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To maintain strategic fixed force,Concentrate to do your own thing。We must have confidence in our own development,It is also necessary to realize that the structural contradictions between China and the United States will not be eliminated for a long period of time,It may even intensify sharply。
This year's two sessions were held in a very special background。On the one hand,Affected by the epidemic of new crown pneumonia,The two sessions are postponed,The meeting period is significantly shortened compared to previous years,"Government Work Report" is only about 10,000 words,The shortest since the reform and opening up。Although the space is short,But facing the epidemic challenge,Plan for the future,Macroeconomic goals inspire people。On the other hand,The epidemic of the new crown pneumonia is still raging globally,United States、Brazil has become the most serious country in the most serious country。
Sino -US relations are facing severe tests
Facing the World Public Health Crisis that has never been encountered for a century,China and the United States should have watched each other for help,Cooperative response。but,The panic caused by the spread of the epidemic sentiment provides the United States with the opportunity to attack China for the United States,Sino -US relations are facing the most severe test for more than 40 years of diplomatic relations。
After Trump in 2017,Gradually determined the tone of the strategic competition between China and the United States,With the whole government、Method of the whole society,Make comprehensive curbs to China。China and the United States are economic trade、Technology、Humanities exchange,and Hong Kong -related、Taiwan -related、Anti -Xinjiang and other issues intensified。
The United States has a very complicated reasons and background for the great adjustment of the US policy in China。
First,Changes in the comparison of the power of China and the United States。In the past 40 years,The overall situation of the comparison of the power of China and the United States is the weak and weak。But,This situation has accelerated the fundamental turning of the fundamentalist bet365 best casino games in recent years。China is in the economy、Technology、Military aspects continue to catch up,The strength gap between China and the United States is gradually narrowing,This is the fundamental factor that caused changes in Sino -US relations。As the strength of the two countries is getting closer,China is becoming more and more confident in the exchanges of the United States,The United States is becoming more and more anxious,This kind of anxiety is in the US strategic industry、Political circles are becoming more common emotions。
2,The United States worry about China's future development direction。Different political systems between China and the United States,Anti -communism is deeply fixed in the United States。In recent years,The development direction of Chinese politics makes American decision makers and policy analysts deeply worry。In their opinion,The socialist market economy adheres to China is incompatible with the free market economy in the United States。China's political system and development path are attractive to more and more developing countries,Challenge the Western ideology and political system。May 20, 2020,The White House released a report entitled "The Strategic Policy of the United States to the People's Republic of China",This report is guided by "principled realism",Explaining the Trump administration's guiding principles and specific methods of guiding strategic competition in China。Report thinks,In the past 40 years,The United States thinks that as long as it expands the open market、Increase investment in China、Allow China to contact the US high -tech、Training military personnel,can make China go liberalization,But it has always underestimated the willingness of China's control of economic and political reform。The policy of contact with China has not reached the purpose of the United States' expectation to allow China。The Trump administration adopts the way to compete with China。The conclusion of the report is,The United States recognizes the long -term strategic competition between the two systems,It will continue to safeguard their own interests in the form of "whole government -whole society"。
third,The United States "Lost Theory"。Some Americans think,The United States is the victim of Sino -US trade。Increase trade deficit to China,The market Bet365 app download access of both parties is not equal,Make the United States "lose 500 billion US dollars to China each year" and "loses millions of manufacturing positions in the United States"。In their opinion,The Chinese government supports domestic enterprises (especially state -owned enterprises) with "unfair means",Make American companies in a unfavorable position。The United States increases pressure on China,It is intended to force China to further open the market,Pressing China's competitiveness in high -tech fields,To obtain more profits。
Fourth,The domestic wave of globalization and right -wing populist forces look up,Provides Trump's tough policy for China。In recent years,The gap between the rich and the poor in the United States expands,Ethnic conflicts deepen,Survage forces of populism,Political polarization intensified。2008,The financial crisis has caused the US economy to be hit hard,exacerbated the differentiation of the rich and the poor。The United States used to be a promoter of globalization,But,Development of the past few decades,The low -income group does not share the globalization bonus。To reduce costs,American companies have outsourcing,The American industry appears hollow,The manufacturing industry has severely declined; the influxing foreign immigrants have impacted the domestic labor market。Trump's supporters are mostly white blue -collar workers,Since the financial crisis in 2008, their situation has deteriorated。They oppose globalization and international trade,accusing China of stealing their work。Trump's "U.S. First" and "Make the United States Great" slogan,Take a tough policy for China,It is intended to win the support of this part of the voters。
Fifth,Global New Crown Pneumonia Epidemium is popular,Make the already severe Sino -US relations worse。The spread of the epidemic brings panic,Promoting the Trump administration to "decoupling" with China and China,Make the "decoupling theory" further heating。The Hua Eagle School is promoting the return of American manufacturing companies with the help of an epidemic,Especially reducing dependence on China。March 22, 2020,Trump announced the launch of the National Defense Production Law。This method gives the presidential permissions,Require private enterprises to produce essential supplies Bet365 lotto review for national production,Provide loans to the production of related materials and buy it directly。The start of the bill provides an institutional guarantee for the Trump administration forcibly forcibly "decoupling"。March 27, 2020,Trump appointed Navarro, who advocated the "decoupling" of the Sino -US economy, coordinates the Federal Government's "National Defense Production Law"。
The international pattern is undergoing profound and complex changes
The Trump administration is in the economy、A number of measures are taken in the field of science and technology and humanistic exchanges,Try to make parts of China and the United States and even comprehensively "decoupling"。The specific methods are mainly in the following aspects。
First,Accelerate the industrial chain "de -Chinaization"。First, exclude high -tech and military -related products made of components made in China,Eliminate Chinese companies from communication infrastructure at the same time; the second is to increase investment in Chinese companies in the United States、M & A review; third, encourage and attract American companies to evacuate China。
2,Promote the "decourse" of finance。The Sino -US trade war has gradually extended from the economic and trade field to the financial field,Increasing the supervision of Chinese capital in the United States。May 20, 2020,The US Senate passed the "Foreign Holding Company Accountability Act",It is forbidden for any company to be listed on the US Stock Exchange for three consecutive years that failed to comply with the audit provisions of the accounting supervision committee of the US listed company。This move is generally considered to be a sword refers to China。This bill is since the epidemic of new coronary pneumonia,Democratic Republican parties for the first time in the Senate's action on China。The bill also needs to be submitted to the House of Representatives for review、President can take effect after signing the president。
third,Technology and humanities "decoupling"。From the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States to 2017 Trump,Sino -US science and technology relations are generally in the situation of cooperation。Since the 21st century,As China joins the WTO,Scientific and technological cooperation in the Chinese and American folk fields significantly warmed。Starting from Obama's second term,Part of Bet365 lotto review the contradiction in the field of technology in China and the United States began to appear,Among them, the most prominent is the China -US network security problem。After Trump came to power,major changes in the US policy in the United States,The differences between the two countries in the field of science and technology have also increased significantly。At the end of 2017,The Trump administration released the new version of the "National Security Strategy" report,Accusations of "stealing American intellectual property rights",Requires to limit "China's mergers and acquisitions in the field of sensitive technology"。Since then,The United States has obviously increased intervention in Sino -US scientific and technological cooperation,Technology between China and the United States、Data、Funds、Market、Free flow setting of talents。In terms of humanities exchange,Since 2017,A inverse flow of humanities and humanities exchanges in the United States。Some American people propose the concept of "sharp strength",It is believed that China uses humanistic exchanges to "influence" and "infiltration" on the implementation of ideology on the United States,Warning that Americans should recognize that China's "penetration and influence" in the United States is increasingly threatened。The Trump administration has adopted a series of legislation and law enforcement measures,For the Confucius Institute、Sino -US university exchange and cooperation、Human cultural exchange projects and activities founded by China in the United States and other humanities and branches strictly review、Monitoring and limit,A shadow of humanities and humanities exchanges between China and the United States,China -US Technology、Human cultural exchanges are actually near the "stop" state。
Deepen the understanding and interaction between China and the world
The severe and complex situation faced by Sino -US relations currently,Reflected the deepest and complex changes after the Cold War is occurred today。"Government Work Report" made by Premier Li Keqiang,"Promote the higher level to open to the public,Stabilizing Foreign Trade Foreign Investment Basic Display "as an important aspect of this year's main goal and the overall deployment of work in the next stage。This is a response to the severe and complex situation facing the current Sino -US relations,Expressing "Facing the changes in bet365 Play online games the external environment,firmly expand opening to the outside world,Stable Industrial Chain Supply Chain,Determination of opening up to promote reform and development。At the press conference held at the Third Session of the Thirteenth National People's Congress,State Councilor and Minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi said when answering questions from Chinese and foreign journalists on questions related to "Chinese Foreign Policy and Foreign Relations","China is willing to do not conflict without conflict、Respect each other、The spirit of win -win cooperation,Build a coordination with the United States、Cooperation、Stable Sino -US relations "。
Facing the severe and complex situation of Sino -US relations,I think there are many jobs to do。
First,To maintain strategic fixed force,Concentrate to do your own thing。We must have confidence in our own development,It is also necessary to realize that the structural contradictions between China and the United States will not be eliminated for a long period of time,It may even intensify sharply。
2,Mobilize all positive factors,Disadvantages in Sino -US relations,Efforts to promote coordination、Cooperation、Sino -US relations with stability as the tone。Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, the people and society between the two countries and the society will not collapse easily。Under the current "anti -China" becoming the new "political correctness" in the United States,Some local governments in the United States、Enterprise and individual,still has a high enthusiasm for communication with China。Many strategists with distant vision in the United States、Diplomatists and Chinese Issue Experts in Rigid Studies,Still working hard to maintain dialogue and communication with Chinese peers,to enhance mutual understanding,Resolve differences。
third,Strengthen and improve external communication work。In this regard,We have many jobs to do。Our external communication platform should be diversified; we should attach great importance to the role of new social media,Make public discussion space for the United States diversified。We need to understand the public opinion environment in the United States,Learn and report for the American media to create conditions,Tell Chinese stories with their mouth and pen。
Fourth,Persevere and expand openness and domestic reform,Modernization of the national governance system and governance capabilities。To take practical and effective measures,Keep the company in China and other countries in China,Attract more American companies to invest in China,Multilateral cooperation bet365 Play online games with all countries in the world including the United States in the field of economy, trade and technology; adhere to cooperation with American companies and scientists; continue to work hard to expand their communication with all walks of life with American society,Friends,Deepen the understanding and interaction between China and the world。
(The author is member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference、Researcher at the American Institute of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
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