2017,William MacAskill, a philosopher from Oxford University in the United Kingdom, proposed "long-termism",That is, positively influencing the bet365 mobile betting should be the most important issue worthy of current social attention。This concept has been embraced by like-minded philosophers and supporters of the "effective altruism" movement since its introduction。Effective Altruism is committed to the use of analytical reasoning,Think about how to maximize the benefits of limited resources to improve the world from all aspects of life,Long-termism is closely related to effective altruism。
Recently,The concept of long-termism has leapt from philosophical discussion to popular news headlines。August 2022,MacAskill publishes his book on long-termism, "What We Owe the bet365 mobile betting",Received widespread attention from all walks of life。November 2022,Long-termist supporter Sam Bankman-Fried’s company collapses,This gives long-termism more media focus。
Definition of bet365 mobile betting and its practice
MacAskill initially actively advocated effective altruism,That is, using rational and empirical methods to maximize the use of time, money and other resources to help others。In the process of taking practical action to help improve the world,He had an idea: people in the bet365 mobile betting are important,This is the core of the concept of long-termism。He said,Long-termism is not just an abstract concept。Just like people's decisions can have lifelong consequences,The decisions humans make in this century will also affect the long-term bet365 mobile betting of humanity。Long-termism believes,The challenges facing mankind in the bet365 mobile betting may affect the trajectory of human civilization,Because of this,People should look at the entire length of human destiny to deal with challenges。
MacAskill said,Many social movements are fighting for more rights for disadvantaged members of society,Effective altruism focuses on equality at the spatial level,That is, no matter where people are,Both should be equally concerned about their well-being。Long-termism extends this thinking to time,That is, no matter when people are in the world,Both be equally concerned about their welfare。People care about climate change、The impact of radioactive nuclear waste and resource depletion,Not only because these problems affect human contemporary life,Also because they affect the lives of bet365 mobile betting generations of mankind。
He said,Despite the long history of mankind,But from the perspective of human destiny,We may only be standing at the starting point of history。Therefore,We must first ensure that mankind has a bet365 mobile betting,Secondly, we must try our best to ensure that this bet365 mobile betting is as good as possible。There are many ways to promote sustainable development throughout history,From reforestation to visionary guidance on moral values,The impact of these initiatives continues to this day,Today we still need to continue to take active measures to shape a better bet365 mobile betting。
To this,He proposed,The first step is to reduce the risk of human extinction。Human beings must ensure that bet365 mobile betting generations still have a chance to survive,Irresponsible actions can lead to human extinction。One of the biggest threats right now comes from epidemics,The epidemic has made people fully aware of the dangers of infectious diseases。MacAskill thinks,Humans continue to encroach on natural habitats,This increases the risk of disease transmission from animals to humans,The possibility of infectious diseases will be greater in the bet365 mobile betting。According to prediction,More than 95% of the world’s population in this century has a much higher risk of dying from infectious diseases than from fires、The sum of the probabilities of drowning and murder。Therefore,Long-termism advocates believe,You can take action now to reduce the risk,For example, scholars at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in the United States have begun to develop virus observation projects and human-safe disinfection equipment for epidemic diseases。
Despite the rapid development of biotechnology,Human beings can develop corresponding vaccines,Protect the body from disease,But MacAskill still emphasized the need to be wary of the risks of technological development。For example,The development of biotechnology has also given humans the ability to create new pathogens,Become a biological weapon with huge destructive power。Artificial intelligence is also an example he often mentions,In the bet365 mobile betting, artificial intelligence may surpass humans,So people are working hard to ensure the security of artificial intelligence systems。For example,Professor Stuart Russell, a scholar at the University of California, Berkeley, founded the Center for Human-Compatible Artificial Intelligence,Ensuring that AI is consistent with human goals。
The second step is to promote the vigorous development of bet365 mobile betting civilization,This can be achieved by improving social values。Activists and thinkers in history,Already passed the fight for democracy、Social movements such as the rights of people of color and women’s suffrage,Progress has been made on the values level。We can continue to improve on this basis,Leave a better world for bet365 mobile betting generations。
The concept of long-termism is being recognized by more people,More and more people are willing to donate to causes that will benefit bet365 mobile betting generations,There are also mainstream foundations that have begun to prioritize matters related to shaping a better bet365 mobile betting。The United Nations released the "Our Common Agenda" report in 2021,Proposed "Now is the time to plan for the long term,Delivering more results for youth and bet365 mobile betting generations,Be better prepared for bet365 mobile betting challenges”,And proposed to hold a "bet365 mobile betting Summit",Focus on bet365 mobile betting generations。
There are also many higher education institutions and scholars who have joined the research on long-termism,The issues studied by scholars focus on how to reduce the risks that may be faced in the bet365 mobile betting,Including "How long does it take for artificial intelligence to develop from being controlled by humans to being superior to humans?What’s the next step?”“What is the possibility of recovery after the collapse of human civilization?”“What drives moral progress?How to prevent bad values?”“How to effectively deal with risks?”etc.。MacAskill said,We have a responsibility to answer these questions correctly,Leave a beautiful and just world for bet365 mobile betting generations,A world that can thrive for millions of years to come。
Focus on the bet365 mobile betting is full of controversy
Katie Steele, Associate Professor of Philosophy, Australian National University said,Long-termism is the same as effective altruism,Generally targeted、Purpose-driven action,Committed to helping humans avoid a specific risk in the bet365 mobile betting,They are also controversial because of this。
Eric Schwitzgebel, professor of philosophy at the University of California, Riverside, questions long-termism。He thinks,bet365 mobile betting risks are difficult to predict,The nuclear war now feared by advocates of long-termism、Artificial Intelligence、Infectious diseases and other issues,Completely unimaginable a century ago,Similarly, our current predictions of the real crises we will face in the next century may not be reliable。Therefore,He thinks,Instead of focusing on the distant bet365 mobile betting,It makes more sense to focus on the present and the near bet365 mobile betting。He said: "In Confucian ethics,People should care most about their close relatives,The second is distant relatives,Neighbors again,Then the wider compatriots...the same,I will be very concerned about the society and world I live in now,Very concerned about the world a hundred years after my death,Of course, there is much less concern about the world ten thousand or even one million years from now。”
Schwitzgebel said,One of the risks of long-termism is excessive focus on the extremely distant bet365 mobile betting,Because this may cause people’s needs and interests to be ignored。Steele also raised a similar question,That is, something that has a 1% chance of helping a trillion people in the bet365 mobile betting,With one thing that will surely help a billion people now,Which thing is better?When life is threatened,Appropriate risk avoidance is an important philosophical issue,This involves the authority of prediction: we need to take response actions for potential disasters,But what is the probability of it happening?
About this,MacAskill explains,At present, only a very small part of the energy and resources that humans invest in promoting the prospects for a better bet365 mobile betting,For example,The BWC’s annual budget is less than the revenue of an average McDonald’s restaurant。Due to the fact that humans currently pay very little attention to the interests of bet365 mobile betting generations,So as long as social attention increases slightly,All are enough to have a transformative impact。What’s more important,Preparing for the long-term bet365 mobile betting,There are also benefits in the short term。For example,Work now for the bet365 mobile betting on how to prevent and treat epidemic diseases,It can also save the lives of modern people;Using clean energy can help mitigate bet365 mobile betting climate change,Also reduces the number of people who now die each year from fossil fuel-related air pollution,And this number can reach 3.6 million people per year。
Let bet365 mobile betting thinking be everyone’s business
Steele said,Although the potential bet365 mobile betting threats raised by long-termism are not fantasy,But still be cautious when making predictions,That is, if long-termism is rash when predicting possible threats in the bet365 mobile betting,It will inevitably attract widespread criticism。She added,Because the measures proposed by long-termism are very clearly directed at a specific threat,So we should be more cautious when proposing relevant initiatives,Because often indirectly specified strategies may better improve the world's ability to deal with bet365 mobile betting challenges。For example,Promote human unity、Strengthening the construction of international institutions, etc.。
She also proposed,There are many interesting and probing guidelines in long-termism,The novelty does not lie in instructing humans on what measures to take,It’s about prompting bet365 mobile betting to reflect on the reasons behind the decision。The core principle of effective altruism is,No matter how hard we try to maximize our common interests,We should all do as much good as possible,The same is true for long-termism。The final decision of these theories may make some bet365 mobile betting agree,But it may also make some bet365 mobile betting think it is counterintuitive。Steele Suggestions,This is a great opportunity,It can allow a wider group of bet365 mobile betting to begin to reflect on how a particular decision should be viewed,How to analyze the moral and empirical support behind it,Is there a better choice based on these evidences?。Steele said,Philosophers are thinking about problems,Habit of making assumptions and considering extreme scenarios,bet365 mobile betting’s philosophical reflections can supplement the thinking of philosophers。
The long-term movement presents extreme bet365 mobile betting threats to people,Let people realize that these issues are closely related to them,Thus prompting people to take the initiative to engage in philosophical reflection。Humanity is currently facing many crises,Such as climate change and large-scale loss of biodiversity,There is not enough time left for humans to deal with these problems。Long-termism promotes people to take the initiative to engage in philosophical thinking,It will help people better understand the threats faced by mankind now and in the bet365 mobile betting and the significance of corresponding decisions。
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