September 24, 2019，President Perosi announced，Because Trump is suspected of "Tongwu Men" incident，The House of Representatives will launch a formal impeachment survey。Trump became the fourth president of the impeachment procedure in American history。

According to the constitutional regulations of 1787，The main content of the U.S. President's impeachment system includes: first，The power of the impeachment case can only be exercised by Congress。Where，The House of Representatives exercises the power of impeaching the president，Senate exercise the power to review the case of impeachment president。Second，The standard of impeachment president is: the country、Bringing or other felony and light crimes。third，The impeachment procedure and the legal disposal of the impeachment president。Mainly: the House of Representatives must successfully initiate impeachment，Need to exceed 1/2 of the votes; when the Senate conducts a presidential impeachment case,，The Chief Judge of the Supreme Court as the chairman; if it is determined to be "guilty", you must get 2/3 votes attending the senators，The judgment is also limited to the rights such as exemption and deprivation of post -office office。

bet365 live casino games February 1868，The impeachment of the then President Andrew Johnson was rejected because the difference between the difference in the constitutional regulations did not reach the constitutional regulation; The president who resigned from the stage; in 1999, the Clinton was launched for the "zipper door" incident，Final，The impeachment case was rejected by the Senate。

​​If the victory of Johnson in 1868 clarified the principle of "Congress cannot impeach the president because the president's policy"，Then the victory of Clinton in 1999 clarified that "the principle of" Congress cannot impeach the president because of political or personal behavior "。American voters hold prudential and conservative attitude on the issue of impeaching president。The issue of impeachment President of the United States，Mild attitude of "guilty without impeachment"，It can also be said to form a convention。

Trump's unique campaign、Governance method makes him different from other presidents very distinguished。Trump is deeply influenced by the political philosophy of American pragmatism，Foreign policy presents "exit", "stubborn" and "unilateral" features。So，Experts and scholars do not regard Trump as "a president"，Instead, he attributed him to "one type of president"，Other presidents are classified as "another category"。From Trump's diplomatic "retreat" policy to the announcement of "national emergency status"，Its alternative image is fully confirmed。

The relevant polls of Bet365 lotto review the "Water Gate Incident" in the 1970s showed that more than 50%of the investigations were considered guilty of Nixon，But more than 50%of them tend to not impeach Nixon; 1998-1999 to the impeachment of Clinton，Half of the respondents believe that he is "guilty"，But 70%of the people tend to be impeached。On the issue of the impeachment of the president，The people are relatively conservative as "guilty without impeachment"。Since Trump's ruling，American voters have shown a bold and differentiated attitude on the presidential impeachment issue。Relatively conservative attitudes from "guilty without impeachment" to "innocence and impeachment" actively change。Whether Trump is impeached or not，This is undoubtedly unfavorable to him。

With the approaching US presidential election in 2020，Starting investigation on Trump's impeachment will definitely have an impact on the election。Trump as a job president，announced the re -election in June 2019，It has become the only candidate for the President of the Republican Party next year; the Democratic Party now has Biden、Sanders and Elizabeth Wallen 3 candidates，Among them, the support of the former Vice President Biden led the other two firsts。According to the current situation，The next election of next year may be the dispute between Trump and Biden's two seventies of the elderly。Based on the 2020 presidential election consideration，Biden, as the Democratic Party's Bet365 lotto review "leader", will definitely get Trump "care"。In the "Tongwu Men" incident, Trump intentionally or unintentionally "approximately 8 times" to put pressure on Ukrainian President Zeleki，On the grounds of threatening the detention of military assistance，President Ukraine investigates whether there is an improper behavior in Biden's father and son，The purpose is to suppress Biden's campaign momentum。

"Tong Russia Gate" survey report was announced after the announcement, the polls showed that the Republican party's support rate did not decrease and rises。This is enlarged and used for Trump，Fierce humiliation of the Democrat。I am unique，Clinton was launched after the impeachment，Data also shows that its support rate has increased significantly。"Tongwumen" incident was exposed，Trump shows people with the image of "political persecution"，The campaign team calls on supporters to form a joint force，Use the way to increase the amount of donation to the Democratic Party’s non -difficulty。This indicates that if the Democrats are not grasped well，It is likely to affect yourself。

Since Trump's ruling，The polarization tendency of political party politics is particularly prominent in real political operation。After the mid -term election in 2018，Democratic Party began to control the House of Representatives (235 seats，A total of 435 seats)，But the Senate is still controlled by the Republican Party (53 seats，100 seats Bet365 app download in total)。Therefore, even if the impeachment is launched in the House of Representatives，The impeachment clause may be vetoed by the Senate directly，The possibility of successful impeachment Trump is not high。

but，Trump's administration has deepened the Republican Party's internal struggle and differentiation。July this year，Republican Governor Schokus publicly accused Trump accusing Trump's not suitable for leaders; 2012 Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney said，Trump's behavior is "Shameless and unprecedented、Error and appalling "。According to the US "News Weekly" report，Former Senator Jeff Freke predicted: "If it is anonymous voting，At least 35 Republican Senators voted to support impeachment Trump。"Difficulty time，The Republican camp "anti -water" continues，It is undoubtedly worse for Trump。

Due to the fierce competition of political party politics，Development of the division of American society to extremeization，The situation that caused the interests of the party's faction。

The administrative power of the president and the legislative power of the parliament as the two most important powers，Balance and competition run through the consistent of US politics。In 1868, President Johnson failed，The Senate confirmed the constitutional system of separation of administrative and presidential power with a specific impeachment case。From a historical perspective，Presidential power gradually expands，Bet365 lotto review Parliament power gradually micro。In the 1970s Nixon's administration period，Presidential power reaches the peak。and then gradually decrease，Bush Due to the "9 · 11 Incident"，Presidential power rebound。After Trump was elected president，Repair "Great Wall" from the Border of the United States and Mexico、Performing the "Retirement Group" policy、Announced entering the "National Emergency Status"，Then go to the current impeachment survey，Full of disputes between the power of the president and parliament。Facing the "Alternative President"，Starting the impeachment procedure may be the effective curb of the increasingly expanded presidential power。

The current public opinion foundation of impeaching Trump has not formed，People are still relatively conservative on the issue of impeaching president，If the Democratic Party insists on promoting or hurting itself。But the polls in early October show that the support rate for presidential impeachment (46%) is higher than the impeachment opposition rate (44.8%)。If Trump faces the pressure of impeachment，Open the "Self -Destruction Mode"，It may greatly increase the probability of impeachment。

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(Author Unit: Political Culture Research Center of Baoding College)