,G20 is more tolerant than G7 and Western international financial institutions。If the African Union and the Development of the African Union are welcome to join the group,So it will become stronger。Unfortunately,The current geopolitical tension situation and deadlock limit the efficiency of G20 to play it during the financial crisis from 2008 to 2009。G20 members need to expand the scale,Increase investment。
Prester further pointed out,Although the influence of developing countries represented by China has increased in today's world pattern,But the influence of the United States and its allies still exists in international order。bet365 Play online games Except in Western Europe、Latin America and Asia Pacific have strong military power and political influence,The strong financial strength of the United States is easy to bring global economic fluctuations。This specific manifestation is: the Fed's interest rate hike impacts the exchange rate of important national currency; the United States imposes financial sanctions on Russia by cutting off the SWIFT international settlement system;、The actual control of important international economic organizations such as the World Bank and the WTO (eg,Because the United States does not agree with the WTO dispute settlement committee's return appointment of one of the members, the institution's function is paralyzed)。Now,With the strengthening of new connections between developing countries,The world structure is gradually evolving and reshaping,But the profound changes in the global status still need time。
"Chinese figure" in G20
The G20 Summit passed the "Declaration of the Bali Summit of the Group of Twenty Groups",Each member country proposes some rescue support plans for the many crises faced by underdeveloped countries and regions,Some western powers have also passed their own development propositions at the summit。Some analysts think,Fund preparation、Fiscal relief、The reform of the financial institution reform is repeatedly on the schedule by Western powers,However, it is repeatedly put on hold by life。As described in the European Times,Back "G20 Time",There are many bright and shining strong sounds in the main tone,Show the courage and confidence of solving the problem of recovery in the international community,But there are some dull noise,During the subject of the meeting,Eclipse the efforts that people rebuild a beautiful world。
As an important member of G20,China has repeatedly stated on this platform to clarify the feasible measures and long -term strategies that revive global development,and dedicated to promoting G20 member cooperation、Maintenance G20 development mechanism。A few days ago,The Eastern State Indonesia's "Jakarta Post" published "The Presence of China in China in ASEAN and G20",China is a country that has made important contributions to peaceful and economic growth for the ASEAN and global peace and economic growth.。China has played a prominent role in ASEAN and G20,Chinese vaccine helps many countries to recover from the crisis of new crown pneumonia,Many countries, especially ASEAN countries, bet365 Play online games can re -open the border。China shows the image of a responsible great country on the G20 platform,G20 can become the best framework for China to participate in global governance。2008,China actively coordinates the macroeconomic economy in the G20 framework,and promote the global economy from the financial crisis。China also calls on the voting rights of developing countries in the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.,To carry out the reform of the international financial system。
Gragel Comments,Under the background of the current world economy encountered against the wind and the developing country is the first background,China is doing their best to enhance the development of developing countries in the G20。At this summit,China clearly expresses the support of the African alliance to join G20,Promoting G20 is in production、Collection and storage、Funds、Technology and other aspects provide necessary support for developing countries,and oppose the food、Politicalization of energy problems、Toolization、Weaponization。President Xi Jinping pointed out at this G20 summit,"We must pay more attention to development issues than ever before",and put forward "We must promote more tolerance、More inclusive、More tough global development "。This has released an important signal to the world -the development problem has become the key issues and urgency of today's world。China proposed the "Global Development Initiative"、Create Global Development and South -South Cooperation Fund、Increase a series of measures such as China -United Nations Peace and Development Fund,All show China's determination to solve the problem of global development。"In addition,China's own development -especially its domestic economic growth -is the biggest development success story of this century。China has many experiences in how to plan new growth paths to share with other countries in the world。"Garrat said。
Effectiveness of improving multilateralism
A serious bottleneck encountered in the global economy、Global governance "Development deficit" climb again,Scholars have said,G20 should strengthen policy coordination、Performing duties in response to risks and crisis,And the international community should persevere in a rational cooperation view to solve the "collective difficulties"。
Gragel thinks,The multilateral system led by developed countries such as the United States since World War II played a role in promoting global development。But,must be pointed out,The current multilateral bet365 live casino games system has failed in many circumstances,For example, insufficient effectiveness in the actual challenges faced by developing countries。In view of this,G20 member states should be committed to restoring real multilateralism。
Prester also expressed similar views。He thinks,It is necessary to improve the efficiency of multilateralism in solving practical problems。In recent years,BRICS countries have made great progress in promoting the practice of multilateralism,Rehabilitation of the share distribution of the International Monetary Fund,New Development Bank,and established a series of cooperative relationships between member states。"The partnership between China and the AFC is another example of promoting development with actual actions。,The international community should increase help to develop countries that are most affected by extreme weather events,Support it to restore the forest、Production renewable energy、Constructing the green economy industry chain。I think China is fully capable of leading this process。”
In Gragel,To change the development concept proposed by President Xi Jinping into reality,The important point is that G20 strengthens the construction of global financial security networks in the anti -crisis plan。This can be achieved by "recycling" the newly issued international currency fund organization from developed economies to poor countries and other methods.。Another,G20 should give full play to the role of developing countries to reduce debt,Add Basic Capital of Multilateral Development Bank,Implementing the summit's suggestion on maximizing development bank loan space and "Common Decepted Debt Treatment Common Debt Treatment Common Framework",and carry out a large number of sovereign debt restructuring。
"To some extent,Economic globalization, which has been developing rapidly in the past 40 years, faces unprecedented bottlenecks today。Many times,The world is developing in the direction of deepening international integration,This is trying to rebuild the Cold War with some western powers、Re -implementation of isolation protectionist policy related。An example is,In recent years, the Washington elite class has been formulated by formulating his sexual industrial policy、Measures such as industrial decoupling,Resisting Chinese semiconductor technology,and try to block China's development,From this further exacerbated the problems facing the global supply chain。These Bet365 lotto review facts make it more difficult to seek long -term international cooperation and understanding。It is worth noting that it is,Since the 21st century,The global economic center of gravity has been transferred to the Asia -Pacific region,China becomes the most powerful regional engine。To get rid of the crisis facing today,The rapid recovery of Asia is important。In this regard,The importance of RCEP should be fully attached to RCEP as the example of regional cooperation and trade convenience。"Pipres supplements。
"The world today is experiencing 'Asia Century',But the multiple crises and tensions in the past three years have not only threatened 'Asian Moment',It also threatens global prosperity。The increasingly close connection between countries around the world,Unstable or economic conflicts in any region may spread to other parts of the world。With 2023-2025 G20 summit rotate chairman country will be from India、Brazil and South Africa,G20 can better play the role of promoting coordination and responding to the global economic crisis。"" Garragel summary。
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